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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 31 Jul, 20:00

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash features Shamrock Rovers, top of the table with 50 points, visiting Drogheda United, who sit eighth with 26 points. Shamrock Rovers have shown strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game and conceding just 1.0, while Drogheda United have struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Recent form data highlights Shamrock Rovers' momentum with 10 points from their last five games compared to Drogheda's 5 points. The tactical battle will likely see Shamrock Rovers control possession and create more chances, aiming to extend their lead at the summit.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to Win

  • Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 50 points, showing consistent winning form.
  • Shamrock Rovers average 1.8 goals scored per game, higher than Drogheda United's 1.2.
  • Drogheda United concede 1.8 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Shamrock Rovers have a strong recent form with 10 points from last five matches.
  • Drogheda United's home form is weaker, reflected in their lower league position.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance to Shamrock Rovers winning, reflecting their superior league position, recent form, and attacking efficiency. Shamrock Rovers average more shots (15.5) and shots on target (6) per game than Drogheda United, indicating greater offensive threat. Drogheda's defensive record and lower points tally further support the away win prediction. No price warning is needed as the market are unknown, but the model is strong based on comprehensive season and recent data.

League PositionShamrock Rovers 1st vs Drogheda United 8th
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsShamrock Rovers 10 vs Drogheda United 5
Strong positive
Goals For per GameShamrock Rovers 1.8 vs Drogheda United 1.2
Positive
Goals Against per GameShamrock Rovers 1.0 vs Drogheda United 1.8
Positive
Shots on Target per GameShamrock Rovers 6 vs Drogheda United 2.75
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Shamrock Rovers' tactical discipline and superior attacking output make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their consistent form and defensive solidity contrast with Drogheda United's struggles, suggesting Shamrock Rovers will control the game and secure victory.

Main risk

For Shamrock, the equation is different but no less demanding.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Shamrock Rovers' blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them strongly to extend their lead at the top. Drogheda United face a tough challenge containing their dynamic midfield and forward players.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to Win evidence

Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 50 points, showing consistent winning form.

Shamrock Rovers average 1.8 goals scored per game, higher than Drogheda United's 1.2.

Drogheda United concede 1.8 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Shamrock Rovers have a strong recent form with 10 points from last five matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per game, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a lively encounter with attacking intent from both sides, supporting expectations of multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Drogheda United1.2
Avg goals scored
Shamrock Rovers1.8
Drogheda United1.8
Avg goals conceded
Shamrock Rovers1
Drogheda United60%
BTTS rate
Shamrock Rovers80%
Drogheda United60%
Over 2.5 goals
Shamrock Rovers60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals, with Shamrock Rovers boasting an 80% BTTS rate, indicating a likelihood of goals at both ends. Drogheda United's defensive frailties and Shamrock's attacking prowess suggest a match with multiple scoring opportunities and goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
The Shamrock Rovers to Win market aligns well with the model's 70% win probability, reflecting strong value based on current form and season-long performance. Without explicit , this is a confident selection supported by data rather than a price-sensitive call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Drogheda United v Shamrock Roverscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Drogheda United6.25
Avg corners for
Shamrock Rovers3.75
Drogheda United12
Avg total corners
Shamrock Rovers6.25
Drogheda United1.5
Avg yellow cards
Shamrock Rovers1.5
Drogheda United13.25
Avg shots
Shamrock Rovers15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -6.6 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Drogheda United average more corners (6.25) than Shamrock Rovers (3.75), reflecting their need to attack from wide areas. Shamrock Rovers generate more shots and shots on target, indicating offensive pressure. Both teams have similar yellow card averages (1.5), suggesting a balanced disciplinary profile.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Drogheda United

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
25 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
10 Jul 2026A Dundalk2-1
03 Jul 2026H Bohemians0-2
26 Jun 2026A Derry City0-2
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2

Shamrock Rovers

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1
26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1
22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1
19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0
12 Jun 2026A Shelbourne1-2
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Shamrock Rovers have accumulated 10 points from their last five matches, showcasing consistent winning form and attacking efficiency. Drogheda United's 5 points in the same period reflect inconsistency and defensive lapses, reinforcing Shamrock Rovers' advantage going into this game.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Drogheda United wins
3Draws
7Shamrock Rovers wins
04 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United4-1
16 Mar 2026Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers0-0
12 Sep 2025Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers1-1
31 Aug 2025Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United2-1
16 Jun 2025Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers1-2
09 May 2025Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United3-0
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
The ten previous meetings between these teams average 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While Shamrock Rovers have generally been stronger, the historical data suggests Drogheda United can contribute offensively, making the match competitive but favoring the visitors.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Premier Division

Drogheda United25
Played
Shamrock Rovers25
Drogheda United1.2
Avg goals for
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Drogheda United1.7
Avg goals against
Shamrock Rovers0.9
Drogheda United6
Clean sheets
Shamrock Rovers9
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 50 points, scoring 1.8 goals per game and conceding just 1.0, highlighting a balanced and effective team. Drogheda United's 26 points and 1.8 goals conceded per game underline defensive weaknesses that Shamrock Rovers can exploit.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Shamrock Rovers5025155518
8Drogheda United26256811-12
Shamrock Rovers sit comfortably atop the Premier Division, with a 24-point gap over Drogheda United in eighth. This gap reflects Shamrock Rovers' control and the pressure on Drogheda United to improve results to avoid slipping further down the table.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per game, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a lively encounter with attacking intent from both sides, supporting expectations of multiple goals.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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