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Bosnia & Herzegovina crestBosnia & Herzegovina

World Cup | Fri 12 Jun, 20:00

Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 21:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Canada face Bosnia & Herzegovina in World Cup on Fri 12 Jun, 20:00. Canada face Bosnia-Herzegovina in Toronto in their World Cup 2026 Group B opener. Canada have achieved six clean sheets in their recent eight-match unbeaten run. Tactical preview, team news, key themes and three punchy stats.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

For Canada at Toronto Stadium

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 54% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/6, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • The Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number of goals scored during regular time by both nations combined to be two or fewer.
Price warning

For Canada at Toronto Stadium is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 54% (-6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No Bet shows a +16.4 pts edge at 2.85.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 54% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. The Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number of goals scored during regular time by both nations combined to be two or fewer.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
The Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because the Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number of goals scored during regular time by both nations combined to be two or fewer. That gives Jesse Marsch’s side a foundation of , but it also raises the emotional temperature.

Main risk

That gives Jesse Marsch’s side a foundation of , but it also raises the emotional temperature.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

The Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number of goals scored during regular time by both nations.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 35% · edge +16.4 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Canada Over 2.5
-Bosnia & Herzegovina Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Under 2.5 Goals market requires the total number of goals scored during regular time by both nations combined to be two or fewer.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Canada-
Avg goals scored
Bosnia & Herzegovina-
Canada-
Avg goals conceded
Bosnia & Herzegovina-
Canada-
BTTS rate
Bosnia & Herzegovina-
Canada-
Over 2.5 goals
Bosnia & Herzegovina-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 60% · edge -5.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Canada

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Canada yet.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bosnia & Herzegovina yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 52% · edge +18.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Canada to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Canada Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Canada wins
0Draws
0Bosnia & Herzegovina wins
Best odds for this sectionBosnia & Herzegovina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 23% · edge +17.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Canada to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Bosnia & Herzegovina to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Canada5
Played
Bosnia & Herzegovina4
Canada1.8
Avg goals for
Bosnia & Herzegovina1.3
Canada1.2
Avg goals against
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
Canada2
Clean sheets
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Best odds for this sectionBosnia & Herzegovina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 35% · edge +16.4 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Bosnia & Herzegovina to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Canada to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Canada Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season data supports Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Canada431115
3Bosnia & Herzegovina43111-1
5Bosnia & Herzegovina43111-1
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.