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Corinthians crestCorinthians
v
Santos crestSantos

Serie A | Sun 30 Aug, 20:00

Corinthians v Santos Stats

Data last updated: Tue 22 Sep 2026, 00:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Corinthians face Santos in Serie A on Sun 30 Aug, 20:00. Corinthians and Santos arrive at the Neo Quimica Arena separated by six points in Serie A, but their recent numbers suggest the gap between them is less about attacking ambition than what happens when possession is lost.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 21/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Corinthians show a 60% BTTS rate and Santos show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Corinthians average 1 goals scored and Santos average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Corinthians show a 60% BTTS rate and Santos show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Corinthians show a 60% BTTS rate and Santos show a.Visible data support
Positive
Corinthians average 1 goals scored and Santos average 1.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Corinthians show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Santos show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. It does, however, leave less margin for error against a Corinthians side whose recent attacking efficiency has been marginally better.

Main risk

It does, however, leave less margin for error against a Corinthians side whose recent attacking efficiency has been marginally better.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Corinthians show a 60% BTTS rate and Santos show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Corinthians average 1 goals scored and Santos average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Corinthians5.4
Avg corners for
Santos7.8
Corinthians10.2
Avg total corners
Santos10.6
Corinthians2.8
Avg yellow cards
Santos1.6
Corinthians11.4
Avg shots
Santos19.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 58% · edge +7.6 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Corinthians1
Avg goals scored
Santos1.4
Corinthians1
Avg goals conceded
Santos1.4
Corinthians60%
BTTS rate
Santos60%
Corinthians40%
Over 2.5 goals
Santos60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Santos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Santos to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Corinthians to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Corinthians

LLWDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
23 Aug 2026A Coritiba1-2
16 Aug 2026H Cruzeiro1-2
09 Aug 2026A RB Bragantino2-0
30 Jul 2026H Atletico Paranaense0-0
26 Jul 2026A Bahia1-1

Santos

DWLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
23 Aug 2026H Mirassol1-1
16 Aug 2026A Vasco DA Gama3-0
09 Aug 2026H Atletico Paranaense0-2
25 Jul 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-2
16 Jul 2026A Botafogo1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Santos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Santos to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Corinthians to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Corinthians Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Corinthians wins
4Draws
2Santos wins
15 Mar 2026Santos v Corinthians1-1
22 Jan 2026Santos v Corinthians1-1
16 Oct 2025Santos v Corinthians3-1
18 May 2025Corinthians v Santos1-0
09 Mar 2025Corinthians v Santos2-1
13 Feb 2025Corinthians v Santos2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Santos to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Corinthians to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Corinthians28
Played
Santos27
Corinthians1
Avg goals for
Santos1.5
Corinthians1.1
Avg goals against
Santos1.5
Corinthians10
Clean sheets
Santos6
Best odds for this sectionSantos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Santos to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Corinthians to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Corinthians Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Season data supports Santos Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Santos382710891
14Corinthians32288812-3
Corinthians sit in position 14, while Santos sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Corinthians Over 2.5
60%Santos Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Corinthians sit at 40% and Santos sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Corinthians v Santos prediction

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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