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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim
v
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga | Sat 16 May, 14:30

1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 Stats

BT4Y best bet

1. FC Heidenheim to Win

  • At 1.91, 1. FC Heidenheim to Win is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +21.6-point value edge.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim have a recent record of 3W-1D-1L, while FSV Mainz 05 come in at 1W-1D-3L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the 1. FC Heidenheim to Win angle: 1. FC Heidenheim have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the 1. FC Heidenheim to Win angle: FSV Mainz 05 have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 55% · edge +23.1 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%1. FC Heidenheim Over 2.5
60%FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

1. FC Heidenheim

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
10 May 2026A 1. FC Köln3-1
02 May 2026A Bayern München3-3
25 Apr 2026H FC St. Pauli2-0
19 Apr 2026A SC Freiburg1-2
11 Apr 2026H Union Berlin3-1

FSV Mainz 05

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
10 May 2026H Union Berlin1-3
03 May 2026A FC St. Pauli2-1
25 Apr 2026H Bayern München3-4
19 Apr 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1
12 Apr 2026H SC Freiburg0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 55% · edge +23.1 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

1. FC Heidenheim2.4
Avg goals scored
FSV Mainz 051.4
1. FC Heidenheim1.4
Avg goals conceded
FSV Mainz 052
1. FC Heidenheim80%
BTTS rate
FSV Mainz 0580%
1. FC Heidenheim80%
Over 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 0560%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

21. FC Heidenheim wins
1Draws
2FSV Mainz 05 wins
13 Jan 2026FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
16 Feb 20251. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 050-2
28 Sep 2024FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
05 May 2024FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 051-1
16 Dec 2023FSV Mainz 05 v FC Heidenheim0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 52% · edge +21.6 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

1. FC Heidenheim4.4
Avg corners for
FSV Mainz 056.5
1. FC Heidenheim11.4
Avg total corners
FSV Mainz 0511.25
1. FC Heidenheim0.8
Avg yellow cards
FSV Mainz 051.5
1. FC Heidenheim11
Avg shots
FSV Mainz 0514.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 52% · edge +16.6 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleN. Amiri Anytime GoalscorerN. Amiri · 11 goals · 0.93 SOT/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
S. Katompa Mvumpa 1+ Shot On TargetS. Katompa Mvumpa · 1.84 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
S. Schimmer 2+ ShotsS. Schimmer · 2.4 shots/90
74/100
Bet HERE
N. Amiri To Assist / Key Pass AngleN. Amiri · 2 assists · 2.72 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Léo Scienza To Be FouledLéo Scienza · 3.5 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Adam Kölle Card RiskAdam Kölle · 1 yellows · 5.06 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
N. Amiri
N. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 · Midfielder
Goal threat64/100
Shots /901.34
SOT /900.93
S. Schimmer
S. Schimmer1. FC Heidenheim · Attacker
Goal threat61/100
Shots /902.4
SOT /901.14
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze1. FC Heidenheim · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /901.02
S. Katompa Mvumpa
S. Katompa MvumpaFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat48/100
Shots /902.11
SOT /901.84
S. Becker
S. BeckerFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat57/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.34
P. Tietz
P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat56/100
Shots /902.23
SOT /901.17
Adam Kölle
Adam Kölle1. FC Heidenheim · Defender
Goal threat44/100
Shots /902.02
SOT /901.01
D. Kohr
D. KohrFSV Mainz 05 · Defender
Goal threat21/100
Shots /900.4
SOT /900.12
Season team stats

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim33
Played
FSV Mainz 0533
1. FC Heidenheim1.2
Avg goals for
FSV Mainz 051.3
1. FC Heidenheim2.1
Avg goals against
FSV Mainz 051.6
1. FC Heidenheim1
Clean sheets
FSV Mainz 053
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 55% · edge +23.1 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10FSV Mainz 05373391014-11
171. FC Heidenheim26336819-29

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.