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Burton Albion crestBurton Albion
v
Cambridge United crestCambridge United

League One | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Burton Albion v Cambridge United Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burton Albion face Cambridge United in League One on Sat 05 Sep, 15:00. Burton have scored eight League One goals in four matches, with half of that total arriving in Wednesday’s 4-1 comeback against Wimbledon.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Burton and Cambridge both concede in every match but score regularly, making both teams to score a strong choice.
  • Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate and Cambridge United show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Burton Albion average 2 goals scored and Cambridge United average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate and Cambridge United show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Burton and Cambridge both concede in every match but score regularly, making both teams to score a strong choice.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate and Cambridge United.Visible data support
Positive
Burton Albion average 2 goals scored and Cambridge United average.Visible data support
Positive
Burton and Cambridge both concede in every match.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because burton and Cambridge both concede in every match but score regularly, making both teams to score a strong choice. Burton Albion show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Cambridge United show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Burton and Cambridge both concede in every match but score regularly, making both teams to score a strong.

Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate and Cambridge United show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Burton Albion average 2 goals scored and Cambridge United average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burton Albion2
Avg goals scored
Cambridge United1.75
Burton Albion1.25
Avg goals conceded
Cambridge United1.5
Burton Albion100%
BTTS rate
Cambridge United100%
Burton Albion75%
Over 2.5 goals
Cambridge United75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Burton Albion2.5
Avg corners for
Cambridge United5
Burton Albion7.25
Avg total corners
Cambridge United10.5
Burton Albion2
Avg yellow cards
Cambridge United1.25
Burton Albion8.75
Avg shots
Cambridge United11.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burton Albion

WLWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
02 Sep 2026H AFC Wimbledon4-1
29 Aug 2026A Notts County1-2
22 Aug 2026A Leicester2-1
15 Aug 2026H Stevenage1-1

Cambridge United

WLDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Bradford2-1
29 Aug 2026H Huddersfield1-2
22 Aug 2026A Bromley1-1
15 Aug 2026H Wigan3-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Burton Albion wins
2Draws
4Cambridge United wins
26 Apr 2025Burton Albion v Cambridge United2-1
26 Oct 2024Cambridge United v Burton Albion1-0
27 Jan 2024Cambridge United v Burton Albion0-0
09 Oct 2023Burton Albion v Cambridge United2-1
03 May 2023Burton Albion v Cambridge United1-0
27 Aug 2022Cambridge United v Burton Albion4-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Burton Albion7
Played
Cambridge United7
Burton Albion1.7
Avg goals for
Cambridge United1.7
Burton Albion1.7
Avg goals against
Cambridge United1.4
Burton Albion0
Clean sheets
Cambridge United0
Best odds for this sectionBurton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 37% · edge +9.1 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Burton Albion to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Cambridge United1273312
12Burton Albion972320
Burton Albion sit in position 12, while Cambridge United sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Burton Albion Over 2.5
75%Cambridge United Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Burton Albion sit at 75% and Cambridge United sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.