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Deportes Tolima crestDeportes Tolima
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Cucuta crestCucuta

Primera A | Tue 01 Sep, 02:05

Deportes Tolima v Cucuta Stats

Data last updated: Mon 31 Aug 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportes Tolima and Cucuta face off in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown contrasting offensive and defensive trends. Deportes Tolima boasts a strong attacking record with an average of 1.6 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate, while Cucuta has been more conservative, scoring 0.8 goals per game and recording BTTS in 40% of matches. Tolima's recent form includes high-scoring games, and Cucuta's defense has been relatively tight, making this an intriguing tactical battle with potential for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Deportes Tolima scores 1.6 goals per game with 80% BTTS rate
  • Cucuta averages 0.8 goals per game and 40% BTTS rate
  • Tolima averages 14 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game
  • Cucuta averages 12.33 shots and 4.33 shots on target per game
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.43 across 7 matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Deportes Tolima's strong attacking output and Cucuta's ability to find the net despite a tighter defense. Tolima's high BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rates, combined with Cucuta's moderate scoring and shot volume, support a game where both sides can breach defenses. The 20% and solid rating reinforce this as a favorable selection. No price warnings apply, and data quality is robust for both teams.

Deportes Tolima BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Cucuta BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Value Edge20%
Strong positive
Confidence88
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Deportes Tolima's offensive consistency combined with Cucuta's ability to create chances underlines the likelihood of goals at both ends, making the BTTS market an appealing angle for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Deportes Tolima scores 1.6 goals per game with 80% BTTS rate

Cucuta averages 0.8 goals per game and 40% BTTS rate

Tolima averages 14 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game

Cucuta averages 12.33 shots and 4.33 shots on target per game

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Deportes Tolima has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style.
  • Cucuta's 0% Over 2.5 rate suggests a more defensive approach.
  • The head-to-head average of 2.43 goals supports a moderately high-scoring game, with transitions and set pieces likely contributing to goal opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportes Tolima5.2
Avg corners for
Cucuta2.25
Deportes Tolima9
Avg total corners
Cucuta6
Deportes Tolima2.2
Avg yellow cards
Cucuta4
Deportes Tolima14
Avg shots
Cucuta11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
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Deportes Tolima averages 5.2 corners and 14 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territory control. Cucuta's 2 corners and 12.33 shots per game show they can create chances but less frequently. The higher yellow card average for Cucuta (3.67) suggests a more physical approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities and disruptions in play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportes Tolima1.6
Avg goals scored
Cucuta0.8
Deportes Tolima1.2
Avg goals conceded
Cucuta0.8
Deportes Tolima80%
BTTS rate
Cucuta40%
Deportes Tolima80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cucuta0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.22
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.73
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Deportes Tolima's high BTTS rate of 80% and Cucuta's 40% indicate a reasonable chance for both teams to score. The average goals per game in their head-to-head matches is 2.43, supporting a moderately open game with goals from both sides. Tolima's offensive pressure contrasts with Cucuta's defensive efforts, creating a balanced goal-scoring environment.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
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Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
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Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
8
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DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Deportes Tolima to WinBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with a 2.0 reflecting a 50% implied chance, while the model estimates a 70% probability, indicating clear value. This positive of 20% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making it a strong candidate for backing.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportes Tolima

DWLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
22 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga0-0
09 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-1
05 Aug 2026H Independiente Medellin2-3
01 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-1
26 Jul 2026H Junior2-1

Cucuta

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Aug 2026H Alianza Valledupar1-0
23 Aug 2026A Independiente Medellin1-0
20 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota1-1
08 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-2
04 Aug 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
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Cucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
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Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
8
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 82%
1.08
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DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.5
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Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.2
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Deportes Tolima to WinBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.4
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Deportes Tolima's recent form shows strong offensive output with 1.6 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting consistent scoring and conceding. Cucuta's form is more defensive with 0.8 goals scored and a 40% BTTS rate, indicating fewer goals but some scoring presence. Both teams' recent performances support a competitive match with potential for goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Deportes Tolima wins
1Draws
2Cucuta wins
23 Feb 2026Cucuta v Deportes Tolima3-2
19 Nov 2020Cucuta v Deportes Tolima0-3
11 Oct 2020Cucuta v Deportes Tolima0-3
20 Nov 2019Deportes Tolima v Cucuta0-1
18 Nov 2019Cucuta v Deportes Tolima0-0
20 Oct 2019Deportes Tolima v Cucuta2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
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Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Deportes Tolima to WinBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The seven head-to-head meetings average 2.43 goals per game, suggesting a moderately open fixture historically. While not overwhelmingly high-scoring, this average supports the possibility of goals from both sides. The sample size is sufficient to consider past trends relevant but should be balanced with current form and tactical setups.
Season team stats

Primera A

Deportes Tolima28
Played
Cucuta25
Deportes Tolima1.4
Avg goals for
Cucuta1.1
Deportes Tolima1
Avg goals against
Cucuta1.8
Deportes Tolima10
Clean sheets
Cucuta5
Best odds for this sectionCucuta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
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Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
8
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Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.2
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Deportes Tolima to WinBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long data highlights Deportes Tolima's attacking strength and tendency to concede, aligning with their high BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rates. Cucuta's lower scoring and conceding rates reflect a more cautious approach but still allow for goals. These season stats underpin the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Deportes Tolima311987410
19Cucuta1619379-13
6Deportes Tolima1053112
10Cucuta86222-4
Deportes Tolima sits 6th with 10 points, while Cucuta is 10th with 8 points, showing a modest gap but both teams are competitive in the league. The standings suggest motivation for points, with Tolima pushing for higher placement and Cucuta aiming to close the gap, potentially encouraging open play and goal attempts.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Deportes Tolima Over 2.5
0%Cucuta Over 2.5
2.43H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Deportes Tolima has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style. Cucuta's 0% Over 2.5 rate suggests a more defensive approach. The head-to-head average of 2.43 goals supports a moderately high-scoring game, with transitions and set pieces likely contributing to goal opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.