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Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian

Premiership | Sat 01 Aug, 17:30

Aberdeen v Heart Of Midlothian Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face Heart Of Midlothian in Premiership on Sat 01 Aug, 17:30.

BT4Y best bet

Aberdeen to Win

  • At 3.2, Aberdeen to Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Aberdeen sit 12 in the table, while Heart Of Midlothian sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Aberdeen to Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Aberdeen sit 12 in the table, while Heart Of Midlothian sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Positive
Aberdeen sit 12 in the table, while Heart Of Midlothian.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +11.7 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Aberdeen Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Aberdeen sit 12 in the table, while Heart Of Midlothian sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Aberdeen to Win evidence

Aberdeen sit 12 in the table, while Heart Of Midlothian sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Aberdeen to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Aberdeen wins
    2Draws
    4Heart Of Midlothian wins
    28 Feb 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Aberdeen1-0
    23 Nov 2025Aberdeen v Heart Of Midlothian1-0
    04 Aug 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Aberdeen2-0
    19 Apr 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Aberdeen1-2
    12 Jan 2025Aberdeen v Heart Of Midlothian0-0
    01 Dec 2024Heart Of Midlothian v Aberdeen1-1
    Market aligned with main pickAberdeen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 31% · edge +11.7 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Aberdeen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Aberdeen

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Aberdeen yet.

    Heart Of Midlothian

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Heart Of Midlothian yet.

    Market aligned with main pickAberdeen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 31% · edge +11.7 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Aberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Aberdeen-
    Avg goals scored
    Heart Of Midlothian-
    Aberdeen-
    Avg goals conceded
    Heart Of Midlothian-
    Aberdeen-
    BTTS rate
    Heart Of Midlothian-
    Aberdeen-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Heart Of Midlothian-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 31%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAberdeen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 31% · edge +11.7 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Aberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Aberdeen to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Aberdeen0
    Played
    Heart Of Midlothian0
    Aberdeen0
    Avg goals for
    Heart Of Midlothian0
    Aberdeen0
    Avg goals against
    Heart Of Midlothian0
    Aberdeen0
    Clean sheets
    Heart Of Midlothian0
    Market aligned with main pickAberdeen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 31% · edge +11.7 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Aberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Aberdeen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Heart Of Midlothian000000
    12Aberdeen000000
    Aberdeen sit in position 12, while Heart Of Midlothian sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Aberdeen to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Aberdeen Over 2.5
    -Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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