Football Stats Hub

Falkirk crestFalkirk
v
ST Mirren crestST Mirren

Premiership | Sat 01 Aug, 15:00

Falkirk v ST Mirren Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Falkirk face ST Mirren in Premiership on Sat 01 Aug, 15:00. Falkirk showed strong attacking form in recent League Cup matches, scoring multiple goals, while defensive issues and key absences weaken their backline. Those victories should give the visitors genuine .

BT4Y best bet

While simultaneously validating a Both Teams To Score wager

  • At 10/1, While simultaneously validating a Both Teams To Score wager implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • Against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as Alexander Gogic and Richard King, passive movement will achieve very little.
  • Falkirk sit 11 in the table, while ST Mirren sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for While simultaneously validating a Both Teams To Score wager sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Falkirk sit 11 in the table, while ST Mirren sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as Alexander Gogic and Richard King, passive movement will achieve very little.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Falkirk sit 11 in the table, while ST Mirren sit.Visible data support
Positive
Against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Falkirk Win is the preferred angle because against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as Alexander Gogic and Richard King, passive movement will achieve very little. Falkirk sit 11 in the table, while ST Mirren sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Ross MacIver also scored two goals in that phase, although Falkirk’s selection decisions may determine whether the pair begin together or whether one is used later against tiring defenders.

Main risk

Ross MacIver also scored two goals in that phase, although Falkirk’s selection decisions may determine whether the pair begin together or whether one is used later against tiring defenders.

Key Data Signals

While simultaneously validating a Both Teams To Score wager evidence

Against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as Alexander Gogic and Richard King, passive movement will achieve.

Falkirk sit 11 in the table, while ST Mirren sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

While simultaneously validating a Both Teams To Score wager notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFalkirk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 50% · edge -3.9 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Falkirk Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Falkirk to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Falkirk-
    Avg goals scored
    ST Mirren-
    Falkirk-
    Avg goals conceded
    ST Mirren-
    Falkirk-
    BTTS rate
    ST Mirren-
    Falkirk-
    Over 2.5 goals
    ST Mirren-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.2 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Falkirk

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Falkirk yet.

    ST Mirren

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for ST Mirren yet.

    Market aligned with main pickFalkirk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 50% · edge -3.9 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Falkirk Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Falkirk Over 2.5
    -ST Mirren Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    Against an experienced and combative defensive pairing such as Alexander Gogic and Richard King, passive movement will achieve very little.

    Loading deeper match data…