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Athletic Club crestAthletic Club
v
Alaves crestAlaves

La Liga | Sat 19 Sep, 15:15

Athletic Club v Alaves Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Athletic Club face Alaves in La Liga on Sat 19 Sep, 15:15. Athletic Club come in with 7 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Alaves have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.73, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Athletic Club lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Alaves lower at 4.8.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Athletic Club average 14 and Alaves average 13.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Athletic Club lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Alaves lower at 4.8.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Athletic Club lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Athletic Club lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Alaves lower at 4.8. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Athletic Club lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Alaves lower at 4.8.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Athletic Club average 14 and Alaves average 13.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Athletic Club6.4
Avg corners for
Alaves4.8
Athletic Club12
Avg total corners
Alaves10.4
Athletic Club2
Avg yellow cards
Alaves2
Athletic Club14
Avg shots
Alaves13.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.4 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Alaves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Athletic Club1.4
Avg goals scored
Alaves1.6
Athletic Club1.2
Avg goals conceded
Alaves1.2
Athletic Club40%
BTTS rate
Alaves60%
Athletic Club40%
Over 2.5 goals
Alaves40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Athletic Club

DWWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Elche1-1
05 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid3-0
30 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-0
27 Aug 2026A Barcelona0-2
22 Aug 2026H Sevilla1-3

Alaves

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
15 Sep 2026H Valencia0-1
12 Sep 2026A Racing Santander1-2
06 Sep 2026H Osasuna5-2
28 Aug 2026H Villarreal1-0
20 Aug 2026A Rayo Vallecano1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Alaves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Athletic Club wins
3Draws
2Alaves wins
02 May 2026Alaves v Athletic Club2-4
13 Sep 2025Athletic Club v Alaves0-1
22 Jul 2025Alaves v Athletic Club1-0
11 May 2025Athletic Club v Alaves1-0
15 Dec 2024Alaves v Athletic Club1-1
16 Mar 2024Athletic Club v Alaves2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

La Liga

Athletic Club5
Played
Alaves6
Athletic Club1.4
Avg goals for
Alaves1.8
Athletic Club1.2
Avg goals against
Alaves1
Athletic Club2
Clean sheets
Alaves2
Best odds for this sectionAlaves Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Alaves to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Alaves Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Alaves1063125
9Athletic Club752121
Athletic Club sit in position 9, while Alaves sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Athletic Club Over 2.5
40%Alaves Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Athletic Club sit at 40% and Alaves sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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