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Colombia crestColombia
v
Congo DR crestCongo DR

World Cup | Wed 24 Jun, 03:00

Colombia v Congo DR Stats

Data last updated: Sun 09 Aug 2026, 13:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Colombia face Congo DR in World Cup on Wed 24 Jun, 03:00. Group K Control, Transition Threats and a Proper Test of Nerve. DR Congo are tournament specialists in frustration, remaining unbeaten in nine games and recently drawing 1-1 against Portugal. Colombia average 1.

BT4Y best bet

With total goal bands, which demands accurate forecasting of both match control and clinical execution under pressure

  • At 2.2, With total goal bands, which demands accurate forecasting of both match control and clinical execution under pressure implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • They also recorded more shots and more shots on target than Portugal, which gives the result more substance than a heroic backs-to-the-wall draw.
  • Colombia show a 100% BTTS rate and Congo DR show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Colombia average 3 goals scored and Congo DR average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for With total goal bands, which demands accurate forecasting of both match control and clinical execution under pressure sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Colombia show a 100% BTTS rate and Congo DR show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They also recorded more shots and more shots on target than Portugal, which gives the result more substance than a heroic backs-to-the-wall draw.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Colombia show a 100% BTTS rate and Congo DR show.Visible data support
Positive
Colombia average 3 goals scored and Congo DR average 1.Visible data support
Positive
They also recorded more shots and more shots on.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because they also recorded more shots and more shots on target than Portugal, which gives the result more substance than a heroic backs-to-the-wall draw. Colombia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Congo DR show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo’s team have reason to feel bullish, although not too bullish.

Main risk

Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo’s team have reason to feel bullish, although not too bullish.

Key Data Signals

With total goal bands, which demands accurate forecasting of both match control and clinical execution under pressure evidence

They also recorded more shots and more shots on target than Portugal, which gives the result more substance.

Colombia show a 100% BTTS rate and Congo DR show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Colombia average 3 goals scored and Congo DR average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

With total goal bands, which demands accurate forecasting of both match control and clinical execution under pressure notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Colombia3
Avg goals scored
Congo DR1
Colombia1
Avg goals conceded
Congo DR1
Colombia100%
BTTS rate
Congo DR100%
Colombia100%
Over 2.5 goals
Congo DR0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Congo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Colombia to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Colombia4
Avg corners for
Congo DR4
Colombia7
Avg total corners
Congo DR9
Colombia1
Avg yellow cards
Congo DR1
Colombia15
Avg shots
Congo DR8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 36% · edge +10.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Colombia

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
18 Jun 2026A Uzbekistan3-1

Congo DR

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
17 Jun 2026A Portugal1-1
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Colombia to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Colombia wins
0Draws
0Congo DR wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Colombia to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Colombia5
Played
Congo DR4
Colombia1
Avg goals for
Congo DR1.3
Colombia0.2
Avg goals against
Congo DR1.3
Colombia4
Clean sheets
Congo DR0
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Colombia to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Congo DR to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Season data supports Congo DR Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Colombia732103
3Congo DR431111
1Congo DR431111
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Colombia Over 2.5
0%Congo DR Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Colombia sit at 100% and Congo DR sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.