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Bologna vs Lazio: New Eras Begin With Familiar Questions to Answer. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Bologna's 1.2 goals per game and 11.6 attempts, combined with Lazio's higher shot accuracy and 1.3 goals per game, suggest both sides are likely to score. Defensive vulnerabilities and recent results support a match with goals from both teams, despite Bologna's home struggles last season.
A 1-1 scoreline fits both teams' scoring and conceding averages, with historical draws supporting this outcome. Defensive changes and recent results suggest a balanced match prone to a draw with goals.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Bologna v Lazio.
Bologna and Lazio begin their Serie A seasons at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on Monday with new coaches, reshaped squads and rather more to prove than either would have wanted before a ball was kicked.
Bologna vs Lazio — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
The match is expected to be competitive with a slight edge to Bologna based on recent scoring and conceding.
Bologna's recent scoring and conceding rates suggest a competitive edge in this match.
Both teams have averaged over one goal per game, indicating potential for multiple goals.
The similar goals conceded rates and historical draws support a 1-1 outcome.
Three Punchy Stats
- Bologna collected 12 fewer points at home than away last season, the biggest such difference across Europe’s top five leagues and a significant problem for Tedesco to address immediately.
- Lazio averaged 4.7 shots on target from 10.3 attempts across their last 10 league games; Bologna managed 3.7 from 11.6, highlighting a clear difference in shooting accuracy.
- Both teams conceded 1.2 goals per game across their last 10 league matches, but Lazio allowed 12.4 attempts compared with Bologna’s 9.8, suggesting the visitors were surviving heavier defensive pressure for the same punishment.
Goals Per Game Comparison
Recent attacking records for Bologna and Lazio are shown below.
Goals Conceded Comparison
Recent defensive records for Bologna and Lazio are shown below.
Domenico Tedesco inherits a Bologna side that finished eighth last season but collected 12 fewer points at home than away. Gennaro Gattuso arrives at Lazio after a ninth-place finish and has already suffered a bruising competitive debut, losing 2-0 at home to Serie B Mantova in the Coppa Italia.
For both, the immediate task is less about reinvention than correcting weaknesses that were already visible.
Bologna must make home advantage mean something again
Bologna’s home record is the most awkward number surrounding this fixture. Their 12-point deficit between home and away returns was the largest across Europe’s top five leagues last season, while only relegated Pisa and Verona suffered more Serie A defeats on their own ground.
That sits strangely alongside a respectable broader run of five wins, two draws and three defeats across their final 10 league matches. Bologna averaged 54.5% possession and 11.6 attempts during that spell, so they were capable of controlling a reasonable share of matches without consistently turning that control into dominance.
Their attacking return was modest: 1.2 goals per game from 11.6 attempts, with 3.7 reaching the target. The issue was not an absence of shooting, but the limited reward those attacks produced.
The summer has also removed important pieces. Santiago Castro and Jhon Lucumi have departed, while Artem Dovbyk and Roberto Piccoli are among the new attacking options. Riccardo Orsolini remains after reaching double figures in Serie A for a fourth successive season, and his production gives Tedesco at least one established source of goals.
Lazio's defeat exposed an immediate problem
Lazio’s 2-0 cup defeat to Mantova gives Gattuso a more urgent concern. Both goals arrived late, but the result followed a season in which Lazio finished two points behind Bologna and scored only 1.3 goals per match across their final 10 league games.
Their shot profile offers an interesting contrast. Lazio averaged fewer attempts than Bologna over that period, 10.3 to 11.6, yet produced considerably more shots on target: 4.7 compared with 3.7. That points towards better accuracy, although the difference in scoring output was only 0.1 goals per game.
In other words, Lazio were finding the goalkeeper more often without gaining a proportionate advantage on the scoreboard.
Their defensive figures are similarly mixed. They conceded the same 1.2 goals per game as Bologna despite allowing 12.4 attempts per match, compared with Bologna’s 9.8. Lazio therefore faced substantially more opposition shooting without conceding more often.
That resilience may be harder to take for granted after goalkeeper Ivan Provedel and defender Mario Gila left during the summer.
Recent meetings favour the visitors
Lazio have avoided defeat in the last three meetings between the clubs and won 2-0 on their most recent visit to the Dall'Ara, when Kenneth Taylor scored twice.
Across the last 10 meetings, Lazio hold only a narrow advantage with four wins to Bologna’s three, alongside three draws. More relevant to Monday is the combination of Lazio’s recent success in this fixture and Bologna’s difficulty translating home matches into points.
Neither side arrives with much momentum to spare. Bologna ended pre-season with an away defeat to Brighton, while Lazio’s competitive campaign began with that loss to Mantova.
Other opportunities in this market
- Match Result (Draw @ 11/5): Covers any scoreline where the teams are level at full-time (0-0, 1-1, 2-2). It avoids exact score precision but loses if either team secures a win.
- Over 2.5 Goals (@ 6/5): Wins if the match contains three or more total goals combined (e.g., 2-1, 3-0, 2-2). It trades exact team contributions for total volume, losing on 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, or 1-1.
- Double Chance (Bologna or Draw): Covers two of three possible match outcomes, lowering potential volatility relative to a direct win or exact score, but at shorter odds.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Bologna vs Lazio 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 5/6
Bologna enter this Serie A opener at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara having averaged 1.2 goals per game across their final 10 league matches, supported by an average of 11.6 attempts per fixture. Domenico Tedesco inherits an attack featuring Riccardo Orsolini, who reached double figures in Serie A for a fourth consecutive campaign, alongside summer arrivals Artem Dovbyk and Roberto Piccoli. However, Bologna struggled on home turf throughout last term, ending with 12 fewer points at home than away—the largest disparity across Europe’s top five leagues—and conceding 1.2 goals per match over their closing 10 league games.
Lazio present a contrasting statistical profile that aligns closely with both sides reaching the scoresheet. Across their final 10 league games, Gennaro Gattuso’s side matched Bologna’s defensive record by allowing 1.2 goals per match, yet they absorbed a heavier volume of opposition effort by facing 12.4 attempts per game. Offensively, Lazio generated 10.3 attempts per fixture over that same span, but recorded 4.7 shots on target compared to Bologna’s 3.7. That superior shot accuracy yielded 1.3 goals per game for the visitors. The departures of goalkeeper Ivan Provedel and defender Mario Gila leave Lazio adjusting at the back, as shown in their recent 2-0 cup defeat to Mantova.
Against this, Lazio’s recent 2-0 cup defeat to Mantova involved two late goals, while Bologna ended pre-season with an away loss to Brighton, indicating neither unit opens the campaign with flawless defensive rhythm. Lazio have avoided defeat in the last three meetings between these clubs, including a 2-0 victory on their previous visit to the Dall’Ara. Nevertheless, with Bologna regularly attempting shots on home soil and Lazio carrying higher target accuracy despite allowing 12.4 opposition attempts per match, both teams have established reliable statistical routes onto the scoreboard.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Bologna averaged 1.2 goals and 11.6 attempts per game in their last 10 league matches.
- Lazio averaged 4.7 shots on target and 1.3 goals per match in their last 10 league fixtures.
- Both teams conceded 1.2 goals per game across their last 10 league matches.
Risk Factor: If either defence keeps a clean sheet, the Both Teams To Score selection will lose.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Earned 12 fewer points at home than away last season, suffering more home league losses than all but Pisa and Verona.
Averaging 4.7 shots on target from 10.3 attempts (45.6% accuracy), testing goalkeepers frequently.
⚔️ Pick 2: Bologna vs Lazio 1-1 @ 9/2
A 1-1 scoreline offers a realistic outcome that satisfies the underlying scoring metrics of both clubs. Bologna’s baseline output of 1.2 goals per game from 11.6 attempts across their final 10 league fixtures shows a side capable of finding the net without overwhelming opponents. Although departures like Santiago Castro and Jhon Lucumi alter their shape, Orsolini’s history of four straight double-figure Serie A campaigns provides a proven domestic finish. Bologna averaged 54.5% possession in their final 10 league games, giving them sufficient territorial presence to breach a Lazio defence that faced 12.4 attempts per match over the same period and recently conceded twice against Mantova following the exits of Provedel and Gila.
Conversely, Lazio’s figures explain why a single goal for the visitors fits the matchup. Gattuso’s side averaged 1.3 goals per match across their closing 10 league fixtures while hitting the target 4.7 times from 10.3 total attempts. That higher target rate suggests Lazio convert chances effectively enough to breach a Bologna backline that conceded 1.2 goals per game in their final 10 league outings and registered more home defeats than any top-flight side except relegated Pisa and Verona.
Historical context adds secondary support, as the broader head-to-head record features three draws in the last 10 meetings between the sides, even though Lazio won 2-0 in their most recent visit to the Dall’Ara. The chief threat to a 1-1 finish is a late goal from either team, given Lazio conceded twice late against Mantova and Bologna’s home games frequently produced decisive outcomes last term. An exact-score bet remains inherently fragile, but 1-1 accurately mirrors the identical 1.2 goals-conceded rates of both clubs.
Risk Factor: A single goal difference or a clean sheet will cause the 1-1 correct score bet to fail.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Yes mean for Bologna vs Lazio?
Both teams must score at least one goal during normal time and stoppage time for this bet to win.
How does the Correct Score market settle in this match?
It settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; only 1-1 wins here.
Why does Bologna's home record support BTTS Yes?
Bologna conceded 1.2 goals per game at home last season, allowing chances for Lazio to score.
What makes Lazio's shot metrics relevant to a 1-1 correct score?
Lazio's high shot accuracy enables scoring chances despite moderate overall shot volume.
How does Double Chance differ from Match Result for Bologna vs Lazio?
Double Chance covers two outcomes, offering broader coverage but usually at lower odds.
Do defensive player departures impact the match context?
Lazio lost key defensive players and conceded twice late in a recent cup match, showing adjustment needs.
