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Bristol City crestBristol City
v
Watford crestWatford

Championship | Fri 18 Sep, 20:00

Bristol City v Watford Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 18:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bristol City face Watford in Championship on Fri 18 Sep, 20:00. Monza’s search for a first Serie A win of the season continues against a Sassuolo side arriving at the U-Power Stadium with rather more momentum, but also with defensive questions of their own.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Bristol City show a 80% BTTS rate and Watford show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bristol City average 1.6 goals scored and Watford average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Bristol City show a 80% BTTS rate and Watford show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Bristol City show a 80% BTTS rate and Watford show.Visible data support
Positive
Bristol City average 1.6 goals scored and Watford average 0.8.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Bristol City show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Watford show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Sassuolo Have Momentum, but Not Away Security

Main risk

Sassuolo Have Momentum, but Not Away Security.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Bristol City show a 80% BTTS rate and Watford show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bristol City average 1.6 goals scored and Watford average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bristol City1.6
Avg goals scored
Watford0.8
Bristol City1.6
Avg goals conceded
Watford1.4
Bristol City80%
BTTS rate
Watford60%
Bristol City80%
Over 2.5 goals
Watford40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Bristol City to WinBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Bristol City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Watford to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Championship hubBristol City v Watford predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bristol City

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
15 Sep 2026H Lincoln0-1
12 Sep 2026A Southampton1-4
05 Sep 2026A Burnley2-1
01 Sep 2026A Preston3-1
29 Aug 2026H Portsmouth2-1

Watford

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
12 Sep 2026H Stoke City1-2
08 Sep 2026H Preston2-1
05 Sep 2026A West Brom0-1
01 Sep 2026A Swansea0-2
29 Aug 2026H West Ham1-1
Best odds for this sectionBristol City to WinBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +14.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Bristol City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Watford to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Watford Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Bristol City Over 2.5
40%Watford Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bristol City sit at 80% and Watford sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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