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Dundee vs Hibernian: Home Strength Meets Hibs’ Greater Shot Pressure. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Both teams scoring is supported by Dundee's strong home scoring and Hibernian's defensive concessions. Dundee average 1.5 goals and 11.1 attempts per game, while Hibernian maintain 1.3 goals despite fewer attempts. Both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely.
A 2-1 scoreline fits recent home form and defensive pressure patterns, with Joe Westley and Martin Boyle key to scoring. Risks include Dundee's clean sheet potential and Hibernian's unbeaten head-to-head record.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Dundee v Hibernian.
Dundee welcome Hibernian to Dens Park on Sunday with an early Premiership record that is stronger than their broader run of results might suggest.
Dundee vs Hibernian — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Dundee's strong home form contrasts with Hibernian's unbeaten away streak.
Hibernian carry the stronger scoring threat, but Dundee must contribute for BTTS to land.
Dundee and Hibernian look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Dundee create more chances, leaving Hibernian under pressure to match their attacking tempo.
Three Punchy Stats
- Dundee have won their last six competitive home matches, giving Hibernian a clear test against a side currently extracting maximum reward from Dens Park.
- Hibernian have conceded 16.2 attempts per game across their last 10 league matches, compared with Dundee’s 14.3, suggesting the visitors have been exposed to heavier sustained pressure.
- Dundee have scored 1.5 goals per league game from 11.1 attempts across their last 10, while Hibs average 1.3 from only 7.6. The visitors have been reasonably efficient, but Dundee are generating considerably more attacking volume.
Scoring Streaks
Recent attacking records for Dundee and Hibernian are shown below.
Clean Sheet Runs
Recent defensive records for Dundee and Hibernian are shown below.
Steven Pressley’s side have six points from three league games, including consecutive 2-0 wins over Aberdeen and Dundee United, while Hibs have three points from two after responding to defeat against Motherwell by winning 2-1 at Rangers.
The sharper question is whether Dundee’s recent efficiency and formidable home record can withstand a Hibernian side whose longer-term figures show greater defensive pressure but less attacking economy.
Dundee are making modest possession count
Dundee’s league start has been built on control of scorelines rather than control of the ball. Against Dundee United they had only 32% possession yet still won 2-0, with Drey Wright and Owen Bevan scoring.
That fits a wider pattern. Across their last 10 league matches, Dundee have averaged 44.4% possession and 11.1 attempts, producing 1.5 goals per game. Their 4.3 shots on target per match represents a healthy proportion of that attacking volume.
The defensive numbers are less comfortable. Dundee have conceded an average of 14.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on target across those 10 league games, although the resulting average of 1.3 goals against suggests they have limited the damage reasonably well.
More immediately, they have kept clean sheets in consecutive Premiership victories. Their home record adds further weight: Dundee have won their last six competitive fixtures at Dens Park and are unbeaten there across that sequence.
Hibs’ shot numbers expose an efficiency problem
Hibernian arrive from a demanding sequence. David Gray’s side progressed past FC Malisheva and Shkendija in Europe before their Conference League run ended dramatically against Gent, who scored twice in the final six minutes at Easter Road to turn a 2-1 deficit into a 3-2 win and eliminate Hibs 3-2 on aggregate.
Domestically, the picture has been better. Victories over Rangers and Partick Thistle preceded that European defeat, and the Rangers result was particularly striking: Hibs won 2-1 despite having 24% possession and only two shots on goal.
Their longer league sample reveals the same tension between limited attacking output and substantial pressure at the other end. Hibernian have averaged just 7.6 attempts and 2.2 shots on target across their last 10 league matches, scoring 1.3 goals per game. Opponents, by contrast, have averaged 16.2 attempts and 5.0 efforts on target.
Conceding only 1.2 goals per match from that volume is impressive, but regularly allowing so many attacks leaves little margin for defensive error.
Personnel could shape Dundee’s attacking threat
Dundee remain without Ashley Hay and Imari Samuels, while captain Simon Murray is ruled out until May with a cruciate ligament injury. Joe Westley is therefore likely to carry significant attacking responsibility, and his three goals make him Dundee’s leading scorer across the recent league sample.
Hibs are without Rocky Bushiri, while Owen Elding could return after missing the Gent defeat with a slight injury issue. Martin Boyle has three goals across Hibernian’s last 10 league games, matching Josh Campbell, while Felix Passlack and Jordan Obita have three assists apiece.
Hibernian also bring a favourable recent record in this fixture. They were unbeaten in three meetings with Dundee last season and have avoided defeat in the last four encounters overall, although Dundee’s six-match winning run at Dens Park gives that history a very different context.
Other opportunities in this market
Over 2.5 Goals requires at least three total goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time regardless of which team scores, losing on 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, or 2-0. Double Chance covers two of the three possible match outcomes (such as Dundee Win or Draw), reducing losing scenarios but offering shorter odds than a direct Match Result selection.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Dundee vs Hibernian 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 6/10
Dundee host Hibernian at Dens Park with complementary statistical patterns that favor scoring opportunities at both ends. Across their last 10 league fixtures, Dundee have averaged 1.5 goals per game while generating 11.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on target per match. This regular attacking output is supported by six consecutive competitive victories at Dens Park. However, Steven Pressley’s side also concede significant volume, allowing an average of 14.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on target per league game, leading to 1.3 goals against per match.
Hibernian present a contrasting yet compatible profile. David Gray’s side produce a lower average of 7.6 attempts and 2.2 shots on target per league match over their last 10 games, yet maintain a return of 1.3 goals per game. Their recent 2-1 win at Rangers showed this capacity to score from minimal chances, converting two shots on goal despite holding 24% possession. Martin Boyle has scored three goals in Hibs’ last 10 league matches, matched by Josh Campbell, while Felix Passlack and Jordan Obita have supplied three assists each.
The matchup interaction reinforces the case for goals at both ends. Hibs allow 16.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on target per league match, giving Dundee a regular platform to work from. Conversely, Dundee’s defensive allowance of 14.3 attempts per game gives Hibernian space to maintain their scoring output. While Dundee’s recent consecutive 2-0 wins over Aberdeen and Dundee United show recent clean sheets, their 10-match concession average suggests Hibs can breach their defence.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Dundee have scored 1.5 goals per match across their last 10 league games while winning six consecutive competitive fixtures at Dens Park.
- Hibernian have conceded an average of 16.2 attempts per league game over their last 10 matches, exposing their backline to high opposition volume.
- Dundee concede 14.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on target per match, giving Hibernian regular opportunities to maintain their 1.3 goals per match scoring rate.
Risk Factor: Dundee's recent clean sheets or Hibernian's low shot generation could limit scoring opportunities.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Six consecutive competitive wins at Dens Park with 1.5 goals scored per match across their last 10 league outings.
Conceding 16.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on target per match, leaving their backline open to Dundee's attacking pressure.
⚔️ Pick 2: Dundee vs Hibernian 2-1 @ 9/1
A 2-1 victory for Dundee aligns directly with both sides’ recent performance metrics at Dens Park. Dundee enter this fixture on a six-match winning streak in competitive home games, averaging 1.5 goals per league match across their last 10 fixtures. Facing a Hibernian defence that allows 16.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on target per league game, Dundee possess sufficient volume through their 11.1 attempts per match to secure two home goals. Leading scorer Joe Westley has recorded three goals across the recent league sample, providing an active focal point in the absence of injured captain Simon Murray.
Hibernian’s profile supports their ability to grab a single goal in response. Despite averaging only 7.6 attempts per league match over their last 10 games, Hibs maintain a 1.3 goal scoring average and scored twice at Rangers from just two shots on target. Dundee’s defensive record shows an average of 14.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on target conceded per league game, leaving clear opportunities for visitors to score. Martin Boyle’s three goals in 10 league games underline Hibernian’s capacity to capitalise on limited chances.
The principal risk to a 2-1 scoreline stems from historical head-to-head precedent and Dundee’s recent clean sheets. Hibernian were unbeaten in three meetings against Dundee last season and are unbeaten in the last four overall. Additionally, Dundee’s consecutive 2-0 wins against Aberdeen and Dundee United demonstrate that a home clean sheet remains possible, which would defeat the exact scoreline.
Risk Factor: Strong home form meets high defensive pressure, but defensive lapses could alter outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams to Score YES mean for Dundee vs Hibernian?
Both teams must score at least one goal each during regular time for this bet to win.
Why is Both Teams to Score YES selected for this match?
Dundee's home scoring and Hibernian's defensive concessions suggest goals at both ends.
How does the Correct Score market work for Dundee vs Hibernian?
You must predict the exact final score at the end of regular time for a winning bet.
What happens if the match goes to extra time?
Only goals scored in regular time plus stoppage count for these bets.
How do Dundee's recent clean sheets affect the main selection?
Recent clean sheets show defensive strength but broader data shows regular conceding chances.
How does Hibernian's record against Dundee influence the prediction?
Hibernian's unbeaten recent meetings contrast with Dundee's strong home winning streak.
