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Boulogne crestBoulogne
v
Nantes crestNantes

Ligue 2 | Sat 19 Sep, 13:00

Boulogne v Nantes Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Boulogne face Nantes in Ligue 2 on Sat 19 Sep, 13:00. Boulogne come in with 4 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while Nantes have 4 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Boulogne to Win

  • At 3.3, Boulogne to Win implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Boulogne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Boulogne to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Boulogne sit 14 in the table, while Nantes sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Boulogne to Win sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Boulogne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Boulogne to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Positive
Boulogne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Boulogne sit 14 in the table, while Nantes sit 17.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Boulogne Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Boulogne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Boulogne Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Boulogne to Win evidence

Boulogne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Boulogne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Boulogne sit 14 in the table, while Nantes sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Boulogne to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Boulogne4.75
    Avg corners for
    Nantes4.5
    Boulogne9.25
    Avg total corners
    Nantes8
    Boulogne2.75
    Avg yellow cards
    Nantes2
    Boulogne12.5
    Avg shots
    Nantes17
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 50% · edge -1.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Boulogne0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Nantes1.4
    Boulogne0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Nantes2.2
    Boulogne40%
    BTTS rate
    Nantes60%
    Boulogne0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Nantes60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBoulogne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 30% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Boulogne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Boulogne to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Boulogne

    DDDDL
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 5D 1L
    11 Sep 2026A Clermont Foot0-0
    04 Sep 2026H Dijon1-1
    28 Aug 2026A Montpellier0-0
    21 Aug 2026H RED Star FC 931-1
    14 Aug 2026A Guingamp0-1

    Nantes

    LWDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 4L
    12 Sep 2026A Sochaux0-1
    07 Sep 2026H Nancy1-0
    29 Aug 2026A Guingamp3-3
    22 Aug 2026H Rodez2-5
    14 Aug 2026A Laval1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBoulogne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 30% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Boulogne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Boulogne wins
    2Draws
    0Nantes wins
    16 Mar 2012Nantes v Boulogne3-3
    24 Oct 2011Boulogne v Nantes2-1
    04 Apr 2011Nantes v Boulogne1-2
    18 Oct 2010Boulogne v Nantes0-0
    Market aligned with main pickBoulogne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 30% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Boulogne to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Ligue 2

    Boulogne6
    Played
    Nantes6
    Boulogne0.3
    Avg goals for
    Nantes1.2
    Boulogne0.5
    Avg goals against
    Nantes2
    Boulogne3
    Clean sheets
    Nantes1
    Market aligned with main pickBoulogne to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 30% · edge +13.2 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Boulogne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Season data supports Boulogne to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    14Boulogne56051-1
    17Nantes46114-5
    Boulogne sit in position 14, while Nantes sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Boulogne to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Boulogne Over 2.5
    60%Nantes Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Boulogne sit at 0% and Nantes sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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