Bologna vs Monza Predictions

Bologna vs Monza Preview: Rossoblu Target First Home Win Under Palladino. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bologna return to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on Saturday, 31 October, looking to build on their spectacular 4-2 victory over AC Milan when they host struggling Monza in Serie A Gameweek 10.

Three Punchy Stats

• 9 points from 4 matches: Bologna's impressive recent return under Palladino has lifted them to 11th.
• 22 goals conceded: Monza possess Serie A's leakiest defence despite scoring 16 themselves.
• 8 league goals: Gustavo Varela leads Monza's attack and remains their biggest threat against Bologna.

Raffaele Palladino's side have climbed to 11th following an impressive revival, while Ivan Juric's Monza sit 16th, just two points above the relegation zone.

The hosts have momentum, but their inability to reproduce their away form at home adds intrigue to a contest featuring two sides capable of scoring goals.

Bologna's Revival Faces a Home Test

Bologna's transformation under Palladino has gathered pace since his September appointment, with three victories in their last four league matches.

Their latest success was particularly striking. Samuel Mbangula scored a hat-trick at San Siro as Bologna defeated Milan 4-2, ending Ruben Amorim's unbeaten league start.

That performance demonstrated Bologna's attacking efficiency. Despite controlling only 33% possession and registering five shots on target, they exploited their opportunities ruthlessly.

However, Palladino still has an important challenge to overcome.

All three victories under his management have arrived away from home, against Lecce, Cagliari and Milan. Their only home fixture during that sequence ended in a 3-1 defeat to reigning champions Inter Milan.

Saturday therefore offers Bologna an opportunity to establish greater consistency at the Dall'Ara.

Their recent attacking improvement is encouraging, particularly with Federico Bernardeschi and Mbangula contributing three league goals apiece and Juan Miranda providing four assists.

The challenge will be translating that productivity into sustained pressure against opponents whose defensive weaknesses have repeatedly proved costly.

Monza's Attacking Threat Undermined by Defensive Problems

Monza arrive following consecutive defeats against Torino and Napoli, with Wednesday's 4-1 home loss exposing familiar vulnerabilities.

Juric's side competed effectively during the opening half against Napoli, with Gustavo Varela scoring before the interval, but their defensive structure deteriorated after the break.

The statistics underline their predicament.

Monza have scored 16 league goals, more than any other bottom-half side, yet their 22 conceded represent the division's worst defensive record.

Their attacking approach regularly creates opportunities, but opponents have found considerable space to exploit.

Varela remains the standout performer, scoring eight Serie A goals and establishing himself among the division's leading marksmen.

His movement and finishing could trouble a Bologna defence that has conceded 12 goals in nine matches.

However, Monza have lost three consecutive away fixtures, and their tendency to concede heavily makes another difficult afternoon possible.

The visitors must balance their attacking ambition with greater defensive discipline if they are to avoid slipping closer to the bottom three.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Bologna remain without Riccardo Orsolini, Emil Holm and Roberto Piccoli, while Lorenzo De Silvestri and Jay Enem face fitness assessments.

Despite Mbangula's outstanding performance against Milan, Nicolo Cambiaghi could start alongside Bernardeschi behind Jens Odgaard.

Monza are missing Jan Ziolkowski and Matteo Pessina, although Michael Folorunsho and Yvan Maye could return.

Bologna predicted XI (3-4-3): Skorupski; Darmian, Casale, Theate; Zortea, Ferguson, Pobega, Miranda; Bernardeschi, Cambiaghi; Odgaard.

Monza predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Tornqvist; Kouadio, Goglichidze, Carboni; Birindelli, Ondoa, Akinsanmiro, Mangas; Mota, Robinson; Varela.

Match Prediction: Bologna 2-1 Monza

Bologna's improved form and Monza's defensive struggles make the hosts favourites, although Varela's scoring record suggests the visitors possess sufficient quality to threaten.

Bologna have also won the previous three meetings between these clubs, including a 3-1 victory at the Dall'Ara.

Monza's attacking commitment should create openings, but their defensive instability could prove decisive against increasingly confident opponents.

A narrow Bologna victory looks the most plausible outcome, delivering Palladino his first home league success.

📊 Market Explainer

Main Tip

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Selection: BTTS Yes. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.

Correct Score Tip

Correct Score Market

Selection: Bologna vs Monza 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.

🎯 Pick 1: BTTS Yes @ 8/11

The main selection rests on Monza’s ability to combine reliable scoring output with persistent defensive issues. The visitors have scored 16 times in Serie A, more than any other bottom-half side, yet they pair that return with the division’s worst defensive record of 22 goals conceded. This clear contrast between attacking capability and defensive vulnerability creates a logical foundation for a Both Teams To Score selection.

The visitors’ attacking approach meets a Bologna side displaying significant efficiency under Raffaele Palladino. Bologna recently scored four times against AC Milan despite controlling just 33% possession and attempting five shots on target, demonstrating an ability to punish defensive gaps. Samuel Mbangula and Federico Bernardeschi have contributed three league goals each, equipping the hosts to trouble a Monza structure that recently allowed four goals against Napoli. At the other end, Gustavo Varela has delivered eight league goals for the visitors, and his finishing gives Monza a credible route to breach a Bologna defence that has conceded 12 goals in nine matches.

The most substantial threat to the market comes from Monza’s wider away struggles, as Ivan Juric’s team arrive having lost three consecutive fixtures on the road. A failure to compete away from home could theoretically leave Bologna dominating a one-sided contest with a clean sheet. However, Monza’s overall return of 16 goals suggests they retain enough threat to score even in defeat, making the prospect of both teams finding the net a realistic interpretation of the supplied numbers.

🎯 Tactical Indicators

• Monza possess Serie A's worst defensive record, conceding 22 goals this season.
• Monza lead all bottom-half sides with 16 goals scored.
• Bologna have conceded 12 goals in nine matches, showing defensive gaps.

Risk Factor: Monza's three consecutive away losses could see them fail to score, risking the BTTS outcome.

⚔️ Pick 2: Bologna vs Monza 1-1 @ 6/1

Bologna’s recent attacking improvements suggest they can find the net at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Palladino’s side have secured three victories in their last four matches, showing sharp efficiency in their recent four-goal display against AC Milan. With Monza possessing the division’s worst defensive record having allowed 22 goals, the hosts have an obvious opportunity to score at least once.

For the visitors, Gustavo Varela provides a reliable attacking outlet. His eight Serie A goals prove Monza can convert their chances, and a Bologna defence that has conceded 12 times in nine matches offers a credible target. Monza’s return of 16 league goals demonstrates their ability to trouble opponents, justifying their side of the 1-1 scoreline.

While Bologna have won the last three meetings between these clubs, including a 3-1 victory in this fixture, their home form under Palladino remains unproven. Their only home match under the new manager ended in a 3-1 defeat to Inter Milan, suggesting they may struggle to replicate their away dominance. The correct-score market is inherently fragile, and Monza’s tendency to concede heavily means a single additional strike for the hosts could easily defeat the selection. However, with Bologna seeking a first home win and Monza desperate to halt a three-match away losing sequence, a 1-1 finish reflects the visitors’ attacking competence against a vulnerable home defence.