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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Udinese face Parma in Serie A on Sat 18 Apr, 14:00. Combined with Udinese's historical dominance in this fixture, the hosts are well-positioned to secure another win. Udinese come into this match with significant momentum following three consecutive Serie A clean sheets and a massive victory over Milan.

Udinese crestUdinese
v
Parma crestParma

Serie A | Sat 18 Apr, 14:00

Udinese v Parma Stats

Data last updated: Sat 30 May 2026, 11:41 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Udinese to Win Udinese have won three of their last six matches, whereas Parma have failed to record a single win in that same period

  • At 1/1, Udinese Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Udinese's home strength and recent clean sheets make them statistical favorites at even money pricing.
  • Udinese have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for Parma.
  • Udinese have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Udinese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Udinese sit 10 in the table, while Parma sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Udinese Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Udinese have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for Parma. Udinese's home strength and recent clean sheets make them statistical favorites at even money pricing.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Udinese have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Udinese have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Udinese's home strength and recent clean sheets make them.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Udinese Win is the preferred angle because udinese's home strength and recent clean sheets make them statistical favorites at even money pricing. Udinese have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for Parma. They stay alive in matches, but they rarely seize them.

Main risk

They stay alive in matches, but they rarely seize them.

Key Data Signals

Udinese Win evidence

Udinese's home strength and recent clean sheets make them statistical favorites at even money pricing.

Udinese have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for Parma.

Udinese have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Udinese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Udinese sit 10 in the table, while Parma sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Udinese Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Udinese3
    Avg corners for
    Parma3.2
    Udinese9
    Avg total corners
    Parma8
    Udinese2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Parma1.8
    Udinese10
    Avg shots
    Parma6.4

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Udinese1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Parma0.6
    Udinese0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Parma1.6
    Udinese20%
    BTTS rate
    Parma60%
    Udinese40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Parma20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Udinese

    WDWLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    11 Apr 2026A AC Milan3-0
    06 Apr 2026H Como0-0
    20 Mar 2026A Genoa2-0
    14 Mar 2026H Juventus0-1
    07 Mar 2026A Atalanta2-2

    Parma

    DDLLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    12 Apr 2026H Napoli1-1
    04 Apr 2026A Lazio1-1
    21 Mar 2026H Cremonese0-2
    13 Mar 2026A Torino1-4
    08 Mar 2026A Fiorentina0-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Udinese wins
    2Draws
    4Parma wins
    29 Nov 2025Parma v Udinese0-2
    01 Mar 2025Udinese v Parma1-0
    16 Sep 2024Parma v Udinese2-3
    21 Feb 2021Parma v Udinese2-2
    18 Oct 2020Udinese v Parma3-2
    26 Jan 2020Parma v Udinese2-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Udinese38
    Played
    Parma38
    Udinese1.2
    Avg goals for
    Parma0.7
    Udinese1.3
    Avg goals against
    Parma1.2
    Udinese11
    Clean sheets
    Parma13

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    10Udinese503814816-3
    13Parma4538111215-18
    Udinese sit in position 10, while Parma sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Udinese Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Udinese Over 2.5
    20%Parma Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Udinese sit at 40% and Parma sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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