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Bradford crestBradford
v
Newcastle United U21 crestNewcastle United U21

EFL Trophy | Tue 22 Sep, 19:30

Bradford v Newcastle United U21 Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford hosts Newcastle United U21 in an EFL Trophy clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Newcastle United U21 have shown a strong scoring ability recently, netting three goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals. Bradford's data is limited but their home advantage and offensive players like N. Powell suggest potential for goals. The match carries competitive stakes for both sides aiming to progress, with tactical openness likely to favor an open, high-scoring encounter under floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Newcastle United U21 have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Recent head-to-head meeting featured 4 goals, supporting a goal-rich fixture.
  • Powell averages 12.16 shots and 8.51 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting strong attacking threat.
  • Newcastle United U21 attacker A. Ca boasts 4.5 goals per 90 with high shot accuracy, increasing scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against a 50% implied market probability, reflecting Newcastle United U21's potent attack and Bradford's offensive contributors. Newcastle's perfect Over 2.5 record and high shot volumes from key players like A. Powell support a high-scoring game. Limited data on Bradford tempers certainty, but the attacking profiles and recent H2H average of 4 goals suggest a lively match. The price offers positive value with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance50%
Positive
Newcastle U21 Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Bradford Offensive DataLimited but promising
Neutral
H2H Average Goals4 goals in last meeting
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Newcastle United U21's attacking prowess and Bradford's key shooters driving a high-scoring contest. Newcastle's consistent goal-scoring form combined with Bradford's offensive potential makes Over 3.5 Goals a fitting selection for this EFL Trophy fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking efficiency and shot volume

“Newcastle United U21's attacking efficiency and Bradford's shot volume create a strong foundation for a goal-laden match, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Newcastle United U21 have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Recent head-to-head meeting featured 4 goals, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

Powell averages 12.16 shots and 8.51 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting strong attacking threat.

Newcastle United U21 attacker A. Ca boasts 4.5 goals per 90 with high shot accuracy, increasing scoring potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last head-to-head meeting between Bradford and Newcastle United U21 featured 4 goals, indicating a history of open, attacking games.
  • Newcastle's 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season and recent scoring trends suggest a fast tempo with multiple goal opportunities.
  • These trends point toward a match likely to surpass 2.5 goals comfortably, aligning with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bradford

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bradford yet.

Newcastle United U21

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Sep 2026A York3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Newcastle United U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Newcastle United U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 16%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Newcastle United U21's recent form includes scoring 3 goals in their last match and maintaining a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating consistent offensive output. Bradford's recent form data is limited but their offensive players show promising shot volumes. This recent momentum supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 3.5 goals, especially given Newcastle's attacking rhythm and Bradford's home motivation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bradford-
Avg goals scored
Newcastle United U213
Bradford-
Avg goals conceded
Newcastle United U211
Bradford-
BTTS rate
Newcastle United U21100%
Bradford-
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle United U21100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Newcastle United U21 have scored three goals in their last match and maintain a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring games. Bradford's limited goal data is offset by key attacking players like N. Humphrys, who contribute shots and assists. The recent head-to-head match featured 4 goals, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals and likely BTTS involvement.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Newcastle United U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Newcastle United U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 16%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.0, reflecting a 50% implied chance while the model estimates a 58% probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, driven by Newcastle United U21's scoring form and Bradford's attacking potential. The price is favorable for standard stakes without caution flags.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bradford wins
1Draws
0Newcastle United U21 wins
03 Sep 2024Bradford v Newcastle United U212-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Newcastle United U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 16%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
The single previous meeting between Bradford and Newcastle United U21 produced 4 goals, demonstrating a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities. While the sample is limited, this result supports expectations of a high-scoring encounter, especially when combined with Newcastle's strong offensive form and Bradford's attacking players.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bradford-
Avg corners for
Newcastle United U211
Bradford-
Avg total corners
Newcastle United U218
Bradford-
Avg yellow cards
Newcastle United U210
Bradford-
Avg shots
Newcastle United U218
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 60% · edge -30.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Newcastle United U21 average 8 shots and 1 corner per game, showing active offensive pressure though corner counts are modest. Bradford's corner and card data is limited, but Newcastle's low yellow card average suggests disciplined play. The shot volume from both sides, especially from key attackers, indicates sustained attacking phases that can generate scoring chances and set-piece opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

EFL Trophy

Bradford0
Played
Newcastle United U211
Bradford0
Avg goals for
Newcastle United U213
Bradford0
Avg goals against
Newcastle United U211
Bradford0
Clean sheets
Newcastle United U210
Best odds for this sectionNewcastle United U21 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Bradford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Newcastle United U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 16%
8
Check odds @ 8
Newcastle United U21's season statistics reveal a strong attacking profile with high shot volumes and goal-scoring rates, underpinning their perfect Over 2.5 Goals record. Bradford's season data is thinner but their key players demonstrate significant shot and assist contributions, suggesting offensive capability. Defensive data is less conclusive, but the attacking numbers favor a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Bradford Over 2.5
100%Newcastle United U21 Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The last head-to-head meeting between Bradford and Newcastle United U21 featured 4 goals, indicating a history of open, attacking games. Newcastle's 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season and recent scoring trends suggest a fast tempo with multiple goal opportunities. These trends point toward a match likely to surpass 2.5 goals comfortably, aligning with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.

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Fixture links

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