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Dundee crestDundee
v
Hibernian crestHibernian

Premiership | Sun 30 Aug, 15:00

Dundee v Hibernian Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 22:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee face Hibernian in Premiership on Sun 30 Aug, 15:00. Hibernian have conceded 16.2 attempts per game across their last 10 league matches, compared with Dundee’s 14.3, suggesting the visitors have been exposed to heavier sustained pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 3, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely.
  • Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian.
  • Dundee sit 4 in the table, while Hibernian sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 40% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian. Both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely.

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Positive
Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee sit 4 in the table, while Hibernian sit 10.Visible data support
Positive
Both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dundee Win is the preferred angle because both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely. Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian. Hibernian carry the stronger scoring threat, but Dundee must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Hibernian carry the stronger scoring threat, but Dundee must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both sides' defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends are likely.

Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian.

Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Dundee sit 4 in the table, while Hibernian sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Dundee1.33
    Avg goals scored
    Hibernian1.5
    Dundee0.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Hibernian1.5
    Dundee0%
    BTTS rate
    Hibernian100%
    Dundee0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Hibernian100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 0% for Dundee and 100% for Hibernian, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDundee to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 33% · edge +6.5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Dundee Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Dundee to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Dundee5
    Avg corners for
    Hibernian6
    Dundee11.33
    Avg total corners
    Hibernian10.5
    Dundee1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Hibernian1
    Dundee14.33
    Avg shots
    Hibernian13.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Dundee

    WWL
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    22 Aug 2026A Dundee Utd2-0
    08 Aug 2026H Aberdeen2-0
    03 Aug 2026A Celtic0-1

    Hibernian

    WL
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    09 Aug 2026A Rangers2-1
    02 Aug 2026H Motherwell1-2
    Market aligned with main pickDundee to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 33% · edge +6.5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Dundee Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Dundee wins
    3Draws
    5Hibernian wins
    28 Feb 2026Dundee v Hibernian3-3
    22 Nov 2025Hibernian v Dundee2-0
    03 Aug 2025Dundee v Hibernian1-2
    13 Apr 2025Hibernian v Dundee4-0
    23 Nov 2024Dundee v Hibernian4-1
    24 Aug 2024Hibernian v Dundee2-2
    Market aligned with main pickDundee to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 33% · edge +6.5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Dundee7
    Played
    Hibernian7
    Dundee1.3
    Avg goals for
    Hibernian1.1
    Dundee1
    Avg goals against
    Hibernian1.6
    Dundee2
    Clean sheets
    Hibernian0
    Market aligned with main pickDundee to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 33% · edge +6.5 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Dundee Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports Dundee to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Dundee1073132
    10Hibernian77214-3
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Dundee Over 2.5
    100%Hibernian Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee sit at 0% and Hibernian sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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