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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
v
Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad

Eliteserien | Fri 17 Jul, 18:15

Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt face Fredrikstad in Eliteserien on Fri 17 Jul, 18:15. Fredrikstad's defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring average of 0.83 goals in recent matches suggest they may struggle to contain Glimt's offensive pressure, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

BT4Y match pick

Requires both competing squads to score at least one goal during regular play

  • At 7/25, Bodo/Glimt Win implies roughly 78%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess meets Fredrikstad's away struggles in this Norwegian Eliteserien clash.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Fredrikstad.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bodo/Glimt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bodo/Glimt sit 3 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Bodo/Glimt Win sits against roughly 78% implied by the current price. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Fredrikstad. Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess meets Fredrikstad's away struggles in this Norwegian Eliteserien clash.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 78% implied
Negative
Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess meets Fredrikstad's away struggles in this.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bodo/Glimt Win is the preferred angle because bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess meets Fredrikstad's away struggles in this Norwegian Eliteserien clash. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Fredrikstad. That zero goal difference tells a very loud story: plenty of attacking punch, but too much space left behind the curtain.

Main risk

That zero goal difference tells a very loud story: plenty of attacking punch, but too much space left behind the curtain.

Key Data Signals

Bodo/Glimt Win evidence

Bodo/Glimt's attacking prowess meets Fredrikstad's away struggles in this Norwegian Eliteserien clash.

Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Fredrikstad.

Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bodo/Glimt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bodo/Glimt sit 3 in the table, while Fredrikstad sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bodo/Glimt Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bodo/Glimt5
    Avg corners for
    Fredrikstad5.25
    Bodo/Glimt7.2
    Avg total corners
    Fredrikstad12
    Bodo/Glimt0.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Fredrikstad3.25
    Bodo/Glimt16.2
    Avg shots
    Fredrikstad12.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +4.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bodo/Glimt3.2
    Avg goals scored
    Fredrikstad1.2
    Bodo/Glimt0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Fredrikstad1.4
    Bodo/Glimt60%
    BTTS rate
    Fredrikstad80%
    Bodo/Glimt80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fredrikstad60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Bodo/Glimt to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bodo/Glimt

    WDWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 2D 1L
    12 Jul 2026A KFUM Oslo2-0
    29 May 2026A Rosenborg2-2
    24 May 2026H Brann3-1
    20 May 2026A Start4-1
    16 May 2026H Tromso5-0

    Fredrikstad

    LWDWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    11 Jul 2026H Lillestrom0-2
    29 May 2026H Start2-1
    25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1
    16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1
    09 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Bodo/Glimt wins
    1Draws
    0Fredrikstad wins
    30 Nov 2025Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad5-0
    16 Jul 2025Fredrikstad v Bodo/Glimt0-1
    10 Nov 2024Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad2-2
    01 Apr 2024Fredrikstad v Bodo/Glimt0-2
    16 Aug 2017Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad4-0
    23 Apr 2017Fredrikstad v Bodo/Glimt0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bodo/Glimt to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Bodo/Glimt12
    Played
    Fredrikstad12
    Bodo/Glimt2.5
    Avg goals for
    Fredrikstad1.3
    Bodo/Glimt0.9
    Avg goals against
    Fredrikstad1.8
    Bodo/Glimt6
    Clean sheets
    Fredrikstad0
    Market aligned with main pickBodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Season data supports Bodo/Glimt to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Bodo/Glimt261282219
    11Fredrikstad1412426-7
    Bodo/Glimt sit in position 3, while Fredrikstad sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Bodo/Glimt Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
    60%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    2.83H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bodo/Glimt sit at 80% and Fredrikstad sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.83 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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