Deportivo Pasto
LlanerosPrimera A | Sun 23 Aug, 22:05
Deportivo Pasto v Llaneros Stats
Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 12:10 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Llaneros approach this Primera A fixture in strong form, currently ranked 4th with 8 points, contrasting with Deportivo Pasto's 19th place and no points. Llaneros have shown greater attacking threat and defensive solidity, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Deportivo Pasto struggle with 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. This match offers Llaneros an opportunity to consolidate their position with a confident away performance against a team yet to find rhythm this season.
Llaneros to Win
- Llaneros hold a 70% to win, priced at 4.2 , indicating strong value.
- Llaneros average nearly double the shots and shots on target per game compared to Deportivo Pasto.
- Deportivo Pasto have conceded over two goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent form heavily favors Llaneros, who have collected 8 points to Deportivo Pasto's zero.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Llaneros to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive stability. Llaneros average 11.8 shots and 5.6 shots on target per game, significantly higher than Deportivo Pasto's 8.6 shots and 2.6 shots on target, indicating better offensive pressure. Deportivo Pasto's defensive record of 2.2 goals conceded per game contrasts with Llaneros' 1.2, reinforcing the away side's advantage. No data limitations affect in this pick.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Llaneros' superior form and attacking metrics make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain a tighter defense than Deportivo Pasto underpins this selection, suggesting they can capitalize on the home side's defensive struggles to claim three points.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Llaneros demonstrate clear attacking superiority and defensive resilience, positioning them well to exploit Deportivo Pasto's current vulnerabilities and secure an away win in this Primera A clash.”
Key Data Signals
Llaneros to Win evidence
Llaneros hold a 70% to win, priced at 4.2 , indicating strong value.
Llaneros average nearly double the shots and shots on target per game compared to Deportivo Pasto.
Deportivo Pasto have conceded over two goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent form heavily favors Llaneros, who have collected 8 points to Deportivo Pasto's zero.
What To Watch In The Data
Llaneros to Win notes
- Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
- This trend suggests a balanced tempo with potential for goal opportunities, aligning with the expectation of a competitive fixture with scoring chances.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Primera A
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 34 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 22 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -3 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.