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Al-Fayha crestAl-Fayha
v
Abha crestAbha

Pro League | Fri 28 Aug, 17:00

Al-Fayha v Abha Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Fayha and Abha meet in a Pro League clash where both teams have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.67 and 2.33 goals per game respectively. Both sides have started the season with just one point each, emphasizing the need for offensive improvement. Their matches have frequently featured multiple goals, reflecting open play and defensive vulnerabilities. This fixture promises attacking intent from both teams, with tactical setups likely to encourage goal-scoring opportunities as they seek to secure their first win of the campaign.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams concede over 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Al-Fayha and Abha each have a 67% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Al-Fayha averaging 11 and Abha 12.33 shots.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.22 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Key players like Mansor Al Beshe and Koshaim Al Karani contribute significant attacking threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong pick with a 61.6% chance, supported by both teams' defensive struggles and attacking tendencies. Each side's high shots and shots on target per game, combined with a 67% over 2.5 goals rate, underpin the expectation of multiple goals. The price offers positive value with a 14% edge, reflecting the likelihood of an open, goal-filled match. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection based on current form and season trends.

Model Chance61.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge14% positive
Strong positive
Team Defensive RecordsAl-Fayha 1.67, Abha 2.33 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate67% for both teams
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetHigh averages for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Al-Fayha and Abha pushing forward to break their winless starts. Their defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent suggest a match likely to produce multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a fitting selection. The data supports a lively encounter where both sides seek to assert themselves offensively.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Al-Fayha and Abha's defensive records and attacking volumes point to a fixture ripe for goals. Their shared urgency to claim a first win should fuel an open contest, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams concede over 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Al-Fayha and Abha each have a 67% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Average shots per game are high for both sides, with Al-Fayha averaging 11 and Abha 12.33 shots.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.22 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.22, indicating a tendency for matches to feature multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent season data, suggests a tempo and style that favors goal-scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Fayha0.33
Avg goals scored
Abha0.67
Al-Fayha1.67
Avg goals conceded
Abha2.33
Al-Fayha33%
BTTS rate
Abha67%
Al-Fayha67%
Over 2.5 goals
Abha67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both teams have a 67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, with Al-Fayha scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67 goals per game, while Abha scores 0.67 and concedes 2.33. The combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a high probability of goals and potential BTTS, driven by defensive lapses and attacking pressure.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Abha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.1, reflecting an implied chance of 47.6%, which is notably lower than the model's 61.6% probability. This positive of 14% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Al-Fayha2.5
Avg corners for
Abha4.5
Al-Fayha6.5
Avg total corners
Abha6.5
Al-Fayha1
Avg yellow cards
Abha2
Al-Fayha10.5
Avg shots
Abha13.5

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Fayha

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
25 Aug 2026A Al Taawon0-0
20 Aug 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-3
14 Aug 2026A NEOM1-2

Abha

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
25 Aug 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
22 Aug 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah0-4
13 Aug 2026H Al-Hazm1-2
Best odds for this sectionAbha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 49% · edge +1.9 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows both teams have struggled to secure wins, each earning just one point so far. Their matches have featured a 67% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting a pattern of open games with defensive vulnerabilities. This trend supports expectations for a goal-rich encounter as both sides seek to improve results.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Al-Fayha wins
4Draws
2Abha wins
25 Feb 2024Al-Fayha v Abha3-2
28 Aug 2023Abha v Al-Fayha2-1
02 Mar 2023Al-Fayha v Abha2-0
16 Sep 2022Abha v Al-Fayha1-1
23 Jun 2022Abha v Al-Fayha0-0
25 Dec 2021Al-Fayha v Abha0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The nine previous meetings between Al-Fayha and Abha have averaged 2.22 goals per game, a moderate scoring rate that supports the likelihood of multiple goals. While not overwhelmingly high, this historical trend aligns with current season data and attacking tendencies, providing a relevant background for the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Pro League

Al-Fayha0
Played
Abha3
Al-Fayha-
Avg goals for
Abha0.7
Al-Fayha-
Avg goals against
Abha2.3
Al-Fayha-
Clean sheets
Abha0
Best odds for this sectionAbha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 49% · edge +1.9 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Abha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Al-Fayha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Al-Fayha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season-long statistics reveal Al-Fayha concedes 1.67 goals per game and Abha 2.33, underscoring defensive weaknesses. Both teams maintain high shot averages, with Al-Fayha at 11 and Abha at 12.33 per match, indicating offensive activity. These profiles align with a match environment conducive to multiple goals and sustained attacking phases.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Al-Fayha13012-4
17Abha13012-5
Both teams occupy the bottom of the Pro League table, with Al-Fayha 16th and Abha 17th, each on one point. This precarious position increases pressure to secure points, likely encouraging attacking play to break the winless streaks. The standings context adds urgency but does not guarantee defensive solidity, supporting the expectation of an open game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Al-Fayha Over 2.5
67%Abha Over 2.5
2.22H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.22, indicating a tendency for matches to feature multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent season data, suggests a tempo and style that favors goal-scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals angle for this fixture.

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