St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer | Fri 17 Jul, 01:30
St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City Stats
Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 12:12 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Major League Soccer fixture features St. Louis City hosting Sporting Kansas City in a contest likely to be intense and physical. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with St. Louis City conceding fewer goals but Sporting Kansas City displaying a more aggressive attacking style. The match is expected to be closely contested with tactical battles in midfield and wide areas, where fouls and disciplinary actions could play a significant role. The physicality and high stakes suggest a game prone to multiple bookings, especially given Sporting Kansas City's tendency for aggressive pressing and St. Louis City's defensive resilience.
Over 3.5 Cards
- Both teams average 3 yellow cards per game, indicating a consistently physical style.
- Sporting Kansas City concedes more goals and commits more fouls, increasing card risk.
- Louis City defender M. Fall averages 1.84 yellow cards per 90 minutes, highlighting individual card risk.
- Recent matches show a 75% for over 3.5 cards, supporting a high-card game.
- Bassong and Brendan McSorley have high card risk indexes, suggesting multiple bookings likely.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies a 75% probability for over 3.5 cards, reflecting the physical nature of both teams and their disciplinary records. Both sides average around three yellow cards per match, with Sporting Kansas City showing a higher foul rate and defensive vulnerability that often leads to cautions. Key players such as M. Bassong carry significant card risk, and the aggressive pressing style of Sporting Kansas City combined with St. Louis City's defensive resilience suggests frequent fouling and bookings. This statistical and tactical context underpins the strong likelihood of a card-laden encounter.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect a physically charged match with both teams engaging in intense duels and tactical fouling. Sporting Kansas City's higher foul frequency and St. Louis City's defensive approach increase the likelihood of multiple bookings. The data and tactical setup strongly suggest over 3.5 cards will be reached, making this a compelling bet for those anticipating a competitive and tightly contested game.
The main risk is that refereeing style or match tempo could be less aggressive than expected, reducing the number of cards issued.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · cards market
“The combination of Sporting Kansas City's aggressive pressing and St. Louis City's defensive grit sets the stage for a high-card match. Key players with elevated card risks will likely influence the disciplinary count significantly.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Cards evidence
Both teams average 3 yellow cards per game, indicating a consistently physical style.
Sporting Kansas City concedes more goals and commits more fouls, increasing card risk.
Louis City defender M. Fall averages 1.84 yellow cards per 90 minutes, highlighting individual card risk.
Recent matches show a 75% for over 3.5 cards, supporting a high-card game.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Cards notes
- Over the last ten matches, Sporting Kansas City has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open and attacking play that often leads to more fouls and cards.
- Louis City's 40% rate suggests a more cautious approach, but the combined tempo points to a game with multiple disciplinary actions.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Major League Soccer
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | St. Louis City | 19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 11 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -23 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
