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Caernarfon Town crestCaernarfon Town
v
FC Levadia Tallinn crestFC Levadia Tallinn

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 09 Jul, 18:30

Caernarfon Town v FC Levadia Tallinn Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 05:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Caernarfon Town face FC Levadia Tallinn in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 09 Jul, 18:30. Caernarfon Town host Levadia Tallinn at The Oval in UEFA Conference League qualifying. However, Levadia are in formidable away form, scoring 18 goals in their last six matches, ensuring both frontlines should thrive.

BT4Y best bet

Wins, while a specific Correct Score selection of 2-1 would lose

  • At 6/1, Wins, while a specific Correct Score selection of 2-1 would lose implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net in 83% of their games, and will rely on home support.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Wins, while a specific Correct Score selection of 2-1 would lose sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net in 83% of their games, and will rely on home support.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Caernarfon Town Win is the preferred angle because caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net in 83% of their games, and will rely on home support. First legs can be cagey, but this one has reasons to breathe fire.

Main risk

First legs can be cagey, but this one has reasons to breathe fire.

Key Data Signals

Wins, while a specific Correct Score selection of 2-1 would lose evidence

Caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net in 83% of their games, and will rely on.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins, while a specific Correct Score selection of 2-1 would lose notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCaernarfon Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Caernarfon Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Caernarfon Town to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Caernarfon Town-
    Avg goals scored
    FC Levadia Tallinn-
    Caernarfon Town-
    Avg goals conceded
    FC Levadia Tallinn-
    Caernarfon Town-
    BTTS rate
    FC Levadia Tallinn-
    Caernarfon Town-
    Over 2.5 goals
    FC Levadia Tallinn-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
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    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Caernarfon Town

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Caernarfon Town yet.

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for FC Levadia Tallinn yet.

    Market aligned with main pickCaernarfon Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Caernarfon Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Caernarfon Town wins
    0Draws
    0FC Levadia Tallinn wins
    Market aligned with main pickCaernarfon Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Caernarfon Town to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa Conference League

    Caernarfon Town2
    Played
    FC Levadia Tallinn4
    Caernarfon Town0
    Avg goals for
    FC Levadia Tallinn3.3
    Caernarfon Town5
    Avg goals against
    FC Levadia Tallinn1
    Caernarfon Town0
    Clean sheets
    FC Levadia Tallinn2
    Market aligned with main pickCaernarfon Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Caernarfon Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Season data supports Caernarfon Town to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Caernarfon Town Over 2.5
    -FC Levadia Tallinn Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Caernarfon boast an excellent goal-scoring record, finding the net in 83% of their games, and will rely on home support.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.