Football Stats Hub

AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar
v
ADO Den Haag crestADO Den Haag

Eredivisie | Sat 08 Aug, 20:00

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AZ Alkmaar face ADO Den Haag in Eredivisie on Sat 08 Aug, 20:00.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +10.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7AZ Alkmaar wins
1Draws
2ADO Den Haag wins
16 Jan 2021AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag2-1
25 Oct 2020ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar2-2
29 Aug 2020ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar1-0
07 Mar 2020AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag4-0
22 Sep 2019ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar0-1
13 Apr 2019AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag2-3
Best odds for this sectionADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 13% · edge +15 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Load more odds for this section
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for ADO Den Haag to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AZ Alkmaar

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for AZ Alkmaar yet.

ADO Den Haag

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for ADO Den Haag yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
ADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Eredivisie hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AZ Alkmaar-
Avg goals scored
ADO Den Haag-
AZ Alkmaar-
Avg goals conceded
ADO Den Haag-
AZ Alkmaar-
BTTS rate
ADO Den Haag-
AZ Alkmaar-
Over 2.5 goals
ADO Den Haag-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 40% · edge +10.5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
ADO Den Haag Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar0
Played
ADO Den Haag0
AZ Alkmaar0
Avg goals for
ADO Den Haag0
AZ Alkmaar0
Avg goals against
ADO Den Haag0
AZ Alkmaar0
Clean sheets
ADO Den Haag0
Best odds for this sectionADO Den Haag Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
ADO Den Haag to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season data supports ADO Den Haag Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11AZ Alkmaar000000
14ADO Den Haag000000
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5
-ADO Den Haag Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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