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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
Toronto FC crestToronto FC

Major League Soccer | Fri 17 Jul, 00:30

CF Montreal v Toronto FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 11:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Montreal face Toronto FC in Major League Soccer on Fri 17 Jul, 00:30. Erik Botheim arrives in clinical goalscoring form, fresh from hitting three goals in his previous league fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Requires both competing squads to score at least one goal during regular play

  • At 5/2, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Prince Owusu's offensive influence and Toronto's consistent scoring in their last eleven MLS fixtures support the likelihood of both teams scoring.
  • CF Montreal show a 60% BTTS rate and Toronto FC show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • CF Montreal average 1.8 goals scored and Toronto FC average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. CF Montreal show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Toronto FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Prince Owusu's offensive influence and Toronto's consistent scoring in their last eleven MLS fixtures support the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
CF Montreal show a 60% BTTS rate and Toronto FC.Visible data support
Positive
CF Montreal average 1.8 goals scored and Toronto FC average.Visible data support
Positive
Prince Owusu's offensive influence and Toronto's consistent scoring in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because prince Owusu's offensive influence and Toronto's consistent scoring in their last eleven MLS fixtures support the likelihood of both teams scoring. CF Montreal show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Toronto FC show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Main risk

They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Prince Owusu's offensive influence and Toronto's consistent scoring in their last eleven MLS fixtures support the likelihood of.

CF Montreal show a 60% BTTS rate and Toronto FC show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

CF Montreal average 1.8 goals scored and Toronto FC average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Montreal1.8
Avg goals scored
Toronto FC1.2
CF Montreal2.2
Avg goals conceded
Toronto FC2.4
CF Montreal60%
BTTS rate
Toronto FC100%
CF Montreal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Toronto FC80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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CF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Toronto FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CF Montreal6.33
Avg corners for
Toronto FC6
CF Montreal11.33
Avg total corners
Toronto FC11.5
CF Montreal2.33
Avg yellow cards
Toronto FC0.5
CF Montreal19
Avg shots
Toronto FC11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +3.3 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Montreal

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 May 2026A DC United4-4
16 May 2026H Chicago Fire0-2
14 May 2026H Portland Timbers2-2
09 May 2026H Orlando City SC2-0
03 May 2026A Atlanta United FC1-3

Toronto FC

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
24 May 2026A Chicago Fire1-2
17 May 2026A Charlotte1-3
09 May 2026H Inter Miami2-4
02 May 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-1
25 Apr 2026H Atlanta United FC1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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CF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Toronto FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Toronto FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5CF Montreal wins
2Draws
3Toronto FC wins
31 Aug 2025Toronto FC v CF Montreal1-1
17 May 2025CF Montreal v Toronto FC1-6
01 May 2025Toronto FC v CF Montreal2-2
21 Jul 2024CF Montreal v Toronto FC0-1
19 May 2024Toronto FC v CF Montreal5-1
21 Aug 2023Toronto FC v CF Montreal2-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
CF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Toronto FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

CF Montreal15
Played
Toronto FC15
CF Montreal1.5
Avg goals for
Toronto FC1.5
CF Montreal2.1
Avg goals against
Toronto FC1.9
CF Montreal4
Clean sheets
Toronto FC2
Best odds for this sectionCF Montreal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 48% · edge +17.7 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
CF Montreal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Toronto FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Toronto FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Season data supports CF Montreal to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11CF Montreal1515438-9
12Toronto FC1515366-7
CF Montreal sit in position 11, while Toronto FC sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
80%Toronto FC Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: CF Montreal sit at 60% and Toronto FC sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

CF Montreal v Toronto FC prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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