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Monza vs Sassuolo: Set-Piece Weakness and Open Games Point to Another Test. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Sassuolo arrive with strong recent scoring form against a Monza defence that has conceded 11 goals in four matches, including six from set pieces. Despite defensive absences and an away winless streak, Sassuolo's attacking momentum and Berardi's proven record against promoted teams support an away win prediction. The hosts' defensive frailty increases the visitors' chances of victory.
A 2-1 score fits Sassuolo's recent scoring and Monza's defensive record, with both teams regularly scoring. Defensive absences and Monza's poor clean sheet record support this exact scoreline, though it remains vulnerable to any additional goals.
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REGISTER FREE & UNLOCK TIP →Already registered? Log in18+ · Historical results only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Betting involves risk.Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Monza v Sassuolo.
Monza’s search for a first Serie A win of the season continues against a Sassuolo side arriving at the U-Power Stadium with rather more momentum, but also with defensive questions of their own.
Monza vs Sassuolo — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Sassuolo's unbeaten run and Monza's defensive struggles shape this market.
Monza and Sassuolo bring similar scoring profiles, leaving the totals market finely poised.
Monza and Sassuolo look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Sassuolo hold the stronger overall profile, leaving Monza needing a sharper performance.
Three Punchy Stats
- Monza have conceded 11 goals in four Serie A matches, including three in their only home fixture, underlining how little defensive margin they have carried into the season.
- Six of Monza’s league goals conceded have come from set pieces, making dead-ball defending one of the clearest pressure points in this fixture.
- Both teams have scored in all of Sassuolo’s last five matches and four of Monza’s last five, reinforcing the sense that recent games involving these sides have tended to stay open.
Consecutive Matches Scoring
Recent attacking records for Monza and Sassuolo are shown below.
Consecutive Matches Without Clean Sheet
Recent defensive records for Monza and Sassuolo are shown below.
The hosts have taken one point from four league matches and conceded 11 goals, while Sassuolo have collected seven points from 12 and have just beaten Juventus 3-2 with a last-gasp winner. Yet the visitors have not won away in eight matches, and both teams have repeatedly been involved in games where neither defence has managed to shut the door.
For Monza, the most obvious concern is not simply how often they are conceding, but how those goals are arriving.
Monza’s Set-Piece Problem Is Becoming Costly
Six set-piece goals conceded in four Serie A matches is a striking figure, especially after their problems defending corners against Lecce. It gives Sassuolo a clear area to test without requiring any assumptions about how the visitors will approach the game.
Monza’s wider defensive record offers little reassurance. They have lost 4-1 at Inter, 3-2 at home to Udinese and 3-2 at Lecce, with a 1-1 draw at Parma their only league point. That works out at 11 conceded across four matches, and their only home appearance so far also ended with three goals going past them.
The Lecce defeat was particularly damaging because Monza were two goals down inside 12 minutes. A team already struggling for results can ill afford to spend another evening chasing the match from an early deficit.
Sassuolo Have Momentum, but Not Away Security
Sassuolo’s opening four league games have produced a defeat, two wins and a draw, with 10 goals scored across their most recent three fixtures alone.
Their 3-2 victory over Juventus showed considerable persistence. Sebastiano Esposito scored on his full debut, Kieron Bowie came off the bench to put Sassuolo back in front, and Vasilije Adzic delivered the decisive late goal after Juventus had equalised in stoppage time.
That attacking output is encouraging, but Sassuolo are not travelling with the profile of a secure away side. Their winless run on the road stretches to eight matches, dating back to February, and they conceded twice at Bologna in their previous away league fixture.
There is also disruption in defence. Jay Idzes has been ruled out for six weeks, while Sebastian Walukiewicz is a doubt. Fali Cande, Edoardo Pieragnolo, Ismael Kone, Daniel Boloca and Cristian Volpato are also unavailable.
Why This Could Stay Open
Both teams have scored in four of Monza’s last five matches and all of Sassuolo’s last five. That pattern fits what their league scorelines already suggest: Monza have scored in three consecutive Serie A games despite taking only one point from them, while Sassuolo have found the net at least twice in each of their last three.
Monza therefore have attacking evidence to work with even amid poor results. Gustavo Varela, their only player with more than one league goal this season, has returned to action, while Patrick Cutrone and Dany Mota are among the options competing to join him.
For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi offers another significant strand. He has been directly involved in 19 goals across his last 21 league appearances against newly promoted opponents, a record that gives Monza another attacking problem to manage.
Monza Need More Than Historical Comfort
Monza have taken 10 points from four previous Serie A meetings with Sassuolo, but their current league run is far less reassuring: one win in their last 22 matches at this level.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, must prove that the energy behind their seven-point start can travel. Their attack has been productive, but an eight-game away winless sequence and a weakened defensive group prevent this from becoming a straightforward comparison of form.
The sharper contrast is between Sassuolo’s recent scoring momentum and a Monza defence repeatedly giving opponents ways into games. If the hosts cannot tighten up early and deal better with set pieces, they risk being forced into another recovery job.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result Market
Selection: Sassuolo to win. Choose the home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from settlement.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Monza vs Sassuolo 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Sassuolo to win @ 13/10
Sassuolo travel to the U-Power Stadium carrying recent attacking momentum against a Monza defence that has struggled through the opening weeks of the Serie A campaign. Monza have taken a single point from four league matches while conceding 11 goals overall, including three in their only home appearance. A central vulnerability for the hosts lies in dead-ball defending, having surrendered six set-piece goals across those four games.
Sassuolo enter this fixture having collected seven points from 12, driven by a 10-goal output across their last three matches. Their 3-2 win against Juventus displayed their goalscoring potential, with Sebastiano Esposito scoring on his full debut and Kieron Bowie contributing off the bench. Domenico Berardi also adds historical production against newly promoted opponents, boasting 19 goal involvements across his past 21 such appearances. That firepower directly tests a Monza backline that fell two goals behind inside 12 minutes during their recent loss at Lecce.
The primary counterweight for the visitors is an eight-game away winless sequence dating back to February, alongside defensive absences including Jay Idzes and Fali Cande. Additionally, Monza have taken 10 points from four previous top-flight meetings between the sides. However, Monza’s wider run of one victory in 22 Serie A games and persistent set-piece gaps leave Sassuolo well placed to claim all three points.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Monza conceded 11 goals in four Serie A matches, including three at home.
- Six of Monza’s conceded goals came from set pieces this season.
- Sassuolo scored 10 goals in their last three league matches.
Risk Factor: Sassuolo's eight-match away winless streak and defensive absences could hinder a full victory.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Conceded 6 set-piece goals in 4 matches, including corner issues against Lecce.
Scored 10 goals across their last 3 league fixtures, finding the net at least twice in each.
⚔️ Pick 2: Monza vs Sassuolo 1-2 @ 15/2
A 2-1 away victory aligns with Sassuolo’s active attack and Monza’s early defensive record, alongside evidence that both sides consistently score and concede. Sassuolo have scored at least twice in each of their last three league matches, generating 10 goals in that span. Facing a Monza side that has conceded 11 times across four league games—and three in their only home fixture—provides factual backing for the visitors reaching two goals.
On the other side of the scoreline, justifying Monza’s single goal is supported by recent matches involving both teams and Sassuolo’s defensive absences. Both teams have scored in all five of Sassuolo’s matches this season and in four of Monza’s last five games. Monza have scored in three consecutive Serie A matches, with Gustavo Varela returning to action alongside options like Patrick Cutrone and Dany Mota. Sassuolo conceded twice at Bologna in their prior away match and travel without Jay Idzes, while Sebastian Walukiewicz remains a doubt.
While Monza hold 10 points from four previous Serie A encounters with Sassuolo, their current form of one win in 22 top-flight matches makes a clean sheet unlikely for either team. A 2-1 Sassuolo victory fits the balance of Sassuolo’s scoring run and Monza’s defensive statistics, though exact-score bets remain vulnerable to any single additional goal.
Risk Factor: Both teams score often but defensive gaps make a clean sheet unlikely.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does backing Sassuolo in the Match Result market require to win?
Sassuolo must lead at the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time to win.
How does the Correct Score market settle for Monza 1-2 Sassuolo?
Monza must score exactly one goal and Sassuolo exactly two in normal time for a win.
What makes Monza's set-piece defending relevant to this match?
Monza conceded six set-piece goals in four Serie A matches this season, a clear weakness.
Why is Sassuolo's away record considered a risk factor?
Sassuolo have not won away in eight consecutive matches since February, showing vulnerability.
What facts support Monza scoring in this fixture?
Monza have scored in three consecutive Serie A matches and have Gustavo Varela back.
How does Domenico Berardi's record against newly promoted teams feature in this game?
Berardi has 19 goal involvements in his last 21 league appearances versus newly promoted teams.
