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Burton Albion crestBurton Albion
v
Cambridge United crestCambridge United

League One | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Burton Albion v Cambridge United Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burton Albion and Cambridge United meet at the Pirelli Stadium with identical League One records, both having scored and conceded regularly this season. Burton's recent 4-1 home win showcased their attacking potential, while Cambridge's resilience on the road, losing only once in their last ten away matches, underlines their competitive edge. Both teams have yet to keep a clean sheet, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that suggest an open game with goals at both ends. This fixture shapes up as a balanced contest with attacking intent and defensive frailties on display.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in all eight combined league matches this season.
  • Neither Burton Albion nor Cambridge United has kept a clean sheet in League One so far.
  • Burton scored eight goals in four matches, including a 4-1 home win.
  • Cambridge have conceded six goals but scored seven in four league games.
  • Cambridge have lost only once in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance to both teams scoring, well above the implied 58% , indicating strong value. Both sides have consistently found the net while failing to keep clean sheets, reflecting an open style of play. Burton's home scoring prowess and Cambridge's solid away resilience reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, supporting in this selection.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Implied Probability58%
Strong positive
Both Teams Scored Rate100% combined matches
Strong positive
Home/Away Scoring BalanceBurton 8 goals, Cambridge 7 goals
Positive
Clean Sheets0 clean sheets each
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Burton Albion and Cambridge United have shown attacking intent and defensive frailty, making both teams to score a logical choice. Burton’s recent high-scoring home form combined with Cambridge’s strong away resilience and consistent scoring record suggest goals at both ends in this balanced League One fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The consistent scoring and conceding patterns from both sides, coupled with Burton's home attacking strength and Cambridge's away resilience, make both teams to score a compelling and well-supported market for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in all eight combined league matches this season.

Burton scored eight goals in four matches, including a 4-1 home win.

Cambridge have conceded six goals but scored seven in four league games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.3, indicating a relatively open fixture historically.
  • Both teams have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring games that supports the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burton Albion2
Avg goals scored
Cambridge United1.75
Burton Albion1.25
Avg goals conceded
Cambridge United1.5
Burton Albion100%
BTTS rate
Cambridge United100%
Burton Albion75%
Over 2.5 goals
Cambridge United75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both Burton Albion and Cambridge United have scored and conceded in every league match this season, with no clean sheets recorded. This pattern supports the likelihood of goals at both ends, despite longer-term venue trends favoring lower scoring. The attacking outputs of 8 and 7 goals respectively reinforce the BTTS route.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The both teams to score market is priced at 1.73 with an implied chance of 58%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This price reflects the consistent scoring and conceding patterns of both teams, making the market an attractive betting option without significant price sensitivity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Burton Albion2.5
Avg corners for
Cambridge United5
Burton Albion7.25
Avg total corners
Cambridge United10.5
Burton Albion2
Avg yellow cards
Cambridge United1.25
Burton Albion8.75
Avg shots
Cambridge United11.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Burton Albion averages 2.5 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, while Cambridge United averages 5 corners and 1.25 yellows, reflecting Cambridge's slightly higher attacking pressure and Burton's moderate discipline. Shot volumes are balanced, with Cambridge averaging 11.5 shots and Burton 8.75, supporting an open game with opportunities for both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burton Albion

WLWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
02 Sep 2026H AFC Wimbledon4-1
29 Aug 2026A Notts County1-2
22 Aug 2026A Leicester2-1
15 Aug 2026H Stevenage1-1

Cambridge United

WLDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Bradford2-1
29 Aug 2026H Huddersfield1-2
22 Aug 2026A Bromley1-1
15 Aug 2026H Wigan3-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have collected seven points from four matches, with Burton scoring 2 goals per game and Cambridge 1.75. Both sides have a 100% BTTS rate this season, reflecting consistent scoring and conceding. Burton's recent 4-1 win contrasts with Cambridge's resilient away performances, suggesting an open and competitive match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Burton Albion wins
2Draws
4Cambridge United wins
26 Apr 2025Burton Albion v Cambridge United2-1
26 Oct 2024Cambridge United v Burton Albion1-0
27 Jan 2024Cambridge United v Burton Albion0-0
09 Oct 2023Burton Albion v Cambridge United2-1
03 May 2023Burton Albion v Cambridge United1-0
27 Aug 2022Cambridge United v Burton Albion4-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The last ten meetings between Burton Albion and Cambridge United have averaged 3.3 goals per game, indicating a history of open and attacking contests. This trend aligns with the current season's scoring patterns and supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Burton Albion5
Played
Cambridge United5
Burton Albion2
Avg goals for
Cambridge United1.8
Burton Albion1.4
Avg goals against
Cambridge United1.6
Burton Albion0
Clean sheets
Cambridge United0
Best odds for this sectionBurton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 37% · edge +9.1 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
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Burton Albion Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cambridge United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long data shows Burton Albion scoring 8 goals and conceding 5, while Cambridge United has 7 goals for and 6 against. Neither team has kept a clean sheet, reinforcing defensive vulnerabilities. These balanced attacking and defensive stats support the expectation of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Burton Albion852213
6Cambridge United852211
Burton Albion sits 4th and Cambridge United 6th in League One, both with 7 points. The close standings reflect similar form and competitiveness, with neither side dominating defensively or offensively, indicating a balanced fixture where both teams are likely to score.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Burton Albion Over 2.5
75%Cambridge United Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 3.3, indicating a relatively open fixture historically. Both teams have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a trend towards higher-scoring games that supports the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.