Cagliari vs Bologna Preview: Islanders Eye Home Response Against Struggling Visitors. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Bologna's strong away record and unbeaten recent meetings with Cagliari support backing them with Asian Handicap -0.25 despite their defensive fragility and Orsolini's absence. Cagliari's reliance on Maldini and recent defensive lapses add to Bologna's appeal with partial draw insurance in this market. The handicap softens the risk of a draw.
Bologna's strong away wins contrast with their defensive fragility, but Cagliari's heavy reliance on Maldini and recent defensive lapses support a narrow 1-0 away win prediction.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Cagliari v Bologna.
Cagliari welcome Bologna to the Unipol Domus on Saturday, 24 October, with both sides seeking an immediate response to disappointing Serie A defeats.
Cagliari vs Bologna — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Bologna's recent struggles contrast with Cagliari's stronger recent form.
Cagliari look stronger on recent form, while Bologna remain vulnerable after weaker results.
Cagliari carry the stronger defensive profile, while Bologna remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Cagliari create more chances, leaving Bologna under pressure to match their attacking tempo.
Three Punchy Stats
- 13 vs five: Cagliari have accumulated eight more league points than Bologna after seven matches.
- Eight without a clean sheet: Bologna's defensive struggles have continued throughout their difficult opening to the campaign.
- Four goals for Maldini: The Cagliari forward has scored four of his team's six Serie A goals this season.
Scoring Consistency
Recent attacking records for Cagliari and Bologna are shown below.
Defensive Solidity
Recent defensive records for Cagliari and Bologna are shown below.
Fabio Pisacane's hosts sit seventh with 13 points despite suffering a crushing 4-0 defeat at Monza, while Raffaele Palladino's Bologna arrive in 15th place after collecting just five points from their opening seven matches.
The contrast in league positions favours Cagliari, but Bologna's impressive away record and recent dominance in this fixture suggest a more competitive encounter than the standings indicate.
Cagliari Looking to Rediscover Their Defensive Discipline
Cagliari's promising start suffered a significant setback against Monza, where they conceded four goals after previously establishing themselves as one of Serie A's more resilient sides.
That defeat ended a four-match unbeaten sequence featuring three victories and a draw, including impressive away successes against Atalanta and Udinese.
Before visiting Monza, the Islanders had also held Juventus to a 1-1 draw, demonstrating their ability to compete against stronger opposition.
Pisacane's immediate challenge is restoring the defensive organisation that helped Cagliari record three clean sheets in their opening seven league fixtures.
Their home form offers encouragement. Cagliari have avoided defeat in their previous two league matches at the Unipol Domus, while their broader seven-game home record stands at four wins, one draw and two defeats.
A victory could temporarily lift the Sardinian club into Serie A's top four, providing additional motivation following Monday's disappointment.
Daniel Maldini remains central to their attacking ambitions. The forward has already scored four league goals, accounting for two-thirds of Cagliari's total output.
However, that dependence also highlights a potential weakness. With only three different goalscorers this season, the hosts need greater contributions from elsewhere to maintain their early momentum.
Bologna's Away Strength Offers Hope
Bologna's opening seven matches have produced just one victory, leaving Palladino under increasing pressure to improve results.
Their latest setback came against Inter Milan, who overturned an early Bologna advantage to secure a 3-1 victory.
It continued a troubling pattern of defensive vulnerability, with the visitors now having gone eight consecutive Serie A matches without recording a clean sheet.
Bologna have conceded 10 goals while scoring six, numbers that underline their difficulties at both ends of the pitch.
Nevertheless, their away performances provide a compelling counterargument to their disappointing league position.
The Emilians have won eight of their previous 12 Serie A away fixtures, suggesting they remain capable of producing effective performances away from home.
Their recent record against Cagliari is similarly encouraging.
Bologna are unbeaten in the last four league meetings between the clubs, winning three and drawing one. They have also prevented the Islanders from scoring in their previous two home encounters.
Maintaining that defensive control could prove decisive, particularly against opponents whose attacking output relies heavily on Maldini.
Team News and Tactical Outlook
Cagliari remain without Riyad Idrissi and Mattia Felici because of long-term ACL injuries, while Yael Trepy faces a late fitness assessment.
Bologna must contend with the absences of Roberto Piccoli, Riccardo Orsolini and Emil Holm.
Orsolini's absence could prove particularly significant, placing additional creative responsibility on Federico Bernardeschi and Nicolo Cambiaghi.
Cagliari should look to establish control through their midfield while creating opportunities for Maldini and Mendy.
Bologna, meanwhile, have reason to remain compact and exploit transitions, especially given their opponents' defensive collapse at Monza.
Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction: 1-0
Cagliari's stronger league position, recent home resilience and greater defensive consistency give them a narrow advantage.
Bologna's away record makes them dangerous opponents, but their inability to keep clean sheets remains a significant concern.
A disciplined response from Pisacane's side could therefore prove sufficient to secure a narrow home victory.
📊 Market Explainer
Handicap Market
Selection: Bologna Asian Handicap -0.25. A virtual goal advantage or deficit is applied before settlement. The bet is decided by the adjusted score after normal time.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Cagliari vs Bologna 0-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Bologna Asian Handicap -0.25 @ N/A
Despite their troubling start and 15th-place standing, Bologna’s established pedigree on the road makes them a credible proposition with the insurance of a partial refund in the event of a draw. The visitors arrive with just one victory from seven matches and sit eight points behind their weekend opponents, yet their broader away form provides a solid foundation for taking them on this specific handicap market.
Cagliari sit higher in the table and recently put together a four-match unbeaten sequence before suffering a crushing 4-0 defeat against Monza. However, Bologna consistently perform away from home, winning eight of their previous 12 Serie A away fixtures. Furthermore, they boast a formidable recent record in this specific matchup, going four games unbeaten against the Islanders and securing victories in three of those encounters. That venue-specific comfort contrasts sharply with Cagliari’s heavy recent defeat, which shattered a home defence that had previously managed three clean sheets in their opening seven league fixtures.
The primary threat to an away victory is Bologna’s severe lack of clean sheets, having conceded in eight consecutive matches while letting in ten goals this term. The absence of Riccardo Orsolini also removes a crucial creative outlet. However, Cagliari suffer from an extreme reliance on Daniel Maldini, who has provided four of their six league goals. With only three different goalscorers all season, the hosts lack the varied attacking options to guarantee they exploit Bologna’s vulnerability. With the Asian Handicap -0.25 structure softening the blow of a stalemate, the Emilians possess enough proven away pedigree to justify support.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Bologna have won eight of their last 12 Serie A away fixtures.
- Cagliari recently conceded four goals against Monza, ending a run of three clean sheets in seven matches.
- Bologna are unbeaten in their last four league meetings with Cagliari, securing three victories in that sequence.
Risk Factor: Bologna's failure to keep a clean sheet in eight consecutive matches threatens their chance of an outright win.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Prevented the Islanders from scoring in their previous two visits to the Unipol Domus.
Extreme reliance on Daniel Maldini, possessing just three different goalscorers all season.
⚔️ Pick 2: Cagliari vs Bologna 0-1 @ 6/1
Backing a 1-0 away victory requires trusting Bologna to find the net despite their poor overall start, while simultaneously expecting Cagliari to draw a blank on home soil.
The visitors have only scored six goals in seven matches, suggesting they are highly unlikely to produce a high-scoring blowout. However, their impressive run of eight wins in their last 12 away matches indicates they remain effective on their travels. They face a Cagliari side that suddenly looks defensively fragile, having just shipped four goals against Monza. That heavy defeat abruptly ended a previously solid defensive run and suggests Fabio Pisacane’s side are vulnerable to a visiting team that knows how to secure results on the road.
On the other side of the scoreline, Cagliari’s limited attacking output offers clear reasons to doubt their scoring capacity. They have only managed six league goals all season, with four coming directly from Daniel Maldini. Because Cagliari boast just three different goalscorers this term, they possess very few alternative routes to goal if Maldini is kept quiet. Crucially, Bologna have prevented the Islanders from scoring in both of their previous two visits to the Unipol Domus.
The major risk factor for this exact scoreline is Bologna’s ongoing defensive trouble, as they have gone eight consecutive Serie A matches without a clean sheet. A shutout is contrary to their current seasonal form. However, Cagliari’s extreme dependence on a single forward, combined with Bologna’s historical habit of shutting out the Islanders in Sardinia, provides a coherent foundation for this narrow exact-score prediction.
Risk Factor: Bologna's ongoing defensive issues make a clean sheet unlikely, risking the exact 1-0 scoreline.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Asian Handicap -0.25 mean in this match?
Half your stake is on Bologna to win, half on a draw; a draw refunds half your stake.
How does the Correct Score 0-1 market settle?
The match must finish exactly 1-0 to Bologna; any other score loses the bet.
Who is Cagliari's main attacking threat?
Daniel Maldini has scored four of Cagliari's six Serie A goals this season.
Why is Bologna's away form significant?
They have won eight of their last 12 away Serie A matches despite their low league position.
Does Bologna's defensive record pose a risk to the correct score?
Yes, they have not kept a clean sheet in eight consecutive league matches this season.
What is the recent head-to-head record between these teams?
Bologna are unbeaten in the last four meetings, winning three and drawing one.



