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Club Brugge KV crestClub Brugge KV
v
Heerenveen crestHeerenveen

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 18:00

Club Brugge KV v Heerenveen Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club Brugge KV face Heerenveen in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 18:00. Club Brugge KV come in with 4 recent points and 2.33 goals per match, while Heerenveen have 3 points and 7 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Heerenveen to Win

  • At 4.5, Heerenveen Win implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Heerenveen.
  • Heerenveen have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Heerenveen Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Heerenveen Win sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Heerenveen.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Strong positive
Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Heerenveen have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Heerenveen Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Heerenveen. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Heerenveen Win evidence

Club Brugge KV have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Heerenveen.

Heerenveen have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Heerenveen Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Heerenveen Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Club Brugge KV2.33
    Avg goals scored
    Heerenveen7
    Club Brugge KV2.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Heerenveen2
    Club Brugge KV100%
    BTTS rate
    Heerenveen100%
    Club Brugge KV100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Heerenveen100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Club Brugge KV and 100% for Heerenveen, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHeerenveen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 22% · edge +47.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Heerenveen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Heerenveen to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Club Brugge KV

    LWD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    11 Jul 2026A Feyenoord1-3
    04 Jul 2026H Kortrijk4-2
    08 Jan 2026H Sturm Graz2-2

    Heerenveen

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    03 Jul 2026H De Graafschap7-2
    Market aligned with main pickHeerenveen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 22% · edge +47.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Heerenveen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Club Brugge KV wins
    0Draws
    0Heerenveen wins
    Market aligned with main pickHeerenveen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 22% · edge +47.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Heerenveen to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Club Brugge KV4
    Played
    Heerenveen2
    Club Brugge KV2.3
    Avg goals for
    Heerenveen5
    Club Brugge KV2.5
    Avg goals against
    Heerenveen2
    Club Brugge KV0
    Clean sheets
    Heerenveen0
    Market aligned with main pickHeerenveen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 22% · edge +47.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Heerenveen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Season data supports Heerenveen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Club Brugge KV Over 2.5
    100%Heerenveen Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Club Brugge KV sit at 100% and Heerenveen sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

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    Betting context

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