Udinese
ParmaSerie A | Sun 21 Feb, 17:30
Udinese v Parma Stats
Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 22:43 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Udinese face Parma in Serie A on Sun 21 Feb, 17:30. 33 goals conceded combined: Parma have shipped 15 league goals and Udinese 18, highlighting the defensive fragility of both teams. Parma's home advantage and Udinese's six-match losing streak create a strong case for a Parma win.
Parma to win
- At 9/5, Parma to win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
- Parma's reliance on a narrow scoring base is a risk, but Udinese's away struggles tip the balance in Parma's favour.
- Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese.
- Parma have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Parma to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Udinese sit 17 in the table, while Parma sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 51% for Parma to win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese. Parma's reliance on a narrow scoring base is a risk, but Udinese's away struggles tip the balance in Parma's favour.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Parma Win is the preferred angle because parma's reliance on a narrow scoring base is a risk, but Udinese's away struggles tip the balance in Parma's favour. Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese. Parma carry the stronger scoring threat, but Udinese must contribute for BTTS to land.
Parma carry the stronger scoring threat, but Udinese must contribute for BTTS to land.
Key Data Signals
Parma to win evidence
Parma's reliance on a narrow scoring base is a risk, but Udinese's away struggles tip the balance in.
Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese.
Parma have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Udinese sit 17 in the table, while Parma sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Parma to win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Udinese
Parma
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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