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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian

Premiership | Sat 16 May, 12:30

Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 10:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face Heart Of Midlothian in Premiership on Sat 16 May, 12:30. Celtic come in with 15 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Heart Of Midlothian have 13 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.57, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Celtic show a 80% BTTS rate and Heart Of Midlothian show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Celtic average 2.4 goals scored and Heart Of Midlothian average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Celtic show a 80% BTTS rate and Heart Of Midlothian show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
Celtic show a 80% BTTS rate and Heart Of Midlothian.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic average 2.4 goals scored and Heart Of Midlothian average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Celtic show a 80% BTTS rate and Heart Of Midlothian show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Celtic show a 80% BTTS rate and Heart Of Midlothian show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Celtic average 2.4 goals scored and Heart Of Midlothian average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic2.4
Avg goals scored
Heart Of Midlothian2.2
Celtic1
Avg goals conceded
Heart Of Midlothian0.8
Celtic80%
BTTS rate
Heart Of Midlothian80%
Celtic80%
Over 2.5 goals
Heart Of Midlothian80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Celtic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Celtic5.8
Avg corners for
Heart Of Midlothian6
Celtic10.8
Avg total corners
Heart Of Midlothian9.4
Celtic2.8
Avg yellow cards
Heart Of Midlothian1.8
Celtic13.4
Avg shots
Heart Of Midlothian13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 1D 1L
13 May 2026A Motherwell3-2
10 May 2026H Rangers3-1
03 May 2026A Hibernian2-1
25 Apr 2026H Falkirk3-1
11 Apr 2026H ST Mirren1-0

Heart Of Midlothian

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
13 May 2026H Falkirk3-0
09 May 2026A Motherwell1-1
04 May 2026H Rangers2-1
26 Apr 2026A Hibernian2-1
11 Apr 2026H Motherwell3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.28
Check odds @ 2.28
Load more odds for this section
Celtic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Celtic wins
1Draws
4Heart Of Midlothian wins
25 Jan 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Celtic2-2
07 Dec 2025Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian1-2
26 Oct 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Celtic3-1
29 Mar 2025Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian3-0
23 Nov 2024Heart Of Midlothian v Celtic1-4
14 Sep 2024Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian2-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premiership

Celtic38
Played
Heart Of Midlothian38
Celtic1.9
Avg goals for
Heart Of Midlothian1.8
Celtic1.1
Avg goals against
Heart Of Midlothian0.9
Celtic13
Clean sheets
Heart Of Midlothian17
Best odds for this sectionCeltic Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13.3 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
5
Check odds @ 5
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Season data supports Celtic Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Heart Of Midlothian7033217530
3Celtic6733214824
1Celtic8238264832
2Heart Of Midlothian8038248633
Celtic sit in position 1, while Heart Of Midlothian sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Celtic Over 2.5
80%Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celtic sit at 80% and Heart Of Midlothian sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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