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Motherwell crestMotherwell
v
Genk crestGenk

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 19:00

Motherwell v Genk Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motherwell face Genk in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 19:00. Motherwell come in with 0 recent points and 0 goals per match, while Genk have 9 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Genk to Win

  • At 1.91, Genk Win implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Genk have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Motherwell.
  • Genk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Genk Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Genk Win sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Genk have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Motherwell.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Genk have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Genk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Genk Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Genk have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Motherwell. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Genk Win evidence

Genk have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 0 for Motherwell.

Genk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Genk Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Genk Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Motherwell0
    Avg goals scored
    Genk2.4
    Motherwell4
    Avg goals conceded
    Genk1.6
    Motherwell0%
    BTTS rate
    Genk80%
    Motherwell100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Genk80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Motherwell and 80% for Genk, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGenk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Genk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Genk to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Motherwell

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    05 Jul 2026A Aarhus0-4

    Genk

    LWWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 2L
    11 Jul 2026A Fortuna Sittard1-2
    08 Jul 2026H SK Beveren2-1
    04 Jul 2026A Eendracht Termien5-1
    09 Jan 2026A Puskas Academy1-0
    09 Jan 2026H Diosgyori VTK3-4
    Market aligned with main pickGenk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Genk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Motherwell wins
    0Draws
    0Genk wins
    Market aligned with main pickGenk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Genk to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Motherwell2
    Played
    Genk7
    Motherwell1.5
    Avg goals for
    Genk2.3
    Motherwell4
    Avg goals against
    Genk1.7
    Motherwell0
    Clean sheets
    Genk1
    Market aligned with main pickGenk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Genk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Season data supports Genk to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Motherwell Over 2.5
    80%Genk Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Motherwell sit at 100% and Genk sit at 80%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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