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Amed crestAmed
v
Erzurumspor FK crestErzurumspor FK

Süper Lig | Sun 16 Aug, 19:30

Amed v Erzurumspor FK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Amed face Erzurumspor FK in Süper Lig on Sun 16 Aug, 19:30. Amed averaged 17.33 shots and 2.17 goals across their final six league matches, but conceded 1.67 per game and kept no clean sheets.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding support a Both Teams To Score outcome.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 50% (-10.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Erzurumspor FK to Win shows a +8.7 pts edge at 3.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding support a Both Teams To Score outcome.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Negative
Both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -10.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding support a Both Teams To Score outcome. There is less attacking volume here, but the balance between creating enough and restricting the opposition appears considerably healthier.

Main risk

There is less attacking volume here, but the balance between creating enough and restricting the opposition appears considerably healthier.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding support a Both Teams To Score outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Amed-
Avg goals scored
Erzurumspor FK-
Amed-
Avg goals conceded
Erzurumspor FK-
Amed-
BTTS rate
Erzurumspor FK-
Amed-
Over 2.5 goals
Erzurumspor FK-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Erzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Erzurumspor FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Amed Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Amed

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Amed yet.

Erzurumspor FK

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Erzurumspor FK yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +9.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Erzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Erzurumspor FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Amed Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Amed wins
2Draws
3Erzurumspor FK wins
18 Jan 2026Erzurumspor FK v Amed2-0
18 Aug 2025Amed v Erzurumspor FK2-2
16 Mar 2025Amed v Erzurumspor FK1-2
03 Nov 2024Erzurumspor FK v Amed2-0
15 Jan 2017Amed v Erzurumspor FK1-1
03 Sep 2016Erzurumspor FK v Amed1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Erzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Süper Lig

Amed0
Played
Erzurumspor FK0
Amed0
Avg goals for
Erzurumspor FK0
Amed0
Avg goals against
Erzurumspor FK0
Amed0
Clean sheets
Erzurumspor FK0
Best odds for this sectionErzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Erzurumspor FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Amed Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Amed to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Erzurumspor FK to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Amed Over 2.5
-Erzurumspor FK Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
Both teams’ recent scoring records and patterns of conceding support a Both Teams To Score outcome.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.