Athletic Club

Sevilla

La Liga | Sat 22 Aug, 16:00

Athletic Club v Sevilla Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Athletic Club face Sevilla in La Liga on Sat 22 Aug, 16:00. Athletic Club come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Sevilla have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

At 2.2, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 46% implied

Strong positive

Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Athletic Club wins

2Draws

4Sevilla wins

24 Jan 2026Sevilla v Athletic Club2-1

17 Aug 2025Athletic Club v Sevilla3-2

16 Mar 2025Sevilla v Athletic Club0-1

29 Sep 2024Athletic Club v Sevilla1-1

19 May 2024Athletic Club v Sevilla2-0

04 Jan 2024Sevilla v Athletic Club0-2

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Sevilla to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Athletic Club

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Athletic Club yet.

Sevilla

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

15 Aug 2026H Rayo Vallecano2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Sevilla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Sevilla to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Athletic Club Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.35

Check odds @ 1.35

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

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Useful next reads

La Liga fixtures and predictions football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Athletic Club-

Avg goals scored

Sevilla2

Athletic Club-

Avg goals conceded

Sevilla1

Athletic Club-

BTTS rate

Sevilla100%

Athletic Club-

Over 2.5 goals

Sevilla100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 64%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Sevilla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Sevilla to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Athletic Club Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.35

Check odds @ 1.35

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Athletic Club-

Avg corners for

Sevilla1

Athletic Club-

Avg total corners

Sevilla3

Athletic Club-

Avg yellow cards

Sevilla4

Athletic Club-

Avg shots

Sevilla13

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 55% · edge -25.6 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Athletic Club0

Played

Sevilla1

Athletic Club0

Avg goals for

Sevilla2

Athletic Club0

Avg goals against

Sevilla1

Athletic Club0

Clean sheets

Sevilla0

Best odds for this sectionSevilla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Sevilla to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Athletic Club Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%

1.35

Check odds @ 1.35

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Season data supports Sevilla Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	Sevilla	3	1	1	0	0	1
10	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Athletic Club sit in position 10, while Sevilla sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Athletic Club Over 2.5

100%Sevilla Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Athletic Club v Sevilla Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Athletic Club

Sevilla

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Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Athletic Club v Sevilla Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Athletic Club

Sevilla

Continue the research

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Prediction context

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