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America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali
v
Junior crestJunior

Primera A | Thu 27 Aug, 00:20

America de Cali v Junior Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

America de Cali enters this Primera A clash as the league leaders, boasting a strong defensive record with zero goals conceded and an impressive 13 points from recent matches. Junior, struggling near the bottom of the table with just 4 points, face an uphill battle to break down a disciplined America de Cali side. The home team’s tactical setup emphasizes defensive solidity and controlled attacking play, while Junior’s recent form shows vulnerability at the back and less offensive threat. This fixture carries significant pressure for Junior to improve results, but America de Cali’s momentum and home advantage set the stage for a confident performance.

BT4Y best bet

America de Cali to Win

  • America de Cali leads the league with 13 points and zero goals conceded recently.
  • Junior ranks 18th with only 4 points and a leaky defense conceding 1 goal per game.
  • America de Cali averages 10 shots per match with 5.5 on target, showing efficient attack.
  • Junior’s BTTS rate is 40%, but America de Cali has kept clean sheets in recent games.
  • The model assigns a 74% chance for America de Cali to win, indicating strong .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors America de Cali to win due to their dominant recent form, including a perfect defensive record and superior point tally. Their attacking efficiency, with a high volume of shots and shots on target, contrasts with Junior’s struggles in both scoring and defense. The implied offer positive value, reflecting the model’s 74% win probability against a market-implied 54%. This suggests America de Cali’s tactical discipline and momentum make them strong favorites, though Junior’s occasional goal threat keeps the contest competitive.

Recent defensive formZero goals conceded by America de Cali
Strong positive
Points in recent matchesAmerica de Cali 13 vs Junior 4
Strong positive
Shots and shots on targetAmerica de Cali 10/5.5 vs Junior 14/4.5
Positive
BTTS ratesAmerica de Cali 0% vs Junior 40%
Positive
Model win probability74% for America de Cali
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

America de Cali’s tactical discipline and recent defensive strength make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to control the game and limit Junior’s attacking opportunities, combined with Junior’s poor form and defensive frailties, supports backing the home side to win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“America de Cali’s defensive resilience and efficient attack provide a solid foundation for victory, especially against a Junior side struggling to find consistency at both ends of the pitch.”

Key Data Signals

America de Cali to Win evidence

America de Cali leads the league with 13 points and zero goals conceded recently.

Junior ranks 18th with only 4 points and a leaky defense conceding 1 goal per game.

America de Cali averages 10 shots per match with 5.5 on target, showing efficient attack.

Junior’s BTTS rate is 40%, but America de Cali has kept clean sheets in recent games.

What To Watch In The Data

America de Cali to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • America de Cali’s low BTTS rate and strong defense indicate a controlled tempo, while Junior’s occasional goals create potential for a few scoring moments, aligning with a trend towards under 3 goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

America de Cali3.6
Avg corners for
Junior4.8
America de Cali10.4
Avg total corners
Junior10.2
America de Cali2.6
Avg yellow cards
Junior3.2
America de Cali11.4
Avg shots
Junior13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
America de Cali averages 5 corners and 2.5 yellow cards per match, reflecting a balanced approach with disciplined defending. Junior’s slightly higher card count and fewer corners suggest less territorial control. Shot data shows America de Cali’s efficient shooting with more shots on target despite fewer total shots, indicating quality over quantity in attack.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America de Cali2.2
Avg goals scored
Junior1
America de Cali0
Avg goals conceded
Junior1
America de Cali0%
BTTS rate
Junior40%
America de Cali20%
Over 2.5 goals
Junior40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The goal-scoring context suggests a low-scoring game, as America de Cali has kept clean sheets recently and holds a 0% BTTS rate, while Junior’s 40% BTTS rate indicates occasional goals. This points to controlled scoring opportunities rather than an open, high-scoring match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The current for America de Cali to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 74% chance compared to the market’s implied 54%. This gap indicates the market underestimates America de Cali’s strong form and defensive solidity, making the price attractive for backing the home side.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America de Cali

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
23 Aug 2026A Santa Fe0-0
10 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
06 Aug 2026A Once Caldas1-0
02 Aug 2026H Chico7-0
26 Jul 2026A Internacional de Bogota2-0

Junior

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
24 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1
02 Aug 2026H Millonarios0-1
26 Jul 2026A Deportes Tolima1-2
08 Jun 2026A Atletico Nacional0-1
03 Jun 2026H Atletico Nacional3-0
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
America de Cali’s recent form is dominant, accumulating 13 points with no goals conceded, highlighting defensive strength and consistent winning performances. Junior’s form is weaker, with only 4 points and a higher goals conceded rate, indicating struggles to contain opponents and secure results.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4America de Cali wins
3Draws
3Junior wins
19 Feb 2026Junior v America de Cali2-1
05 Dec 2025Junior v America de Cali2-1
24 Nov 2025America de Cali v Junior1-1
25 Oct 2025America de Cali v Junior2-1
16 Oct 2025America de Cali v Junior0-1
03 Oct 2025Junior v America de Cali1-2
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The head-to-head record over ten matches shows an average of 2.3 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While past meetings provide context, America de Cali’s current form and defensive record offer stronger signals for this match’s likely outcome than historical results.
Season team stats

Primera A

America de Cali26
Played
Junior28
America de Cali1.4
Avg goals for
Junior1.5
America de Cali0.8
Avg goals against
Junior1.1
America de Cali14
Clean sheets
Junior9
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season-long data shows America de Cali as a top defensive team, conceding no goals recently and maintaining a low BTTS rate. Their attack is efficient with 2.2 goals per game, supported by multiple players contributing shots and goals. Junior’s season stats reveal defensive vulnerabilities and a lower scoring rate, reinforcing America de Cali’s superiority.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Junior351911267
4America de Cali3319103610
1America de Cali13541011
18Junior13012-2
America de Cali leads the league standings, reflecting consistent performance and form pressure on Junior, who sit near the bottom. This gap in league position underscores the stakes for Junior to improve, while America de Cali can capitalize on momentum and home advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%America de Cali Over 2.5
40%Junior Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, suggesting moderate scoring. America de Cali’s low BTTS rate and strong defense indicate a controlled tempo, while Junior’s occasional goals create potential for a few scoring moments, aligning with a trend towards under 3 goals in this fixture.

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