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Atalantav
BolognaSerie A | Sun 17 May, 17:00
Atalanta v Bologna Stats
BT4Y best bet
Bologna to Win
- At 4.75, Bologna to Win is priced at roughly 21% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 49%, so the current line is showing a +27.8-point value edge.
- Atalanta have a recent record of 1W-2D-2L, while Bologna come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Bologna to Win angle: Atalanta have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Bologna to Win angle: Bologna have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 4.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 21% · edge +27.8 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Atalanta Over 2.5
20%Bologna Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Atalanta
WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 4D 3L
10 May 2026A AC Milan3-2
02 May 2026H Genoa0-0
27 Apr 2026A Cagliari2-3
18 Apr 2026A AS Roma1-1
11 Apr 2026H Juventus0-1
Bologna
WDLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 1D 4L
11 May 2026A Napoli3-2
03 May 2026H Cagliari0-0
25 Apr 2026H AS Roma0-2
19 Apr 2026A Juventus0-2
12 Apr 2026H Lecce2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 21% · edge +27.8 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Atalanta1.2
Avg goals scoredBologna1
Atalanta1.4
Avg goals concededBologna1.2
Atalanta60%
BTTS rateBologna20%
Atalanta40%
Over 2.5 goalsBologna20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 46% · edge +20.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
4Atalanta wins
2Draws
4Bologna wins
07 Jan 2026Bologna v Atalanta0-2
13 Apr 2025Atalanta v Bologna2-0
04 Feb 2025Atalanta v Bologna0-1
28 Sep 2024Bologna v Atalanta1-1
03 Mar 2024Atalanta v Bologna1-2
23 Dec 2023Bologna v Atalanta1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 21% · edge +27.8 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Atalanta6.6
Avg corners forBologna4.8
Atalanta10
Avg total cornersBologna10.4
Atalanta1.6
Avg yellow cardsBologna1.2
Atalanta14.4
Avg shotsBologna10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +5.8 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
C. De Ketelaere To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. De Ketelaere · 5 assists · 2.6 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
N. KrstovićAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat94/100
Shots /903.93
SOT /901.75
G. ScamaccaAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat91/100
Shots /903.37
SOT /901.51
R. OrsoliniBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.72
SOT /901.28
G. RaspadoriAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /902.12
SOT /901.55
I. SulemanaBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
C. ImmobileBologna · Attacker
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900.47
SOT /900
L. FergusonBologna · Midfielder
Goal threat17/100
Shots /900.38
SOT /900.13
Season team stats
Serie A
Atalanta36
PlayedBologna36
Atalanta1.4
Avg goals forBologna1.3
Atalanta0.9
Avg goals againstBologna1.2
Atalanta13
Clean sheetsBologna11
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 21% · edge +27.8 pts
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atalanta | 58 | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Bologna | 52 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
