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Brazil crestBrazil
v
Egypt crestEgypt

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 23:00

Brazil v Egypt Stats

Data last updated: Sun 12 Jul 2026, 03:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brazil face Egypt in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 23:00. Brazil and Egypt arrive at this final warm-up fixture with very different pressure on their shoulders, but the same basic need: leave the pitch sharper, fitter and more convinced before the World Cup begins.

BT4Y best bet

Requires the total combined score of both teams to be two goals or fewer at full-time

  • At 5/1, Brazil Win implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Egypt’s formidable defensive record provides the foundation here.
  • Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brazil.
  • Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Brazil Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Brazil Win sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brazil. Egypt’s formidable defensive record provides the foundation here.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Egypt’s formidable defensive record provides the foundation here.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brazil Win is the preferred angle because egypt’s formidable defensive record provides the foundation here. Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brazil. Their task is not glamorous, but it is vital.

Main risk

Their task is not glamorous, but it is vital.

Key Data Signals

Brazil Win evidence

Egypt’s formidable defensive record provides the foundation here.

Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brazil.

Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Brazil Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Brazil Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brazil3
    Avg corners for
    Egypt2
    Brazil4.5
    Avg total corners
    Egypt8.67
    Brazil2
    Avg yellow cards
    Egypt2
    Brazil18
    Avg shots
    Egypt9.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 58% · edge -18 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brazil3.33
    Avg goals scored
    Egypt1.67
    Brazil1.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Egypt0
    Brazil100%
    BTTS rate
    Egypt0%
    Brazil100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Egypt33%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 88% vs implied 83% · edge +4.6 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Brazil and 33% for Egypt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 74% · edge -30.6 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Brazil Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Brazil to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brazil

    WWL
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    31 May 2026H Panama6-2
    01 Apr 2026H Croatia3-1
    26 Mar 2026H France1-2

    Egypt

    WDW
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    28 May 2026H Russia1-0
    31 Mar 2026A Spain0-0
    27 Mar 2026A Saudi Arabia4-0
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 74% · edge -30.6 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Brazil Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Brazil wins
    0Draws
    0Egypt wins
    15 Jun 2009Brazil v Egypt4-3
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 74% · edge -30.6 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brazil to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Brazil4
    Played
    Egypt4
    Brazil3
    Avg goals for
    Egypt1.5
    Brazil1.5
    Avg goals against
    Egypt0.5
    Brazil0
    Clean sheets
    Egypt3
    Market aligned with main pickBrazil to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 74% · edge -30.6 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Brazil Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Season data supports Brazil to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Brazil Over 2.5
    33%Egypt Over 2.5
    7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brazil sit at 100% and Egypt sit at 33% with the H2H average at 7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.