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Samsunspor crestSamsunspor
v
Göztepe crestGöztepe

Süper Lig | Mon 17 Aug, 19:30

Samsunspor v Göztepe Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Samsunspor face Göztepe in Süper Lig on Mon 17 Aug, 19:30. Samsunspor ended last season with a clear trend of high-scoring games, with 10 consecutive league matches featuring three or more goals. Samsunspor vs Goztepe: Strong Finish Meets Stronger Summer Form.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 9/10, Over 2 implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three or more goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a solid choice.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Over 2 sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three or more goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a solid choice.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Neutral
Both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +2.2 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three or more goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a solid choice. However, with both managers utilizing back-three systems that rely on wing-backs for width, spatial transitions remain frequent.

Main risk

However, with both managers utilizing back-three systems that rely on wing-backs for width, spatial transitions remain frequent.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three or more goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a solid choice.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Samsunspor

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Samsunspor yet.

Göztepe

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Göztepe yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 77% · edge -5.4 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Samsunspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Samsunspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Göztepe to WinBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Samsunspor-
Avg goals scored
Göztepe-
Samsunspor-
Avg goals conceded
Göztepe-
Samsunspor-
BTTS rate
Göztepe-
Samsunspor-
Over 2.5 goals
Göztepe-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Samsunspor to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Samsunspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Göztepe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Göztepe to WinBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Samsunspor Over 2.5
-Göztepe Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Both sides’ recent meetings also often produced three or more goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a solid choice.

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