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Austria Vienna crestAustria Vienna
v
Paks crestPaks

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 19:00

Austria Vienna v Paks Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austria Vienna face Paks in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 19:00. Austria Vienna come in with 9 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Paks have 7 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.6, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Austria Vienna and 100% for Paks, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Paks are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Austria Vienna at 1.8.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Austria Vienna and 60% for Paks show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Austria Vienna and 100% for Paks, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Austria Vienna.Visible data support
Positive
Paks are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Austria Vienna and 100% for Paks, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Austria Vienna and 100% for Paks, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Paks are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Austria Vienna at 1.8.

BTTS rates of 60% for Austria Vienna and 60% for Paks show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austria Vienna1.8
Avg goals scored
Paks2.6
Austria Vienna0.6
Avg goals conceded
Paks2.2
Austria Vienna60%
BTTS rate
Paks60%
Austria Vienna20%
Over 2.5 goals
Paks100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 63% · edge +5.2 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Austria Vienna and 100% for Paks, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 63% · edge +5.2 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Paks Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Paks to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Austria Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austria Vienna

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 1L
08 Jul 2026H Dunajska Streda1-1
04 Jul 2026H Debreceni VSC1-1
26 Jun 2026A Parndorf4-0
31 Jan 2026H Grazer AK2-0
26 Jan 2026H Dunajska Streda1-1

Paks

WLDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
16 Jul 2026H NK Slaven Belupo5-3
11 Jul 2026H Kozarmisleny FC0-3
08 Jul 2026A Maccabi Haifa3-3
04 Jul 2026A NK Osijek4-0
02 Jul 2026H Dundee1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +7.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Paks Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Paks to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Austria Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Austria Vienna wins
0Draws
1Paks wins
06 Jul 2024Austria Vienna v Paks1-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 63% · edge +5.2 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Paks to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Austria Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Austria Vienna8
Played
Paks13
Austria Vienna2.5
Avg goals for
Paks3
Austria Vienna1.1
Avg goals against
Paks2
Austria Vienna2
Clean sheets
Paks2
Best odds for this sectionPaks Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +5.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Paks to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Austria Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season data supports Paks Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Austria Vienna Over 2.5
100%Paks Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Austria Vienna sit at 20% and Paks sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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