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Charlton crestCharlton
v
QPR crestQPR

Championship | Wed 09 Sep, 20:00

Charlton v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Charlton and QPR meet in a Championship clash where both sides have shown balanced attacking and defensive traits early in the season. Each team has accumulated 10 points, reflecting competitive form, with Charlton ranked 6th and QPR 3rd. Both teams have similar goal-scoring and conceding rates, suggesting an open contest with potential for goals at both ends. The match promises tactical intrigue as both sides look to maintain momentum and exploit attacking strengths while managing defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams average a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Charlton scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.4, showing openness at the back.
  • QPR has a stronger attack with 1.4 goals per game and a tighter defense conceding 0.8.
  • Recent form shows both teams earning 10 points, suggesting balanced competitiveness.
  • Shot data highlights QPR's offensive edge with 17.5 shots per game versus Charlton's 9.75.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, supported by symmetrical BTTS rates of 60% for both Charlton and QPR. QPR's higher shot volume and Charlton's moderate defensive concessions create a scenario favoring goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 12.2% edge over the implied chance, making this a statistically and contextually sound pick. No data limitations affect , reinforcing the bet's robustness.

BTTS Rate60% each team
Strong positive
Model Chance70% BTTS probability
Strong positive
Value Edge+12.2%
Strong positive
Shot VolumeQPR 17.5 vs Charlton 9.75
Positive
Defensive ConcessionCharlton concedes 1.4 goals/game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Charlton and QPR have demonstrated attacking intent and vulnerability in defense, making both teams to score a logical choice. The balanced recent form and similar BTTS rates reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends in this Championship fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“This fixture features two teams with attacking strengths and defensive gaps, setting up a classic BTTS scenario where both sides are likely to find the net.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams average a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Charlton scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.4, showing openness at the back.

QPR has a stronger attack with 1.4 goals per game and a tighter defense conceding 0.8.

Recent form shows both teams earning 10 points, suggesting balanced competitiveness.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2, a moderate scoring rate.
  • However, both teams' current 60% over 2.5 goals rates this season and attacking tendencies suggest a higher tempo and goal volume in this fixture, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich matches beyond historical averages.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Charlton4.4
Avg corners for
QPR6
Charlton10
Avg total corners
QPR9.6
Charlton1.8
Avg yellow cards
QPR1
Charlton10.4
Avg shots
QPR17.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
QPR's offensive control is evident with 17.5 shots per game compared to Charlton's 9.75, while corner counts are similar, indicating balanced territorial exchanges. The card averages suggest moderate discipline, with Charlton averaging 2.25 yellows and QPR 1, hinting at a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment conducive to open play and scoring chances.

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Useful next reads

Championship hubCharlton v QPR predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Charlton1.2
Avg goals scored
QPR1.4
Charlton1.4
Avg goals conceded
QPR0.8
Charlton60%
BTTS rate
QPR60%
Charlton60%
Over 2.5 goals
QPR60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both Charlton and QPR have maintained a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting consistent mutual scoring. Their average goals per game hover around 2.6 combined, supporting an open game with goal opportunities for both sides. This trend aligns with the model's strong BTTS probability and underlines the attacking balance in the fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
QPR to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Charlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying a 57.8% chance, while the model estimates a 70% probability, indicating clear value. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making the bet a compelling option without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Charlton

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Stoke City0-4
02 Sep 2026A West Brom1-1
29 Aug 2026H Preston1-0
22 Aug 2026A West Ham2-1
15 Aug 2026H Derby2-1

QPR

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
05 Sep 2026H Middlesbrough0-1
02 Sep 2026H Cardiff2-1
29 Aug 2026A Blackburn2-1
22 Aug 2026H Bolton0-0
15 Aug 2026A Portsmouth3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
QPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
QPR to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Charlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have collected 10 points recently, reflecting solid form. Charlton's 1.2 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded, combined with QPR's 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, indicate balanced offensive and defensive performances. The shared 60% BTTS rate in recent matches confirms a pattern of both teams scoring, supporting the pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Charlton wins
3Draws
3QPR wins
06 Feb 2026Charlton v QPR0-0
30 Aug 2025QPR v Charlton3-1
09 Aug 2022Charlton v QPR1-1
27 Jun 2020Charlton v QPR1-0
21 Dec 2019QPR v Charlton2-2
09 Apr 2016QPR v Charlton2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
QPR to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The nine previous meetings between Charlton and QPR have averaged 2 goals per game, a modest scoring rate. While this offers some background, current season form and attacking statistics provide a stronger basis for expecting both teams to score, as historical data alone only weakly supports this outcome.
Season team stats

Championship

Charlton5
Played
QPR5
Charlton1.2
Avg goals for
QPR1.4
Charlton1.4
Avg goals against
QPR0.8
Charlton1
Clean sheets
QPR1
Best odds for this sectionQPR Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 54% · edge +1.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Charlton to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
QPR to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Charlton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long data shows Charlton and QPR both maintain a 60% BTTS rate, with similar over 2.5 goals rates at 60%. Charlton's defense concedes more goals, while QPR's attack is more prolific. This balance of attacking potency and defensive vulnerability on both sides supports the expectation of goals from each team.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3QPR1053113
6Charlton105311-1
Charlton sits 6th and QPR 3rd in the Championship, both with 10 points, indicating competitive squads pushing for promotion contention. While standings alone don't dictate scoring, the proximity in points and ambition levels suggest both teams will seek to assert themselves offensively, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Charlton Over 2.5
60%QPR Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last nine meetings, the average goals per game is 2, a moderate scoring rate. However, both teams' current 60% over 2.5 goals rates this season and attacking tendencies suggest a higher tempo and goal volume in this fixture, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich matches beyond historical averages.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Charlton v QPR prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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