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Deportivo Pasto crestDeportivo Pasto
v
Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo Pereira

Primera A | Tue 01 Sep, 00:00

Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira Stats

Data last updated: Mon 31 Aug 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira meet in a Primera A clash where both sides show contrasting defensive and offensive profiles. Deportivo Pasto has struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game, while scoring at a moderate rate of 0.4 goals per match. Deportivo Pereira, despite a stronger defensive record conceding only 0.4 goals per game, has a very low scoring output of 0.2 goals per game. Recent form data shows Deportivo Pereira with more points and a better defensive record, but both teams have shown vulnerability at the back. This match is poised to be a tactical battle with both sides likely to find the net given their defensive lapses and attacking efforts.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 48%, above the 40% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Deportivo Pasto concedes 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Deportivo Pereira has a strong defensive record but struggles to score, averaging 0.2 goals per game.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Deportivo Pasto at 40% and Deportivo Pereira at 0%, suggesting cautious attacking.
  • Recent form favors Deportivo Pereira with 5 points versus Deportivo Pasto's 1 point.
Price warning

Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 48% while the model sits nearer 40% (-7.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +11.9 pts edge at 1.85.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The tactical read highlights Deportivo Pasto's defensive frailty combined with Deportivo Pereira's limited but persistent attacking attempts, creating a scenario where both teams are likely to score. Despite the being lower than the market implied probability, the football context supports a BTTS outcome. The current price is short, reflecting market optimism, so reduced staking is advised. Improvement in line-ups or late team news could strengthen the value case.

Deportivo Pasto Defensive WeaknessConcedes 1.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Deportivo Pereira Defensive SolidityConcedes 0.4 goals per game
Neutral
Deportivo Pereira Scoring Difficulty0.2 goals per game
Negative
Recent FormPasto 1 point, Pereira 5 points
Positive
Market Price vs Model ChancePrice implies 53.5% chance vs model 40%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent that suggest goals at both ends. Deportivo Pasto's porous defense combined with Deportivo Pereira's attempts on goal create a realistic chance for both sides to score. The tactical setup and recent form data support this outcome, making BTTS a sensible selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A 1-1 draw matches Deportivo’s exact results so far, with Aubameyang scoring early but leads not held.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Deportivo Pasto's defensive lapses paired with Deportivo Pereira's persistent attacking efforts create a compelling case for both teams to find the net despite Pereira's scoring struggles.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Deportivo Pasto concedes 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Deportivo Pereira has a strong defensive record but struggles to score, averaging 0.2 goals per game.

Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Deportivo Pasto at 40% and Deportivo Pereira at 0%, suggesting cautious attacking.

Recent form favors Deportivo Pereira with 5 points versus Deportivo Pasto's 1 point.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • However, recent matches show a decline in goals, suggesting a cautious tempo.
  • This trend supports a moderate expectation for goals, aligning with the possibility of both teams scoring but not a high-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Pasto0.4
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Pereira0.2
Deportivo Pasto1.6
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Pereira0.4
Deportivo Pasto40%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Pereira0%
Deportivo Pasto20%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pereira0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 48% · edge -7.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Both teams have contrasting goal profiles: Deportivo Pasto concedes frequently while scoring modestly, whereas Deportivo Pereira defends well but struggles to score. This dynamic suggests a match where both sides could score, but the low BTTS rate for Pereira tempers expectations, aligning with a cautious BTTS No or Under 3.5 goals context.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Pasto

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 9L
28 Aug 2026A Internacional de Bogota1-1
23 Aug 2026H Llaneros0-1
09 Aug 2026H Deportivo Cali0-2
05 Aug 2026A Millonarios0-2
01 Aug 2026H Águilas Doradas1-2

Deportivo Pereira

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
22 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar0-0
01 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-0
25 Jul 2026A Llaneros0-1
03 May 2026A America de Cali0-1
25 Apr 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Deportivo Pereira holds a stronger recent form with 5 points compared to Deportivo Pasto's single point, reflecting better defensive organization and point accumulation. However, Pasto's higher goals conceded per game suggests defensive lapses that Pereira may exploit, while Pereira's low scoring rate limits their offensive threat, balancing the form narrative.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Deportivo Pasto341910454
20Deportivo Pereira10191711-17
16Deportivo Pereira23021-1
20Deportivo Pasto16015-7
Deportivo Pereira sits higher in the standings (16th) than Deportivo Pasto (20th), reflecting a marginally better campaign start. While standings show Pereira's relative stability, the low points totals and defensive/offensive stats indicate both teams face challenges, making the match competitive with potential for goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 48% · edge -7.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at implying a 53.5% chance, which is notably higher than the model's 40% probability. This indicates the market is optimistic about goals from both sides, making the price sensitive and warranting cautious staking. Any drift or improved team news would enhance the value proposition.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportivo Pasto3.8
Avg corners for
Deportivo Pereira2.4
Deportivo Pasto9.8
Avg total corners
Deportivo Pereira8.2
Deportivo Pasto3.6
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo Pereira2.2
Deportivo Pasto7
Avg shots
Deportivo Pereira8.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 58% · edge +3.7 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Deportivo Pasto averages 3.8 corners and 7 shots per game, while Deportivo Pereira averages fewer corners at 2.4 but more shots at 8.6. The moderate shot volumes and corner counts reflect balanced attacking pressure, with Pasto's higher fouling rate (3.6 yellows) indicating a physical contest that could disrupt rhythm and create set-piece opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Deportivo Pasto wins
3Draws
4Deportivo Pereira wins
21 Feb 2026Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Pasto2-2
28 Oct 2025Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira4-0
14 May 2025Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Pasto1-0
30 Jul 2024Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira2-0
31 Jan 2024Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Pasto0-1
13 Sep 2023Deportivo Pereira v Deportivo Pasto2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 48% · edge -7.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, suggesting a balanced scoring environment. While Deportivo Pereira has a slight defensive edge, recent encounters have not been high scoring, indicating that while both teams may score, the match may not produce many goals overall.
Season team stats

Primera A

Deportivo Pasto27
Played
Deportivo Pereira22
Deportivo Pasto1.2
Avg goals for
Deportivo Pereira0.7
Deportivo Pasto1.4
Avg goals against
Deportivo Pereira1.5
Deportivo Pasto7
Clean sheets
Deportivo Pereira5
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season-long data shows Deportivo Pasto concedes heavily (1.6 goals per game) but manages some scoring (0.4 goals per game), indicating open matches. Deportivo Pereira's defensive solidity (0.4 goals conceded) contrasts with their poor scoring (0.2 goals per game), suggesting tight games with limited goals but potential for both teams to score if Pasto's defense is breached.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Deportivo Pasto Over 2.5
0%Deportivo Pereira Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.4, indicating a moderate scoring trend. However, recent matches show a decline in goals, suggesting a cautious tempo. This trend supports a moderate expectation for goals, aligning with the possibility of both teams scoring but not a high-scoring game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.