Cuiaba

Nautico Recife

Serie B | Tue 22 Sep, 01:30

Cuiaba v Nautico Recife Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cuiaba and Nautico Recife meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Recent form data reveals both teams averaging over one goal per game while conceding regularly, suggesting an open contest. Cuiaba's home performances have been marked by a willingness to push forward, while Nautico Recife's slightly higher scoring rate and aggressive midfield presence hint at a lively encounter. The fixture carries mid-table stakes with both teams aiming to climb, adding intensity to their offensive efforts without sacrificing defensive caution.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have solid BTTS rates: Cuiaba 60%, Nautico Recife 80%.
Nautico Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Cuiaba creates 14.6 shots per match with 3.4 on target, Nautico Recife 16.8 shots with 4.8 on target.
Recent form shows both teams earning 8 points in their last five matches, indicating competitive momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking outputs and defensive lapses from both sides. Cuiaba and Nautico Recife's recent matches show frequent goal exchanges, supported by their high BTTS percentages and shot volumes. The at 2.0 offer positive value given the implied 50% chance, making this a compelling pick. The data quality is solid with balanced sample sizes, reinforcing in the prediction.

Model Chance76%

Strong positive

Implied Chance50%

Strong positive

BTTS RatesCuiaba 60%, Nautico Recife 80%

Strong positive

Shot VolumeHigh average shots and shots on target for both teams

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, making a Both Teams to Score outcome likely. Cuiaba's forward players and Nautico Recife's creative midfield suggest a match with goal opportunities at both ends, supported by recent form and scoring data.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive intent but defensive gaps, setting the stage for goals at both ends. The balance of attacking threat and defensive frailty makes BTTS a logical selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have solid BTTS rates: Cuiaba 60%, Nautico Recife 80%.

Nautico Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Cuiaba creates 14.6 shots per match with 3.4 on target, Nautico Recife 16.8 shots with 4.8 on target.

Recent form shows both teams earning 8 points in their last five matches, indicating competitive momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 Goals rate is 40% for Cuiaba and 60% for Nautico Recife, indicating a moderate to high likelihood of multiple goals.
The average goals in their recent head-to-head matches is 1.6, suggesting a tendency for open play and goal opportunities, supporting a lively match tempo.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cuiaba

DWLWD

Last 52W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 4D 2L

13 Sep 2026A Novorizontino1-1

09 Sep 2026H Athletic Club3-0

04 Sep 2026A Criciuma0-2

29 Aug 2026A Botafogo SP2-1

22 Aug 2026H Goias1-1

Nautico Recife

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Nautico Recife yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -5.1 pts

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

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Cuiaba to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Nautico Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Cuiaba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Nautico Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Recent form shows both teams earning 8 points in their last five matches, with Cuiaba scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game, while Nautico Recife scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. This balance of scoring and conceding supports the BTTS outcome, reflecting consistent offensive output coupled with defensive vulnerabilities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cuiaba1.4

Avg goals scored

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba1

Avg goals conceded

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba60%

BTTS rate

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba40%

Over 2.5 goals

Nautico Recife-

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Nautico Recife at 80% and Cuiaba at 60%, confirming frequent goal exchanges. Their recent matches show consistent scoring and conceding patterns, supporting a game likely to feature goals from both sides. The average goals in their last five meetings stand at 1.6, suggesting moderate scoring but with both teams contributing.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Cuiaba to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Nautico Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Cuiaba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Nautico Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.0, reflecting a 50% implied chance versus a of 76%, indicating strong value. This pricing aligns well with the teams' offensive and defensive profiles, making the market a positive-value opportunity rather than a price-sensitive watch.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Cuiaba wins

0Draws

4Nautico Recife wins

22 May 2026Nautico Recife v Cuiaba1-0

23 Dec 2020Nautico Recife v Cuiaba2-0

30 Sep 2020Cuiaba v Nautico Recife1-0

15 Mar 2018Cuiaba v Nautico Recife0-1

28 Feb 2018Nautico Recife v Cuiaba2-1

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Cuiaba to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Nautico Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

The five recent meetings between Cuiaba and Nautico Recife have averaged 1.6 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate. While this does not strongly favor high-scoring outcomes, the balanced goal distribution and competitive nature of these fixtures provide useful background, with current attacking form carrying more weight for BTTS.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cuiaba5.5

Avg corners for

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba12.5

Avg total corners

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba2

Avg yellow cards

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba12.5

Avg shots

Nautico Recife-

Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 55% · edge +2.4 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Both teams generate significant attacking pressure, with Nautico Recife averaging 6 corners and Cuiaba 4.8 per match. Shot volumes are high, especially Nautico Recife's 16.8 shots per game and 4.8 on target, indicating sustained offensive efforts. Discipline is moderate, with Nautico Recife averaging 1.8 yellow cards and Cuiaba 1.2, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cuiaba28

Played

Nautico Recife0

Cuiaba1

Avg goals for

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba0.8

Avg goals against

Nautico Recife-

Cuiaba11

Clean sheets

Nautico Recife-

Best odds for this sectionCuiaba to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 49% · edge -0.6 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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Nautico Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.42

Check odds @ 2.42

Cuiaba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Nautico Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Season-long data reveals Cuiaba's BTTS rate at 60% and Nautico Recife's at 80%, underscoring their tendency to both score and concede. Their goal averages and defensive records indicate open games with chances for both sides, reinforcing the BTTS pick as aligned with their overall season patterns.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cuiaba Over 2.5

-Nautico Recife Over 2.5

1.6H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 Goals rate is 40% for Cuiaba and 60% for Nautico Recife, indicating a moderate to high likelihood of multiple goals. The average goals in their recent head-to-head matches is 1.6, suggesting a tendency for open play and goal opportunities, supporting a lively match tempo.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Cuiaba v Nautico Recife Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Cuiaba

Nautico Recife

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Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Cuiaba v Nautico Recife Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Cuiaba

Nautico Recife

Continue the research

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