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Bradford crestBradford
v
Mansfield Town crestMansfield Town

League One | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Bradford v Mansfield Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bradford and Mansfield Town meet in a League One clash where both sides have shown a willingness to engage in open play and create set-piece opportunities. Bradford's recent matches have featured a moderate corner count, while Mansfield Town's attacking approach often generates pressure on the flanks, leading to corners. Both teams have earned six points so far, indicating competitive form, and this fixture could see sustained territorial battles with multiple corner situations arising from wing play and defensive clearances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Bradford averages 8.5 corners per game, indicating active wing play and attacking pressure.
  • Mansfield Town contributes 4.33 corners per game, often from counter-attacks and set-piece situations.
  • The model estimates a 66.9% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing strong statistical support.
  • Recent form shows both teams creating numerous chances, increasing corner likelihood.
  • Player roles and attacking patterns suggest frequent wide attacks and defensive clearances leading to corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 66.9% chance against an implied market chance of 52.4%, offering a 14.5% . Bradford's high average corners per game combined with Mansfield Town's active attacking style and defensive clearances support a high corner count. Both teams' recent form and shot volumes indicate sustained pressure and wing play, which typically generate corners. No data limitations affect in this pick, making it a robust statistical and tactical choice.

Bradford average corners8.5 per game
Strong positive
Mansfield Town average corners4.33 per game
Positive
Model corner chance66.9%
Strong positive
Market implied chance52.4%
Positive
Value edge14.5%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent defensive clearances leading to numerous corners. Bradford's higher corner average and Mansfield Town's attacking intent suggest the total corners will exceed 9.5. The statistical edge and tactical setup make this a compelling bet for those anticipating an open, contested game with set-piece opportunities.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is likely to be high given Bradford's consistent wing pressure and Mansfield Town's tendency to concede corners under sustained attacks. This bet aligns well with the teams' playing styles and recent match patterns.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Bradford averages 8.5 corners per game, indicating active wing play and attacking pressure.

Mansfield Town contributes 4.33 corners per game, often from counter-attacks and set-piece situations.

The model estimates a 66.9% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing strong statistical support.

Recent form shows both teams creating numerous chances, increasing corner likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating moderately open games.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the tempo and attacking intent reflected in these matches also correlate with increased corner counts due to sustained pressure and transitions, supporting the corner market angle.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bradford9
Avg corners for
Mansfield Town3
Bradford15.33
Avg total corners
Mansfield Town9
Bradford1.33
Avg yellow cards
Mansfield Town2
Bradford11
Avg shots
Mansfield Town14
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Bradford's 8.5 average corners and Mansfield Town's 4.33 reflect active wing play and defensive clearances. Bradford averages 12.5 shots with 3.5 on target, Mansfield Town 16.67 shots with 5 on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Card counts are moderate, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match, allowing for continuous play and corner generation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bradford1
Avg goals scored
Mansfield Town2
Bradford1
Avg goals conceded
Mansfield Town2.5
Bradford25%
BTTS rate
Mansfield Town75%
Bradford25%
Over 2.5 goals
Mansfield Town100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Goal scoring has been modest with Bradford scoring 1 and Mansfield Town 2 on average, but Mansfield's 75% BTTS rate suggests open games. While goals are moderate, attacking activity and defensive pressure create corner opportunities independent of goal volume, supporting the corners bet rather than goals or BTTS markets.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Mansfield Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively with around 1.91, reflecting a 52.4% implied chance. The model's 66.9% probability indicates clear value, suggesting the market underestimates the frequency of corners in this fixture. This supports a standard stake recommendation without caution flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bradford

LLWW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
01 Sep 2026H Cambridge United1-2
29 Aug 2026A Plymouth0-2
20 Aug 2026A Sheffield Wednesday1-0
15 Aug 2026H Peterborough2-0

Mansfield Town

LWLW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
02 Sep 2026A Reading0-5
30 Aug 2026H Luton5-2
22 Aug 2026A Peterborough1-2
15 Aug 2026H Doncaster2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Mansfield Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have earned 6 points recently, with Bradford scoring 1 goal and Mansfield Town 2 on average. Bradford's corner rate remains high, while Mansfield Town's attacking style has generated more corners in recent matches. This form data aligns with expectations for a corner-rich game, reinforcing in the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Bradford wins
3Draws
3Mansfield Town wins
17 Mar 2026Bradford v Mansfield Town1-1
01 Jan 2026Mansfield Town v Bradford3-0
17 Sep 2024Mansfield Town v Bradford0-3
16 Mar 2024Bradford v Mansfield Town1-5
02 Sep 2023Mansfield Town v Bradford0-0
04 Feb 2023Bradford v Mansfield Town1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Mansfield Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 10 previous meetings between Bradford and Mansfield Town show an average of 2.7 goals per game, suggesting open contests with attacking opportunities. While the sample size is moderate, the consistent tempo and attacking patterns provide a background that supports a high corner count through sustained wing play and defensive clearances.
Season team stats

League One

Bradford4
Played
Mansfield Town4
Bradford1
Avg goals for
Mansfield Town2
Bradford1
Avg goals against
Mansfield Town2.5
Bradford2
Clean sheets
Mansfield Town0
Best odds for this sectionMansfield Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 40% · edge +11.5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Bradford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Bradford to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Bradford's season average of 8.5 corners per game is among the higher rates in League One, reflecting their attacking wing play. Mansfield Town's 4.33 corners per game, while lower, combine with Bradford's numbers to push the total over 9.5. The season-long corner trends confirm the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Bradford642020
12Mansfield Town64202-2
Bradford and Mansfield Town sit close in the League One table, both with 6 points, indicating competitive parity. This proximity suggests neither team will play overly defensively, maintaining attacking intent that fosters corner opportunities. The standings context supports an open game conducive to multiple corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Bradford Over 2.5
100%Mansfield Town Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating moderately open games. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the tempo and attacking intent reflected in these matches also correlate with increased corner counts due to sustained pressure and transitions, supporting the corner market angle.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.