Austin

FC Dallas

Major League Soccer | Mon 17 Aug, 01:30

Austin v FC Dallas Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 08:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features Austin hosting FC Dallas in a match where Dallas holds a clear advantage in recent form and league standing. Dallas sits 7th with 27 points, well ahead of 14th-placed Austin on 17 points. Dallas has been more effective offensively, averaging 1.4 goals per game compared to Austin's 0.8, while defensively conceding fewer goals. Austin's defensive struggles and Dallas's sharper attack set the stage for an away win, though Austin's home environment and occasional high-scoring matches add some unpredictability to the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

FC Dallas to Win

FC Dallas ranks 7th with 27 points; Austin is 14th with 17 points.
Dallas averages 1.4 goals per game, Austin 0.8, showing stronger attack.
Austin concedes 2 goals per game on average, Dallas concedes 1.2, indicating defensive gaps for Austin.
Dallas has a 70% to win, with positive value at 2.25 .
Austin's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) suggests potential for goals but defensive frailty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC Dallas to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger attack, and more solid defense compared to Austin. Dallas's ability to create and convert chances, led by prolific attacker P. Musa, supports this . The at 2.25 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 44.4%. While Austin's home matches often see goals, their defensive vulnerabilities and lower points tally reduce their winning prospects. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the analysis.

Recent form and pointsDallas has 8 points recently vs Austin's 3

Strong positive

Goal scoring and defenseDallas scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2; Austin scores 0.8 and concedes 2

Strong positive

Model chance vs oddsModel chance 70% vs implied 44.4%, positive value

Strong positive

Austin's home over 2.5 goals rate80%, indicating open games

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Dallas's superior recent form and more efficient attack make them the logical choice to win this match. Their ability to limit Austin's scoring chances and capitalize on offensive opportunities underpins this pick. Dallas's higher league position and points tally further reinforce their edge in this contest.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“FC Dallas's attacking threat, led by P. Musa, combined with Austin's defensive struggles, points strongly towards a Dallas victory. Their recent consistency and tactical discipline give them the upper hand in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

FC Dallas to Win evidence

FC Dallas ranks 7th with 27 points; Austin is 14th with 17 points.

Dallas averages 1.4 goals per game, Austin 0.8, showing stronger attack.

Austin concedes 2 goals per game on average, Dallas concedes 1.2, indicating defensive gaps for Austin.

Dallas has a 70% to win, with positive value at 2.25 .

What To Watch In The Data

FC Dallas to Win notes

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 2.4 goals per game, supporting a moderate scoring tempo.
Austin's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests open play and defensive lapses, while Dallas's more measured approach balances attack and defense, indicating a match with goal potential but controlled tempo.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austin0.8

Avg goals scored

FC Dallas1.4

Austin2

Avg goals conceded

FC Dallas1.2

Austin40%

BTTS rate

FC Dallas60%

Austin80%

Over 2.5 goals

FC Dallas60%

Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 83% · edge -2.2 pts

1.2

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Austin's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting open games with defensive vulnerabilities. Dallas's matches show a 60% over 2.5 rate and a 60% BTTS rate, indicating both teams tend to score. This suggests a likely contest with multiple goals and both teams finding the net.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Dallas to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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FC Dallas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.9

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The for FC Dallas to win at 2.25 reflect a market undervaluation compared to the model's 70% chance, indicating positive value. This pricing suggests bettors may be underestimating Dallas's recent form and attacking efficiency, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Austin3

Avg corners for

FC Dallas4

Austin8

Avg total corners

FC Dallas11.4

Austin2.4

Avg yellow cards

FC Dallas2.8

Austin9.6

Avg shots

FC Dallas11.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.1

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Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price

Check odds @ 2

Dallas averages more corners (4.0) and shots (12.5) than Austin (3.33 corners, 11 shots), reflecting greater attacking pressure. Austin accumulates fewer yellow cards (2.33) than Dallas (3.0), indicating Dallas's aggressive pressing style may influence the match tempo and fouling patterns.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austin

LLWLL

Last 51W 0D 4L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 1D 6L

02 Aug 2026A Colorado Rapids0-1

26 Jul 2026A Houston Dynamo0-3

23 Jul 2026H Seattle Sounders3-1

23 May 2026A St. Louis City0-3

17 May 2026H Sporting Kansas City1-2

FC Dallas

DLDWW

Last 52W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 2D 4L

02 Aug 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy0-0

26 Jul 2026A San Diego0-1

23 Jul 2026A Portland Timbers2-2

24 May 2026A Colorado Rapids2-1

17 May 2026A San Jose Earthquakes3-2

Market aligned with main pickFC Dallas to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%

1.36

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FC Dallas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Dallas has collected 8 points recently compared to Austin's 3, demonstrating better momentum. Dallas's improved goal scoring (1.4 per game) and tighter defense (1.2 conceded) contrast with Austin's struggles to score and higher goals conceded, reinforcing Dallas's current superiority and going into this match.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Austin wins

2Draws

5FC Dallas wins

14 Sep 2025FC Dallas v Austin2-0

17 Aug 2025Austin v FC Dallas1-1

18 Jul 2024FC Dallas v Austin3-1

12 May 2024FC Dallas v Austin2-1

31 Mar 2024Austin v FC Dallas2-1

27 Aug 2023FC Dallas v Austin1-0

Market aligned with main pickFC Dallas to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While the sample size is reasonable, recent form and tactical shifts favor Dallas more strongly, so historical results provide background but less predictive power for this specific match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

Austin18

Played

FC Dallas18

Austin1.2

Avg goals for

FC Dallas1.8

Austin2

Avg goals against

FC Dallas1.4

Austin4

Clean sheets

FC Dallas4

Market aligned with main pickFC Dallas to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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FC Dallas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Over the season, Dallas has maintained a more balanced and effective attack and defense, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.2, while Austin scores only 0.8 and concedes 2. This long-term trend underscores Dallas's greater consistency and ability to control matches, supporting their favored status.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	FC Dallas	27	18	7	6	5	7
14	Austin	17	18	4	5	9	-14

Dallas's 7th place with 27 points reflects a stronger league position and likely better squad depth and quality than Austin, who sit 14th with 17 points. While standings alone don't decide outcomes, this gap indicates Dallas's sustained competitiveness and higher probability of victory in this fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Austin Over 2.5

60%FC Dallas Over 2.5

2.4H2H avg goals

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 2.4 goals per game, supporting a moderate scoring tempo. Austin's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests open play and defensive lapses, while Dallas's more measured approach balances attack and defense, indicating a match with goal potential but controlled tempo.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Austin v FC Dallas Stats

Match Report

FC Dallas to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Austin

FC Dallas

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Football Stats Hub

Austin v FC Dallas Stats

Match Report

FC Dallas to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Austin

FC Dallas

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