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Alcione crestAlcione
v
Union Brescia crestUnion Brescia

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 20 Sep, 19:30

Alcione v Union Brescia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alcione and Union Brescia meet in Serie C - Girone A with both sides showing attacking intent this season. Alcione ranks 4th with 9 points and an 80% BTTS rate, while Union Brescia sits 3rd with 11 points and a 40% BTTS rate. Alcione's matches often feature goals at both ends, reflecting their offensive style but also defensive vulnerabilities. Union Brescia's tighter defense contrasts with their less frequent BTTS games, setting up an intriguing tactical clash. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities from both teams, with momentum favoring offensive exchanges.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Alcione has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent both teams scoring.
  • Union Brescia concedes fewer goals but still participates in BTTS 40% of matches.
  • Alcione averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing attacking openness.
  • Recent form shows both teams capable of scoring, supporting BTTS likelihood.
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of Alcione's matches, suggesting open games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% chance, well above the implied market chance of 44.4%, indicating strong value. Alcione's high BTTS rate (80%) and offensive output combine with Union Brescia's occasional goal concessions to create a favorable environment for both teams scoring. The level of 88% reflects consistent attacking patterns and recent form data. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a solid football read for BTTS in this fixture.

Alcione BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Union Brescia BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Model Probability66.7%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance44.4%
Neutral
Confidence Level88%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking prowess, but Alcione's openness and Union Brescia's occasional defensive lapses make Both Teams to Score a compelling pick. The data supports a game where both sides find the net, reflecting their recent scoring trends and tactical approaches.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS potential

“Alcione's aggressive attacking style combined with Union Brescia's willingness to push forward creates a fertile ground for goals at both ends. This match is poised for an open contest with scoring chances for both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Alcione has an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent both teams scoring.

Union Brescia concedes fewer goals but still participates in BTTS 40% of matches.

Alcione averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing attacking openness.

Recent form shows both teams capable of scoring, supporting BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Alcione has seen 60% of games exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and attacking openness.
  • Union Brescia's 40% rate suggests more measured scoring.
  • The combined trends point to a match with potential for multiple goals, driven by Alcione's offensive tempo and Union Brescia's occasional defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alcione1.8
Avg goals scored
Union Brescia1.4
Alcione1.2
Avg goals conceded
Union Brescia0.6
Alcione80%
BTTS rate
Union Brescia40%
Alcione60%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Brescia40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Alcione's matches feature a high BTTS rate of 80%, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, indicating open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Union Brescia, while more conservative, still concedes occasionally, contributing to BTTS outcomes in 40% of their games. These trends suggest a good chance for goals at both ends in this fixture.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alcione

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 0L
17 Sep 2026A PRO Vercelli2-2
13 Sep 2026A Folgore Caratese3-2
07 Sep 2026H Treviso1-1
30 Aug 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi0-0
21 Aug 2026H Renate3-1

Union Brescia

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
17 Sep 2026H Treviso2-2
13 Sep 2026A Trento0-0
06 Sep 2026H Desenzano Calvina1-0
30 Aug 2026A Pergolettese1-0
21 Aug 2026H Athletic Carpi3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Alcione to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Union Brescia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Alcione with 9 points and a strong BTTS rate of 80%, reflecting consistent goal-scoring and conceding. Union Brescia holds 11 points with a more cautious 40% BTTS rate but solid defensive numbers. Both teams' recent matches indicate a balance between attack and defense, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides in this encounter.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Union Brescia1153204
4Alcione952303
Alcione and Union Brescia occupy 4th and 3rd places respectively, both with solid point totals early in the season. While standings indicate competitive form, the league position mainly provides background context rather than direct influence on BTTS likelihood. The focus remains on tactical and scoring trends rather than table pressure for this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Alcione to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Union Brescia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with reflecting an implied chance of 44.4%, significantly lower than the model's 66.7% probability. This discrepancy highlights clear value in backing BTTS, supported by the teams' offensive tendencies and recent scoring patterns. The market offers a positive edge without warning flags, suggesting a strong betting opportunity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Alcione wins
1Draws
0Union Brescia wins
13 Mar 2026Alcione v Union Brescia0-0
09 Nov 2025Union Brescia v Alcione0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Alcione to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The two previous meetings between Alcione and Union Brescia have been low-scoring affairs, averaging only 0.5 goals per game. This limited sample suggests a historically cautious matchup, but current season form and attacking trends indicate a shift towards more open play and increased scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Alcione5
Played
Union Brescia5
Alcione1.8
Avg goals for
Union Brescia1.4
Alcione1.2
Avg goals against
Union Brescia0.6
Alcione1
Clean sheets
Union Brescia3
Best odds for this sectionAlcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 40% · edge +5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Alcione to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Union Brescia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long statistics reveal Alcione's attacking strength with 1.8 goals per game and a tendency to concede 1.2 goals, fostering open matches. Union Brescia's tighter defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, contrasts with their moderate scoring rate of 1.4 goals. This combination suggests a fixture where Alcione's offense meets Union Brescia's defense, increasing BTTS chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Alcione Over 2.5
40%Union Brescia Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Alcione has seen 60% of games exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and attacking openness. Union Brescia's 40% rate suggests more measured scoring. The combined trends point to a match with potential for multiple goals, driven by Alcione's offensive tempo and Union Brescia's occasional defensive gaps.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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