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Can Udinese turn their defensive control into another statement victory? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Udinese enter this fixture with significant momentum following three consecutive Serie A clean sheets and a massive victory over Milan. Parma, conversely, have failed to win any of their last six matches. Combined with Udinese’s historical dominance in this fixture, the hosts are well-positioned to secure another win.
Read Rationale ▾
A 2-0 scoreline reflects Udinese’s current defensive solidity—having kept three straight clean sheets—and Parma’s ongoing struggle for goals, averaging just 0.8 per game. Udinese also won the reverse fixture 2-0 earlier this season, making this a highly plausible outcome at the Bluenergy Stadium.
Udinese return to Bluenergy Stadium with real lift in the legs and a result fresh in the mind. A 3-0 win at AC Milan raises the tempo around the squad and gives the home crowd reason to expect a front-foot performance.
Udinese vs Parma — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe for key markets. Probabilities implied from bet365 pricing.
Udinese’s home strength and recent clean sheets make them statistical favorites at even money pricing.
With Udinese keeping 3 straight clean sheets, markets lean heavily toward a low-scoring outcome.
Pricing suggests 1-0 or 1-1 are the primary expectations for this Serie A matchup.
Udinese’s recent defensive form gives them a high implied chance of another shutout.
Match Preview: Udinese vs Parma
Udinese return to Bluenergy Stadium with real lift in the legs and a result fresh in the mind. A 3-0 win at AC Milan does that to a side. It sharpens belief, raises the tempo around the squad and gives the home crowd a reason to expect a front-foot performance at 14:00 on Saturday.
Parma arrive in a different mood. They are hard to shake off, but wins have been elusive and their recent run has been heavy on draws and short on punch. That makes this fixture fascinating.
There is also unfinished business in a broader sense. Udinese have had the upper hand in this matchup, beat Parma 2-0 earlier this season and now have the chance to tighten their grip again. Parma, sitting below them in the table, need a response that feels bigger than another respectable stalemate.
Offensive Volume: Serie A Goals Scored
A comparison of the total goals scored throughout the current league campaign.
Udinese average 1.18 goals per match, showing superior offensive output compared to their visitors.
Parma have struggled to convert chances, averaging just 0.71 goals per league game.
Defensive Reliability: Recent Shutouts
Visualising the defensive stability shown by the home side in recent weeks.
The hosts have entered a period of extreme defensive control, shutting out their last three opponents.
Parma have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of their last six league outings.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Udinese manager: Kosta Runjaic
Parma manager: Carlos Cuesta
Udinese Team News
- Alessandro Zanoli is out with a cruciate ligament tear.
- Keinan Davis is out with a hamstring muscle injury.
Udinese have still kept three consecutive clean sheets, so the defensive structure looks settled even with absences.
Parma Team News
No injuries or suspensions are listed here for Parma.
That gives Carlos Cuesta scope to keep faith with the core of a side that has drawn four of its last six league games.
Probable Starting XIs
Udinese (3-5-2)
Maduka Okoye; Thomas Kristensen, Christian Kabasele, Oumar Solet; Kingsley Ehizibue, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Jesper Karlstroem, Arthur Atta, Hassane Kamara; Adam Buksa, Nicolo Zaniolo
Parma (3-5-2)
Zion Suzuki; Mariano Troilo, Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti; Enrico Del Prato, Adrian Bernabe, H. N. Caviglia, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri; Nesta Elphege, Gabriel Strefezza
The lineups point to a scrap through the middle. Both sides are set up with a back three and wing-backs, so the game could swing on which midfield gets control first and which front pair can pin defenders deep. For Udinese, the absence of Keinan Davis, their top league scorer on 10 goals, removes a direct focal point. That puts more attacking weight on Zaniolo, Ekkelenkamp and Atta to provide incision.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Udinese | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Points | 43 | 36 |
| Serie A goals scored | 38 | 23 |
| Serie A shots per game | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| Possession | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| Pass success | 80.2% | 80.3% |
| Clean sheets (all comps) | 10 | 11 |
| Last 6 league matches | 3W, 2D, 1L | 0W, 4D, 2L |
The numbers paint a clear picture. These sides are close in possession and passing, so this is not about one team monopolising the ball for ninety minutes. The real split is in threat and momentum. Udinese score more, have better recent results and come in off a powerful away win. Parma stay in games, but too often they drift into damage-control mode and struggle to turn decent positions into victories.
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Udinese’s left-sided thrust against Parma’s defensive nerves
Udinese’s attacking shape looks built to test Parma in awkward areas. They like to attack down the left, take a lot of shots and hit long balls early. That matters here because Parma are vulnerable in transition and have shown weakness when defending counter attacks and long shots.
That should encourage Udinese to play with purpose rather than patience. They do not need to dominate the ball to dominate the game. In fact, their lower possession figure fits the plan. They can sit, spring and attack the space fast. The names that stand out are Zaniolo, Ekkelenkamp and Atta. Zaniolo has 5 goals and 6 assists, plus 2.1 shots per game, so he brings both volume and final-ball quality. Atta adds drive from midfield with 3 goals, 3 assists and 1.7 shots per game, while Ekkelenkamp arrives with confidence after scoring against Milan.
Parma’s width versus Udinese’s weak flank defending
Parma are not without weapons. They play with width, attempt crosses often and also like long shots. That gives them a direct route into one of Udinese’s softer zones, because Udinese can be exposed when defending attacks down the wings.
That makes the wing-back battle huge. If Valeri and Del Prato can push up and stretch the pitch, Parma can force Udinese’s outside centre-backs into uncomfortable decisions. Parma do not need long phases of possession to do that. A few quick switches and early deliveries could be enough. The problem is what happens after the first phase. Parma’s finishing has been blunt for much of the season. They have just 23 league goals and average 0.8 goals per game across all competitions. Even when they build pressure, the end product often fails them.
Gabriel Strefezza scored against Napoli and is Parma’s highest-rated regular at 6.77, while Adrian Bernabe has 3 goals from midfield. But the main reference point is Mateo Pellegrino, whose 8 goals make him the side’s leading scorer and whose 3.6 aerials won per game give Parma a route into the box.
The central duel could decide the tempo
This game may look balanced on the board, but Udinese’s midfield has a slightly more forceful feel. Jesper Karlstroem has played all 32 league matches, and that continuity matters. Udinese’s style is built on repetition, directness and a consistent first eleven. Parma can match numbers in midfield, yet their recent pattern suggests they often end up reacting rather than dictating. Their draw run tells that story. They stay alive in matches, but they rarely seize them.
If Udinese score first, the whole tone of the contest could tilt their way. Parma are stronger when protecting a lead than when chasing a game. Udinese, meanwhile, are coming off three straight league clean sheets and will fancy shutting the door once ahead.
Key Moments to Watch
- The first Udinese transition: Parma are weak against counter attacks, and Udinese are strong in them. One clean break could set the tone early.
- Wide delivery into the box: Parma’s width and crossing game could trouble Udinese, especially with Udinese weaker against attacks down the wings.
- Long-range shooting: Both sides like long shots, but Parma are weak at defending them. Udinese should not hesitate to pull the trigger around the edge of the box.
- Aerial contests: Thomas Kristensen averages 2.9 aerials won, while Pellegrino averages 3.6. That duel could shape both boxes.
- Discipline: Parma have 5 red cards to Udinese’s 1, and that is a dangerous detail in a fixture likely to be tight and physical.
What could go wrong?
The danger for Udinese is comfort. Their recent clean sheets and strong record in this fixture could tempt them into a slower, safer rhythm, and that would suit Parma. The danger for Parma is familiar too: they can compete for long stretches, then give away the key moment through a defensive lapse or a failure to take the one opening that matters. That is why this match feels delicate as well as lively. Udinese look sharper, more varied and more dangerous in the final third. Parma look stubborn enough to drag the game into awkward territory. If the home side turn pressure into an early goal, it could become a controlled afternoon. If not, this has every chance of becoming another bruising, low-margin Serie A scrap.
Quick Hits
- Udinese have kept three straight clean sheets in Serie A and have won three of their last six league matches.
- Parma have scored only 23 goals in 32 Serie A games and have conceded in five of their last six matches.
- Udinese have won four of the last six meetings with Parma and taken the last three Serie A clashes in a row.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
The Match Result market is the most straightforward way to back an outcome. You select either a Home Win (1), a Draw (X), or an Away Win (2). It covers the full 90 minutes of play plus injury time.
Other opportunities: Double Chance (Home or Draw) offers a safer route at lower odds, while Draw No Bet removes the risk of a stalemate.
Correct Score
This market requires you to predict the exact final scoreline of the match. Due to the high number of possible outcomes, it offers significantly higher odds but carries much higher volatility.
Other opportunities: Goals Range (e.g., 2-3 goals) provides a wider net for similar game-states without needing the specific score.
🎯 Pick 1 Rationale: Udinese to Win
Udinese head into this clash at the Bluenergy Stadium with a significant psychological and tactical advantage. Their recent performance levels have seen a sharp incline, evidenced most clearly by a 3-0 demolition of AC Milan. This momentum is underpinned by a defensive unit that has effectively shut the door on opponents, maintaining three consecutive clean sheets in Serie A. When a side is this hard to breach, they only require a single moment of quality to secure all three points.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Udinese have won three of their last six matches, whereas Parma have failed to record a single win in that same period.
- The hosts have kept three straight clean sheets, highlighting a settled and disciplined defensive structure.
- Historical dominance is clear, with Udinese winning the last three Serie A meetings against Parma in a row.
Parma’s current form is a cause for concern. While they have proven difficult to beat—recording four draws in their last six games—their inability to turn stalemates into victories suggests a lack of clinical edge in the final third. Against a Udinese side that has mastered the art of the shutout recently, Parma may find themselves starved of high-quality opportunities. The hosts’ ability to attack the left flank and use transitions effectively matches up well against Parma’s defensive vulnerabilities when facing counter-attacks.
Risk Factor: The absence of Keinan Davis removes Udinese’s primary goal threat, which could lead to a lack of focal point if Adam Buksa or Zaniolo fail to impose themselves early.
🎯 Pick 2 Rationale: Udinese 2-0 Parma
The 2-0 scoreline is a recurring theme in this fixture and aligns perfectly with the current statistical trends of both teams. Udinese already secured a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season, and their current defensive streak makes a “win to nil” outcome highly probable. With 38 goals scored compared to Parma’s 23, Udinese possess the necessary firepower to exploit a Parma defence that has conceded in five of their last six matches.
Parma’s goal-scoring record is amongst the lowest in the division, averaging just 0.8 goals per match across all competitions. This lack of punch suggests that even if they manage to create chances through their wide players like Valeri or Del Prato, the final execution often fails. Udinese’s Thomas Kristensen, who averages 2.9 aerials won, should be able to neutralise the aerial threat of Mateo Pellegrino. Given that Parma are also weak at defending long shots—a specialty of Zaniolo and Atta—a two-goal margin for the hosts is a logical projection.
Risk Factor: A scoreless first half could lead to a more conservative second period, potentially resulting in a narrower 1-0 result if Udinese prioritise the clean sheet over a second goal.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Strong at breaking quickly with Zaniolo and Atta, exploiting space left by opposition full-backs.
Vulnerable to fast breaks and long-range efforts, particularly after losing possession in the middle third.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕ What does the Match Result (1X2) market mean?
The Match Result market allows you to bet on three possible outcomes: a home win, an away win, or a draw. It is the most common way to back a team to win a game of football.
⊕ Why is Udinese favoured to win this match?
Udinese are favoured because they have kept three straight clean sheets and won their last match 3-0 against AC Milan. They also face a Parma side that has failed to win any of their last six matches.
⊕ What makes a 2-0 Correct Score prediction plausible?
Udinese won the reverse fixture 2-0 earlier this season and currently average over a goal per game. Parma average just 0.8 goals per game, making a shutout win for the home side likely.
⊕ How does the Double Chance market differ from 1X2?
Double Chance allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in one bet, such as Udinese win or Draw. This reduces risk but offers lower odds than a straight win bet.
⊕ Who are the key players to watch for Udinese?
Nicolo Zaniolo is a major threat with 5 goals and 6 assists this season. Midfielder Arthur Atta is also key, contributing 3 goals and 3 assists so far.
⊕ What is Parma’s main attacking threat?
Mateo Pellegrino is their leading scorer with 8 goals. They also rely on Gabriel Strefezza, who is their highest-rated regular performer this season.
⊕ Is Udinese missing any important players?
Yes, Udinese will be without their top scorer Keinan Davis due to a hamstring injury. Alessandro Zanoli is also out with a long-term knee injury.
⊕ What is a Draw No Bet wager?
This market allows you to back a winner, but if the game ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full. It is a way to protect against late equalisers.
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