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Casertana crestCasertana
v
Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura

Serie C - Girone C | Tue 15 Sep, 17:30

Casertana v Team Altamura Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Casertana enters this Serie C - Girone C fixture with a strong early-season momentum, sitting 6th in the standings with 8 points from their opening matches. Team Altamura, positioned 16th with 4 points, face an uphill battle away from home. Casertana's attacking play has been notably effective, averaging 2.5 goals per game, while their defense concedes slightly more than Team Altamura's. The home side's consistent offensive threat and superior form set the stage for a competitive encounter, with Casertana expected to leverage their home advantage and recent performances to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Casertana to Win

  • Casertana holds a 72.4% to win, significantly above the implied market chance of 56.2%.
  • Casertana averages 2.5 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form compared to Team Altamura's 0.5 goals.
  • Team Altamura has a low BTTS rate of 25%, while Casertana's BTTS rate is 100%, suggesting more open games for Casertana.
  • Casertana ranks 6th with 8 points, showing better early-season consistency than Team Altamura, who sit 16th with 4 points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Casertana to win due to their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and stronger league position. The 16.2% positive reflects the market underestimating Casertana's chances. Their consistent ability to score and concede in open games supports the likelihood of a home victory. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, making it a solid selection based on current season dynamics and statistical trends.

Model Win Probability72.4%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance56.2%
Strong positive
Goal Scoring Rate2.5 goals per game for Casertana
Strong positive
League PositionCasertana 6th vs Team Altamura 16th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Casertana's early-season form and attacking output give them a tactical and statistical edge in this fixture. Their ability to consistently find the net combined with a higher league standing suggests they are well-positioned to claim victory against Team Altamura, who have struggled to generate offensive threat.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and team form

“Casertana's offensive consistency and home advantage create a compelling case for their win, especially given Team Altamura's limited goal production and lower league standing.”

Key Data Signals

Casertana to Win evidence

Casertana holds a 72.4% to win, significantly above the implied market chance of 56.2%.

Casertana averages 2.5 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form compared to Team Altamura's 0.5 goals.

Team Altamura has a low BTTS rate of 25%, while Casertana's BTTS rate is 100%, suggesting more open games for Casertana.

Casertana ranks 6th with 8 points, showing better early-season consistency than Team Altamura, who sit 16th with 4 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Casertana to Win notes

  • Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.67, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Casertana's 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season supports the expectation of a lively game with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the trend panel's insights.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Casertana2.5
Avg goals scored
Team Altamura0.5
Casertana2
Avg goals conceded
Team Altamura1.5
Casertana100%
BTTS rate
Team Altamura25%
Casertana100%
Over 2.5 goals
Team Altamura25%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Casertana's matches have consistently featured goals, with a 100% BTTS rate and an average of 2.5 goals per game, pointing to open, attacking encounters. In contrast, Team Altamura's lower BTTS and goal averages suggest a more defensive approach, but Casertana's offensive pressure is likely to influence the goal dynamics in this game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCasertana to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
Casertana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.37
Check odds @ 1.37
The current for Casertana to win reflect a market underestimation, with the model assigning a 72.4% chance versus the implied 56.2%. This 16.2% indicates a favorable pricing scenario, suggesting the market has not fully priced in Casertana's strong form and home advantage.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Casertana

WDWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
12 Sep 2026A Inter U233-2
06 Sep 2026H Scafatese2-2
29 Aug 2026A Savoia2-1
22 Aug 2026H Barletta3-3

Team Altamura

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
11 Sep 2026H Bari0-3
06 Sep 2026H Savoia0-2
29 Aug 2026A Inter U231-1
24 Aug 2026H SS Monopoli1-0
Market aligned with main pickCasertana to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Casertana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.37
Check odds @ 1.37
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Casertana's recent form, reflected in 8 points and a strong goal-scoring record, contrasts with Team Altamura's 4 points and limited offensive output. This form disparity highlights Casertana's momentum and , which should translate into a tactical advantage in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Casertana wins
2Draws
2Team Altamura wins
05 Jan 2026Team Altamura v Casertana0-2
25 Aug 2025Casertana v Team Altamura3-1
12 Mar 2025Team Altamura v Casertana2-0
31 Oct 2024Casertana v Team Altamura1-1
06 Feb 2022Team Altamura v Casertana3-1
03 Oct 2021Casertana v Team Altamura1-1
Market aligned with main pickCasertana to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2.23
Check odds @ 2.23
The head-to-head sample of six matches shows an average of 2.67 goals per game, suggesting these encounters typically feature multiple goals. While the sample is modest, it supports the likelihood of an open game, with Casertana's recent form and attacking prowess providing a slight edge in these matchups.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Casertana4
Played
Team Altamura4
Casertana2.5
Avg goals for
Team Altamura0.5
Casertana2
Avg goals against
Team Altamura1.5
Casertana0
Clean sheets
Team Altamura1
Market aligned with main pickCasertana to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Casertana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.37
Check odds @ 1.37
Casertana's season statistics reveal a potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game, supported by a defense conceding 2 goals on average. Team Altamura's lower scoring and conceding rates indicate a more cautious approach, but Casertana's offensive efficiency is likely to be decisive.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Casertana842202
16Team Altamura44112-4
The league standings emphasize Casertana's stronger position in the table, sitting comfortably in 6th place compared to Team Altamura's 16th. This gap reflects better consistency and results, suggesting Casertana have the quality and form to control this match and secure three points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Casertana Over 2.5
25%Team Altamura Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.67, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Casertana's 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season supports the expectation of a lively game with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the trend panel's insights.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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