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Apollon Limassol crestApollon Limassol
v
Brann crestBrann

UEFA Europa Conference League | Tue 11 Aug, 18:00

Apollon Limassol v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 02:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Apollon Limassol face Brann in UEFA Europa Conference League on Tue 11 Aug, 18:00. Brann’s last six games and Apollon’s last six games have each produced 22 total goals, an identical average of 3.67 goals per fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 3/4, Over 2 implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Both teams have shown expansive attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent matches averaging 3.67 goals each.
  • Apollon Limassol have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Brann.
  • Apollon Limassol have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 72% for Over 2 sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Apollon Limassol have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Brann. Both teams have shown expansive attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent matches averaging 3.67 goals each.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Strong positive
Apollon Limassol have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Apollon Limassol have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have shown expansive attacking styles and defensive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Apollon Limassol Win is the preferred angle because both teams have shown expansive attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent matches averaging that scoring level each. Apollon Limassol have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Brann. The first goal will not decide the tie, but it may decide which version of the contest appears.

Main risk

The first goal will not decide the tie, but it may decide which version of the contest appears.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Both teams have shown expansive attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent matches averaging that scoring level each.

Apollon Limassol have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Brann.

Apollon Limassol have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Apollon Limassol Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Apollon Limassol2.67
    Avg goals scored
    Brann1.67
    Apollon Limassol0
    Avg goals conceded
    Brann1.33
    Apollon Limassol0%
    BTTS rate
    Brann67%
    Apollon Limassol67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brann67%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 78% · edge -5.7 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 67% for Apollon Limassol and 67% for Brann, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickApollon Limassol to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Apollon Limassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Apollon Limassol to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    UEFA Europa Conference League hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Apollon Limassol4
    Avg corners for
    Brann6
    Apollon Limassol10
    Avg total corners
    Brann10
    Apollon Limassol2
    Avg yellow cards
    Brann2
    Apollon Limassol0
    Avg shots
    Brann0
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Apollon Limassol

    WWW
    Last 53W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 0L
    05 Aug 2026A Brann1-0
    28 Jul 2026H Dila3-0
    23 Jul 2026A Dila4-0

    Brann

    LWD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    05 Aug 2026H Apollon Limassol0-1
    30 Jul 2026H Universitatea Cluj3-1
    23 Jul 2026A Universitatea Cluj2-2
    Market aligned with main pickApollon Limassol to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Apollon Limassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Apollon Limassol wins
    0Draws
    0Brann wins
    05 Aug 2026Brann v Apollon Limassol0-1
    Market aligned with main pickApollon Limassol to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Apollon Limassol to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa Conference League

    Apollon Limassol4
    Played
    Brann5
    Apollon Limassol2.5
    Avg goals for
    Brann2
    Apollon Limassol1
    Avg goals against
    Brann1.4
    Apollon Limassol3
    Clean sheets
    Brann0
    Market aligned with main pickApollon Limassol to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Apollon Limassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports Apollon Limassol to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Apollon Limassol Over 2.5
    67%Brann Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Apollon Limassol sit at 67% and Brann sit at 67% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Apollon Limassol v Brann prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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