bet365
BetMGM
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Can Bologna keep their surge alive, or will Verona spring a survival shock at Dall’Ara? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo location and live streaming rules apply.
Read Rationale ▾
Bologna are in sensational form, winning five matches on the spin and keeping four consecutive clean sheets. Verona are the league’s bottom side, winless in six and struggling for goals, having scored just 20 all season. The hosts’ defensive solidity makes a win to nil highly probable.
Read Rationale ▾
Bologna average 1.41 goals per game and possess high defensive stability, while Verona concede 1.69 on average. With Bologna pinning opponents back through 55% possession and a strong set-piece threat, a controlled 2-0 victory reflects their current momentum and Verona’s ongoing struggle to create high-quality chances.
[bt4y_readers_tip]
Bologna bring heat into this one with five wins on the spin and four straight clean sheets. Vincenzo Italiano’s side have turned a shaky campaign into a sharp one as they host bottom-of-the-table Verona.
Bologna vs Verona — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Bologna’s five-match winning streak and home control make them heavy favourites against a Verona side winless in their last six fixtures.
Bologna’s four straight clean sheets and Verona’s low scoring average (0.72) suggest a high probability of a low-scoring outcome.
A controlled 1-0 or 2-0 Bologna win aligns with their 55% possession and Verona’s bottom-ranked scoring record this season.
Bologna’s 12 clean sheets and Verona’s failure to score frequently make a home shut-out the standout tactical trend.
Match Overview
- Bologna are suddenly ruthless: Vincenzo Italiano’s side have won five straight matches in all competitions and kept a clean sheet in each of their last four, turning a shaky campaign into a sharp one.
- Verona are running out of answers: Hellas Verona are winless in six matches, have lost five of those games, and have scored just 20 goals in 27 Serie A fixtures.
- The gap shows in the ball: Bologna average 55% possession, 14.82 shots per game and 5.64 corners per match, while Verona sit at 41% possession, 10.83 shots and 3.76 corners.
Attacking Volume: Shots per League Match
Bologna’s offensive production significantly outpaces Verona’s, reflecting their ability to pin teams back at the Dall’Ara.
Italiano’s side create nearly 15 attempts per game, driven by high possession and wing play.
Verona struggle to sustain pressure, managing just over 10 attempts while relying on breaks.
Defensive Reliability: Clean Sheets This Season
A massive disparity in defensive solidity exists between these two sides heading into Sunday’s fixture.
With four shut-outs in their last four games, the Rossoblu are currently difficult to breach.
Verona have half the clean sheets of their hosts and concede 1.69 goals on average per game.
Bologna bring heat into this one. Five wins on the spin, four straight clean sheets and a mood shift that has changed the feel of their season. Sunday’s fixture at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara gives Vincenzo Italiano another chance to keep that charge moving before attention turns elsewhere.
Verona arrive in a very different state. Paolo Sammarco’s side are bottom of Serie A, short on points, short on goals and stuck in a brutal run that has drained belief. That makes this a dangerous game in its own way, because desperation can make matches messy.
Bologna, though, have real momentum. They edged Pisa last time out, keep finding late answers, and now host a side they have beaten in four of the last five meetings. Kick-off is at 14:00, and the pressure sits much heavier on the visitors.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Bologna are without Remo Freuler, who is suspended for yellow-card accumulation. Torbjørn Heggem is unavailable with lumbago. Juan Miranda is out with a right hip flexor problem until 16 March 2026. Freuler’s absence matters because he gives Bologna control, balance and passing security in midfield. Missing Miranda also weakens Bologna’s natural left-sided rhythm, which is usually a big part of how they build pressure. No injuries or suspensions are listed for Hellas Verona. That gives Verona a cleaner squad picture, but form remains the bigger issue than availability.
Probable Bologna lineup:
Skorupski; De Silvestri, Lucumi, Casale, Zortea; Ferguson, Moro, Sohm; Bernardeschi, Castro, Rowe
Probable Hellas Verona lineup:
Montipo; Edmundsson, Nelsson, Valentini; Oyegoke, Harroui, Gagliardini, Akpa-Akpro, Bradaric; Bowie, Orban
Bologna’s likely XI still looks aggressive and front-footed. Lewis Ferguson, Nikola Moro and Simon Sohm should be asked to keep the tempo high behind a fluid attacking line. Verona’s probable side looks built for containment and breakaways. Gift Orban is the clear danger, while Gagliardini and Akpa-Akpro will need to scrap hard in midfield if the visitors are to stay alive in the game.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Bologna | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Serie A points | 39 | 15 |
| Goals scored | 36 | 20 |
| Goals per game (all comps) | 1.41 | 0.72 |
| Goals conceded per game (all comps) | 1.05 | 1.69 |
| Shots per game | 14.82 | 10.83 |
| Possession | 55% | 41% |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 12 | 6 |
| Corners per game | 5.64 | 3.76 |
| Dangerous attacks per game | 48.41 | 36.24 |
This table points one way. Bologna control the ball more, shoot more, create more dangerous attacks and concede far less. Verona’s edge comes more from chaos than control. They are aggressive, strong at stealing the ball and dangerous on the counter, but the wider numbers show a team that spends too much time defending and too little time dictating.
Tactical Battle
Bologna should own the ball
This looks like a Bologna game from the start. They play possession football, use width, attack down the left and carry far more control in the middle third. With 55% possession and 83% pass accuracy, they should spend long stretches pinning Verona back.
That matters because Verona are very weak at keeping possession. If Bologna squeeze the pitch early, win second balls and recycle attacks, the visitors could get trapped in their own half for long periods. The home side’s average of 48.41 dangerous attacks per game underlines that threat. Even without Freuler and Miranda, Bologna still have enough craft and movement. Santiago Castro and Riccardo Orsolini both have 7 league goals, while Jens Odgaard has 5 and continues to pop up in key moments. That is a far sharper attacking core than Verona can match.
Verona’s route is the break
Verona will not want a slow, settled match. Their best work comes when they steal the ball, break quickly and attack the spaces behind the first press. They are very strong at regaining possession and strong on counter-attacks, so Bologna cannot switch off once they commit bodies forward.
That gives Gift Orban huge importance. He has 7 league goals and averages 2.9 shots per game, which makes him Verona’s clearest outlet. Giovane also adds life, with 3 goals and 4 assists, and he can turn scraps into transitions quickly. But the flaw is obvious. Verona are very weak at finishing chances and very weak at defending set pieces and counter-attacks. That is a brutal combination against a Bologna side strong at attacking set pieces and full of confidence.
Set plays and wide pressure could break Verona
Bologna are strong at attacking set pieces. Verona are very weak at defending them. That mismatch jumps off the page. It gets worse for the visitors when the ball is worked wide. Bologna like width and can build through the left, while Verona are likely to spend the game shuffling across, making emergency clearances and defending waves of pressure. The first few corners and free kicks could tell the story quickly.
The midfield may become one-way traffic
Without Freuler, Bologna lose some calm, but Verona do not look built to exploit that with possession. They average just 41% of the ball and only 336 passes per game. Bologna average 434.62. So even if Verona scrap well for spells, the balance of the match should still tilt toward the home side. Bologna’s challenge is not creating territorial dominance. It is turning that dominance into a decisive lead before Verona can make the game scrappy.
Where Verona can still be awkward
There is one warning sign for Bologna. They are weak at avoiding offside, weak at protecting a lead and very weak against skilful players. If Verona stay alive and the match gets stretched late on, the visitors could find moments down the right or through direct balls into the front line. That is why the first goal matters. Bologna average their first goal at 46 minutes, while Verona score theirs at 38 minutes on average. If Verona somehow land first, this becomes much less comfortable for the hosts.
Key Moments to Watch
- Bologna at set pieces: Bologna are strong at attacking set pieces, while Verona are very weak at defending them. Dead-ball situations could be a major swing factor.
- Orsolini and Castro’s movement: Riccardo Orsolini and Santiago Castro both have 7 league goals and should stretch Verona’s back line in different ways.
- Gift Orban on the break: Gift Orban is Verona’s main threat and their best hope of turning limited possession into a goal.
- The clean-sheet run: Bologna have gone four straight matches without conceding, and that defensive confidence is changing the whole tone of their play.
- Verona’s discipline under pressure: Verona average 16 fouls per game, and a side defending deep for long periods can quickly rack up dangerous moments against themselves.
- Left-side pressure from Bologna: Bologna like to attack down the left, and sustained pressure in that channel could force Verona’s wing-backs into a long afternoon.
Potential Pitfalls
For Bologna, the risk is complacency mixed with rotation. The Europa League tie with Roma sits just around the corner, and a side riding momentum can sometimes think the hard part is already done. If intensity drops, Verona have the counter-attacking tools to make this awkward. For Verona, the danger is that the match becomes exactly what it looks like on paper: long spells without the ball, too many set pieces conceded, and not enough quality when chances finally come. If that happens, the pressure piles up quickly and Dall’Ara can turn into a suffocating place to play.
Market Explainer 📊
Win to Nil
A “Win to Nil” bet requires the selected team to win the match while keeping a clean sheet. If the opponent scores, the bet is lost, even if your team wins the game. It is a popular way to boost the price on a strong favourite with a solid defence.
Pros: Higher odds than a standard win. Cons: One defensive lapse or late consolation goal ruins the selection.
Correct Score
This market requires you to predict the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes. It is a high-volatility market because even a dominant performance can be altered by a single moment of individual brilliance or error.
Pros: High potential returns. Cons: Low margin for error; game-state changes can quickly invalidate the prediction.
Bologna to Win to Nil – Analysis 🎯
Bologna enter this fixture as one of the form sides in Serie A, having won five consecutive matches. Crucially, their defensive organisation has been impeccable, leading to four straight clean sheets. This run has transformed their season, showing a team that is not only clinical going forward but also incredibly difficult to break down. Facing a Verona side that sits at the bottom of the table and has scored only 20 goals in 27 league matches, the Rossoblu are well-positioned to secure another three points without conceding.
Tactical Indicators:
- Bologna have kept clean sheets in each of their last 4 matches.
- Verona average only 0.72 goals scored per game across all competitions.
- The hosts average 55% possession, limiting opponent opportunities to attack.
Verona’s winless streak of six games highlights their lack of confidence, and their average of just 10.83 shots per game suggests they struggle to create meaningful pressure. While Bologna are missing Remo Freuler and Juan Miranda, their squad depth and current defensive momentum should be enough to stifle a Verona attack that has lost five of its last six. The primary risk factor involves the loss of Freuler’s midfield control, which could lead to a more open game if Bologna fail to recycle possession effectively.
Risk Factor: Midfield balance may shift due to Freuler’s suspension, potentially offering Verona more transition opportunities.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Bologna are strong at attacking set pieces, frequently turning dead-ball situations into high-quality shots.
Verona are very weak at defending set plays, a major vulnerability against a side that dominates possession.
Correct Score: Bologna 2-0 Verona – Rationale ⚔️
Predicting a 2-0 victory for Bologna aligns with the statistical trends of both teams. Bologna average 1.41 goals per match and create over 48 dangerous attacks per game. Given Verona concede an average of 1.69 goals and have lost five of their last six, it is highly likely that Bologna will find the net multiple times. However, Bologna are not a team that typically blows opponents away with high scorelines; they focus on control and defensive security, as evidenced by their four straight clean sheets.
The 2-0 scoreline reflects a game where Bologna dominate 55% of the ball and capitalise on Verona’s weakness in defending set pieces. With Orsolini and Castro both on 7 league goals, the home side has the clinical edge to take a lead and then manage the game. Verona’s main threat, Gift Orban, will likely be isolated if Bologna’s midfield maintains its 83% pass accuracy. The biggest risk to this scoreline is a late consolidation goal from Verona on the counter or Bologna scoring a third if the visitors are forced to chase the game and leave gaps.
Risk Factor: A singular counter-attacking goal from Gift Orban could disrupt the clean sheet requirement for this scoreline.
Bologna vs Verona Q&A ⊕
⊕ What does a Win to Nil bet mean for Bologna?
Bologna must win the match without conceding any goals for this bet to be successful. If Verona score even one goal, the bet is lost regardless of the final result.
⊕ Why is Bologna considered a strong favourite?
Bologna have won five straight matches and kept four consecutive clean sheets, while Verona are bottom of the table and winless in six. The disparity in form and league position makes Bologna heavy favourites.
⊕ How does the Correct Score market work?
The Correct Score market requires you to predict the exact final result of the match at the end of regulation time. It offers higher odds because of the difficulty in predicting specific scorelines.
⊕ Is Bologna’s defence reliable for this match?
Bologna have kept 12 clean sheets this season and haven’t conceded in their last four games. This defensive stability makes them very reliable against a low-scoring Verona side.
⊕ Who are the key players to watch for Bologna?
Riccardo Orsolini and Santiago Castro are the primary threats, both having scored 7 league goals this season. Their movement will be vital in breaking down a deep Verona block.
⊕ What is Verona’s main attacking threat?
Gift Orban is Verona’s standout player, averaging 2.9 shots per game and scoring 7 goals. Verona will look to use his pace on counter-attacks.
⊕ How does possession affect these betting markets?
Bologna’s 55% possession allows them to control the tempo, reducing the time Verona has to create chances. High control often leads to lower-scoring, shut-out victories for the dominant side.
⊕ What happens if the match ends in a draw?
If the match ends in a draw, both the “Bologna Win to Nil” and “Bologna 2-0” bets would be lost. These markets require an outright victory for the home side.
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly. Set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when it’s not fun anymore.
Last Odds Update: Feb 10, 14:20 GMT | Editorial Policy
