Football Stats Hub

Cuiaba crestCuiaba
v
Goias crestGoias

Serie B | Sat 22 Aug, 22:30

Cuiaba v Goias Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cuiaba and Goias meet in a Serie B clash with both sides level on 32 points but separated by one place in the table, highlighting the tight competition. Cuiaba's recent form shows a stronger points return and a more potent attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to Goias' 0.4, while maintaining a solid defensive record. This match carries significant stakes as both teams seek to climb higher in the standings, with Cuiaba's home advantage and attacking momentum setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Cuiaba to Win

  • Cuiaba has earned 8 points recently versus Goias' 4, showing better form.
  • Cuiaba averages 1.2 goals per game, tripling Goias' 0.4 goals scored.
  • Both teams concede 0.8 goals per game, indicating tight defenses.
  • Cuiaba's shots on target average 3.0 per game, supporting attacking threat.
  • Goias has a low BTTS rate of 20%, suggesting Cuiaba can control scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cuiaba to win with a 65.8% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output. Cuiaba's higher goal-scoring rate and better points accumulation underpin this . The at 2.25 offer positive value given the implied chance of 44.4%, making this a strong selection. No data limitations affect the reliability of this prediction, and the model's at 65% supports backing Cuiaba in this fixture.

Model Chance65.8%
Strong positive
Recent FormCuiaba 8 points vs Goias 4
Strong positive
Goals Scored per GameCuiaba 1.2 vs Goias 0.4
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance44.4%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cuiaba's stronger recent form and superior attacking numbers make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline gives them a tactical edge, while Goias' struggles to score reduce their threat. This combination supports backing Cuiaba to win in a closely contested match.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cuiaba's recent attacking form and home advantage give them a clear edge in this fixture, especially against a Goias side that has struggled to find the net consistently.”

Key Data Signals

Cuiaba to Win evidence

Cuiaba has earned 8 points recently versus Goias' 4, showing better form.

Cuiaba averages 1.2 goals per game, tripling Goias' 0.4 goals scored.

Both teams concede 0.8 goals per game, indicating tight defenses.

Cuiaba's shots on target average 3.0 per game, supporting attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Cuiaba to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a generally low-scoring trend.
  • This suggests a slower tempo with defensive focus, aligning with the expectation of fewer goals and a controlled match environment, which may limit high-scoring outcomes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cuiaba6.2
Avg corners for
Goias6
Cuiaba11.4
Avg total corners
Goias10.8
Cuiaba2
Avg yellow cards
Goias2
Cuiaba12
Avg shots
Goias14.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams average similar corners (Cuiaba 6.2, Goias 6) and yellow cards (2 each), indicating a balanced contest in terms of territory and discipline. Cuiaba averages fewer shots (12) than Goias (14.6) but Goias' shots on target are higher, suggesting Cuiaba may rely on quality over quantity in attack. The match may feature tactical fouling and set-piece battles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cuiaba1.2
Avg goals scored
Goias0.4
Cuiaba0.8
Avg goals conceded
Goias0.8
Cuiaba60%
BTTS rate
Goias20%
Cuiaba20%
Over 2.5 goals
Goias0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 46% · edge +14.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have shown tight defensive records, conceding 0.8 goals per game each, and Goias has a low BTTS rate of 20%. Cuiaba's attack is more productive but the overall trend suggests a controlled scoring environment with fewer goals and a likelihood of BTTS No, reflecting defensive discipline and cautious play.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The for Cuiaba to win at 2.25 reflect a positive value opportunity given the model's 65.8% win probability. The price is attractive compared to the implied chance of 44.4%, indicating the market may be underestimating Cuiaba's chances. This pricing suggests a good betting angle with standard stake .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cuiaba

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
20 Aug 2026H Operario-PR1-0
15 Aug 2026A Ceara3-1
09 Aug 2026H Fortaleza EC1-1
27 Jul 2026A Sport Recife1-1
24 Jul 2026H Atletico Goianiense0-1

Goias

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
19 Aug 2026H Juventude0-1
15 Aug 2026A Criciuma0-1
10 Aug 2026H Londrina1-0
26 Jul 2026A America Mineiro0-1
23 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-1
Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Cuiaba's recent form is superior, accumulating 8 points compared to Goias' 4 in recent matches. This reflects better attacking efficiency and defensive resilience, supporting in Cuiaba's ability to secure a win. The momentum favors Cuiaba as they seek to capitalize on their home advantage.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Cuiaba wins
1Draws
5Goias wins
19 Apr 2026Goias v Cuiaba0-2
08 Nov 2025Cuiaba v Goias0-1
19 Jul 2025Goias v Cuiaba3-1
23 May 2024Cuiaba v Goias1-0
03 May 2024Goias v Cuiaba1-0
21 Oct 2023Cuiaba v Goias1-1
Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 1.8 goals per game, reflecting tight contests between Cuiaba and Goias. This historical data supports the expectation of a closely fought match with limited scoring, emphasizing defensive organization from both sides.
Season team stats

Serie B

Cuiaba23
Played
Goias23
Cuiaba0.9
Avg goals for
Goias1
Cuiaba0.7
Avg goals against
Goias1.2
Cuiaba10
Clean sheets
Goias7
Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over the season, Cuiaba has demonstrated a more effective attack with 1.2 goals per game and a solid defense conceding 0.8 goals. Goias matches the defensive concession but struggles offensively with only 0.4 goals per game. These season-long trends reinforce Cuiaba's advantage in both scoring and overall team performance.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Goias3223959-6
12Cuiaba322371153
Both teams sit closely in the Serie B table with 32 points each, but Cuiaba's 12th place versus Goias' 11th shows a marginal difference. The standings highlight the competitive nature of this fixture, with both sides eager to improve their position, adding intensity to the match context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Cuiaba Over 2.5
0%Goias Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a generally low-scoring trend. This suggests a slower tempo with defensive focus, aligning with the expectation of fewer goals and a controlled match environment, which may limit high-scoring outcomes.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.