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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 31 Jul, 20:00

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Drogheda United face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 31 Jul, 20:00. With 11 league fixtures remaining, every win strengthens their control of the title race.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 3/1, Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Selection: Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score.
  • Drogheda United show a 60% BTTS rate and Shamrock Rovers show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Drogheda United average 1.2 goals scored and Shamrock Rovers average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 40% for Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Drogheda United show a 60% BTTS rate and Shamrock Rovers show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score.

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Drogheda United show a 60% BTTS rate and Shamrock Rovers.Visible data support
Positive
Drogheda United average 1.2 goals scored and Shamrock Rovers average.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score. Drogheda United show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Shamrock Rovers show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. For Shamrock, the equation is different but no less demanding.

Main risk

For Shamrock, the equation is different but no less demanding.

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Selection: Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score.

Drogheda United show a 60% BTTS rate and Shamrock Rovers show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Drogheda United average 1.2 goals scored and Shamrock Rovers average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Drogheda United1.2
Avg goals scored
Shamrock Rovers1.8
Drogheda United1.8
Avg goals conceded
Shamrock Rovers1
Drogheda United60%
BTTS rate
Shamrock Rovers80%
Drogheda United60%
Over 2.5 goals
Shamrock Rovers60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Drogheda United6.25
Avg corners for
Shamrock Rovers4.33
Drogheda United12
Avg total corners
Shamrock Rovers7
Drogheda United1.5
Avg yellow cards
Shamrock Rovers1.67
Drogheda United13.25
Avg shots
Shamrock Rovers15.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Drogheda United

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
25 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
10 Jul 2026A Dundalk2-1
03 Jul 2026H Bohemians0-2
26 Jun 2026A Derry City0-2
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2

Shamrock Rovers

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1
26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1
22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1
19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0
12 Jun 2026A Shelbourne1-2
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Drogheda United wins
3Draws
7Shamrock Rovers wins
04 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United4-1
16 Mar 2026Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers0-0
12 Sep 2025Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers1-1
31 Aug 2025Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United2-1
16 Jun 2025Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers1-2
09 May 2025Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United3-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Drogheda United28
Played
Shamrock Rovers27
Drogheda United1.1
Avg goals for
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Drogheda United1.6
Avg goals against
Shamrock Rovers0.9
Drogheda United8
Clean sheets
Shamrock Rovers10
Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Season data supports Shamrock Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Shamrock Rovers5427166519
9Drogheda United282861012-14
Drogheda United sit in position 9, while Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Shamrock Rovers to win and Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Drogheda United sit at 60% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.