Athletic Club

CRB

Serie B | Thu 20 Aug, 23:30

Athletic Club v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Athletic Club and CRB meet in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown disciplined defensive records this season. Athletic Club averages just 0.6 goals conceded per game, while CRB concedes even less at 0.2 per match, indicating a tactical emphasis on defensive solidity. Both sides have moderate attacking outputs but have kept matches relatively low-scoring, with Athletic Club scoring 1.6 goals per game and CRB 1.2. The tight league standings and recent form suggest a cautious approach, with neither side likely to overcommit offensively in this balanced contest.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Athletic Club concedes only 0.6 goals per game, CRB concedes 0.2, highlighting strong defenses
Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: Athletic Club 40%, CRB 20%, indicating fewer high-scoring games
Recent form shows Athletic Club scoring 1.6 and CRB 1.2 goals per game, supporting a low-scoring outlook
H2H average goals stand at 2.75 over four matches, but recent defensive form suggests fewer goals this time
Shots on target per game are moderate, with Athletic Club at 3.8 and CRB at 5.6, reflecting controlled attacking chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 64.9% chance, reflecting both teams' defensive strengths and moderate attacking output. Athletic Club's strong defensive record and CRB's even lower goals conceded per game support a low-scoring match. The teams' low Over 2.5 Goals rates and recent form data reinforce this view. The current at 1.62 offer a small positive , making the Under 2.5 Goals a sensible selection for a match likely to be tactically cautious and defensively disciplined.

Defensive solidityAthletic Club concedes 0.6, CRB 0.2 goals per game

Strong positive

Low Over 2.5 Goals rates40% Athletic Club, 20% CRB

Positive

Moderate attacking output1.6 and 1.2 goals per game respectively

Positive

Model chance vs implied odds64.9% model chance vs 61.7% implied chance

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given both Athletic Club and CRB's defensive discipline and modest scoring rates. The tactical setup and recent form data suggest a cautious game with limited goal-scoring opportunities. This bet aligns well with the teams' tendencies to prioritize defensive organization over aggressive attacking play.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive discipline and low-scoring potential

“This fixture is shaped by two sides that emphasize defensive control and measured attacking, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling choice. The low goals conceded and moderate shot volumes indicate a match where chances will be limited and goals scarce.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Athletic Club concedes only 0.6 goals per game, CRB concedes 0.2, highlighting strong defenses

Recent form shows Athletic Club scoring 1.6 and CRB 1.2 goals per game, supporting a low-scoring outlook

H2H average goals stand at 2.75 over four matches, but recent defensive form suggests fewer goals this time

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.75, slightly above 2.5.
However, recent defensive form and tactical trends suggest a slower tempo and tighter defenses this time.
The trend panel indicates that while goals can occur, the match is more likely to stay under 2.5 goals due to disciplined defensive setups and controlled attacking play.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Athletic Club2.6

Avg corners for

CRB3.8

Athletic Club8

Avg total corners

CRB11

Athletic Club2.6

Avg yellow cards

CRB1.6

Athletic Club10.2

Avg shots

CRB18.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +7.3 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Athletic Club averages 2.6 corners and 2.6 yellow cards per game, while CRB averages 3.8 corners and 1.6 yellows. Shot volumes are moderate, with Athletic Club taking 10.2 shots and CRB 18.4 per game, but shot quality and defensive pressure likely limit clear chances. The card counts suggest disciplined play, reducing the likelihood of disruptive set-piece goals.

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corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Athletic Club1.6

Avg goals scored

CRB1.2

Athletic Club0.6

Avg goals conceded

CRB0.2

Athletic Club60%

BTTS rate

CRB20%

Athletic Club40%

Over 2.5 goals

CRB20%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 62% · edge +3.2 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 4

Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Athletic Club at 60% and CRB at 20%, suggesting that at least one side often keeps a clean sheet. The low goals conceded per game and moderate scoring rates point to a controlled goals environment, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection with limited goal-scoring chances expected.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCRB to WinBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.62 with a of 64.9%, indicating a small positive . The reflect the defensive strengths of both teams, and the price is reasonable without being overly short. This market is a sensible selection given the statistical backing and current pricing environment.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Athletic Club

WWDWD

Last 53W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 4D 2L

16 Aug 2026A America Mineiro3-1

09 Aug 2026H Criciuma2-0

28 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta1-1

23 Jul 2026H São Bernardo2-1

18 Jul 2026A Atletico Goianiense0-0

CRB

DWWWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 4D 1L

16 Aug 2026H Novorizontino0-0

11 Aug 2026A Avai1-0

27 Jul 2026H Vila Nova2-0

22 Jul 2026A Ceara1-0

17 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.7 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Recent form data shows Athletic Club scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per game, while CRB scores 1.2 and concedes 0.2. Both teams have relatively low Over 2.5 Goals rates, 40% and 20% respectively, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring matches. This form supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick as both sides demonstrate defensive solidity and measured attacking.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Athletic Club wins

0Draws

3CRB wins

13 Apr 2026CRB v Athletic Club2-3

12 Aug 2025CRB v Athletic Club1-0

13 Apr 2025Athletic Club v CRB1-2

11 Mar 2024CRB v Athletic Club2-0

Best odds for this sectionCRB to WinBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

The four previous meetings between Athletic Club and CRB have averaged 2.75 goals per game, indicating a moderately open historical trend. However, recent defensive improvements and tactical caution from both sides suggest that this fixture may deviate from that pattern, leaning towards fewer goals and a tighter contest.

Season team stats

Serie B

Athletic Club22

Played

CRB22

Athletic Club1.1

Avg goals for

CRB1.5

Athletic Club0.9

Avg goals against

CRB1.5

Athletic Club6

Clean sheets

CRB6

Best odds for this sectionCRB to WinBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Load more odds for this section

CRB Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Season-long statistics reveal strong defensive performances from both teams, with CRB conceding only 0.2 goals per game and Athletic Club 0.6. Their moderate scoring rates and low Over 2.5 Goals percentages further reinforce the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter, aligning well with the Under 2.5 Goals market.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
8	Athletic Club	34	22	8	10	4	5
9	CRB	33	22	9	6	7	0

Athletic Club and CRB sit close in the Serie B standings, ranked 8th and 9th with 34 and 33 points respectively. This proximity suggests a competitive match where both teams may prioritize not losing over taking excessive risks, supporting a cautious game likely to produce fewer goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Athletic Club Over 2.5

20%CRB Over 2.5

2.75H2H avg goals

Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.75, slightly above 2.5. However, recent defensive form and tactical trends suggest a slower tempo and tighter defenses this time. The trend panel indicates that while goals can occur, the match is more likely to stay under 2.5 goals due to disciplined defensive setups and controlled attacking play.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Athletic Club v CRB Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Athletic Club v CRB Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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