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Can the Foxes keep their survival fight alive under the lights? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Leicester average over 12 shots per game but remain defensively vulnerable with only six clean sheets. Hull have scored 65 goals this season and feature prolific forwards in McBurnie and Gelhardt. With both defences struggling at set pieces, goals at both ends look highly likely in this high-pressure clash.
Read Rationale ▾
Both sides are currently on winless runs and under significant pressure. While Leicester control possession, Hull’s direct counter-attacking style and aerial strength through McBurnie can cancel them out. A 1-1 stalemate reflects the tactical struggle between Leicester’s volume of shots and Hull’s clinical finishing ability.
Leicester host Hull in a huge Championship clash with survival and play-off pressure colliding at the King Power Stadium.
Leicester vs Hull — bet365 Market Snapshot
Championship survival vs play-off push: illustrative probabilities based on match analysis.
Leicester’s home status and ball dominance make them slight favourites despite their recent six-match winless streak in the league.
Both teams have struggled defensively, with Leicester keeping only six clean sheets and Hull conceding 61 goals this campaign.
Leicester’s average of 1.25 goals conceded matches Hull’s direct attacking threat from McBurnie, making a 1-1 stalemate plausible.
Hull have kept double the clean sheets of Leicester this season, despite having less possession on average.
Leicester City vs Hull City: Survival Fight vs Play-off Pressure
- Leicester’s margin for error has gone: Gary Rowett’s side are eight points from safety with only three games left, and they head into this one without a win in their last six league matches.
- Hull’s attack still carries punch: Hull have scored 65 Championship goals in 43 games, with Oliver McBurnie and Joe Gelhardt both on 14, giving Sergej Jakirović’s side real threat even during a four-match winless run.
- The styles point to an open tactical clash: Leicester average 53% possession and 12.67 shots per game, while Hull sit lower at 46% possession but still score 1.48 goals per game, which hints at a contest between control and direct damage.
Match Control: Possession and Shots comparison
Leicester City look to dominate the ball and create volume, while Hull focus on scoring efficiency from fewer touches.
The home side prioritise offensive pressure, averaging over 50% possession to create openings.
Hull focus on direct damage, managing more total goals this season than their hosts.
Defensive Reliability: Clean Sheets
Security at the back has been a differentiator for these sides across the league campaign.
Keeping opponents out has been difficult, with 65 goals conceded contributing to their league position.
Hull have been twice as likely to record a shutout, providing a platform for their play-off push.
Match Preview
This is a Championship fixture with pressure everywhere you look. Leicester City go into Tuesday night’s 19:45 kick-off at the King Power Stadium needing points fast, because the table is closing in and the room for recovery is almost gone.
The Foxes are 23rd on 41 points, second from bottom, and back-to-back relegation is no longer a warning. It is a live threat. A 1-0 defeat at Portsmouth only deepened that danger, and Leicester now come home with the feeling that anything less than a big response could leave them staring at the drop.
Hull City arrive with their own tension. They are 6th on 69 points, still holding that top-six place, but the grip is not firm after four matches without a win. One side is trying to escape the trapdoor, the other is trying to protect opportunity. That usually brings edge, risk and a very sharp night.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Leicester City
- Aaron Ramsey is out with a hamstring injury.
- Victor Kristiansen is out with a knee injury.
- Asmir Begovic is out with an ankle injury.
Hull City
- No injuries or suspensions are listed.
Probable Leicester City lineup
Stolarczyk, R. Pereira, Lascelles, Thomas, James, Winks, Fatawu, De Cordova-Reid, Mavididi, Daka
Probable Hull City lineup
Pandur, Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, McNair, Hadziahmetovic, Crooks, Belloumi, Gelhardt, Millar, McBurnie
Leicester’s shape looks built to get the ball wide and move quickly into advanced areas. Abdul Fatawu, Stephy Mavididi and Bobby De Cordova-Reid give them legs and direct running, while Patson Daka offers the threat in behind.
Hull’s likely front four has more than enough bite. Oliver McBurnie and Joe Gelhardt bring goals, while Mohamed Belloumi and Liam Millar can stretch the pitch and attack space fast. That makes Hull dangerous even if they spend long spells without the ball.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Leicester City | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 23rd | 6th |
| Points | 41 | 69 |
| Goals scored | 54 | 65 CLINICAL |
| Goals conceded | 65 | 61 |
| Average shots per game | 12.67 | 11.28 |
| Average possession | 53% | 46% |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 12 |
Those numbers sketch a very clear contrast. Leicester want more of the ball, pass it better and attack more often, but that control has not translated into security. They have still conceded 65 goals and kept only six clean sheets.
Hull are less dominant in possession, yet they have the sharper league position, more goals and double the clean sheets. They do not need to own the game to hurt it. That matters here, because Leicester are likely to have more of the ball, but Hull may not mind that at all.
Tactical Battle
Leicester’s width against Hull’s direct threat
Leicester’s style points to a side that want to use the ball, play with width and build with short passes. They also attack down the right, which immediately puts the spotlight on Fatawu and Ricardo Pereira. That side of the pitch looks like Leicester’s clearest route to momentum.
The issue is what happens after that. Leicester can create, but they have struggled badly when games turn messy or swing against them. They are weak at protecting the lead, weak in aerial duels, and vulnerable when opponents attack wide areas or expose individual errors. That is a rough mix for a must-win fixture.
Hull’s game is different. They are comfortable with long balls, comfortable playing in their own half, and strong on counter attacks, through balls and wide attacks. That means they can sit off, absorb Leicester’s pressure and then break with purpose.
Key Zones
Leicester should expect to see a lot of the ball through Harry Winks and Jordan James. Winks offers control, while James brings end product. His 10 league goals are a huge return from midfield, and Leicester need that extra runner badly.
Hull’s midfield looks more physical and disruptive. Matt Crooks brings height and aggression, while Amir Hadziahmetovic can help screen the back line. If Hull can turn Leicester’s tidy build-up into second balls and broken phases, the game starts to tilt their way.
That is where McBurnie becomes huge. He has 14 goals, 7 assists, a team-best 7.16 rating, and wins 3.8 aerials per game. He gives Hull an outlet when they go long, and he can turn a clearance into an attack in one touch. Leicester’s weakness in the air makes that battle look especially important.
Game-State Scenarios
Leicester have had more of the ball than most sides this season, but their defending has been too open. Hull are built to punish that. Their strengths include finishing chances, counter attacks, attacking down the wings and creating through individual skill. If Leicester push their full-backs on and lose their shape, Hull have the tools to break into those channels.
The danger for Hull is that they can lose control without the ball for long spells. They are weak at keeping possession, weak at stopping opponents creating chances, and weak against through-ball attacks. Leicester may not have been clinical enough lately, but the spaces will be there if they move the ball quickly enough.
This could become a tense tactical tug-of-war: Leicester trying to force the issue with width and possession, Hull waiting for the loose touch, the poor clearance or the overcommitted press.
Key Moments to Watch
- Leicester’s start under pressure: The home side cannot afford a flat opening. The crowd will expect urgency, and an anxious first 20 minutes could shape the whole mood.
- The right flank battle: Leicester like to attack down that side, and Fatawu is one of their most productive players with 9 goals and 7 assists.
- McBurnie’s hold-up play: Hull’s front man is the focal point for direct attacks and a major aerial presence.
- Jordan James arriving late: Leicester’s midfielder has 10 league goals, which makes him a serious second-wave threat.
- Set pieces at both ends: Both sides are weak at defending set pieces, so dead-ball moments could swing this quickly.
- Discipline: Leicester average 11 fouls per game and Hull 11.39, while both are vulnerable to fouling in dangerous areas. One cheap free-kick could be costly.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Leicester, the biggest fear is obvious: they chase the win, overcommit, and get picked off by Hull’s counter attack and direct balls into dangerous areas. For Hull, the danger is different. They can get dragged too deep, concede territory, and invite the kind of sustained pressure that turns into rebounds, second phases and panic in the box. This has the feel of a match that could swing sharply on one mistake, one set piece or one moment of composure.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
This market requires both sides to find the net at least once during the 90 minutes. It does not matter who wins the game; as long as the scoreline is 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, or higher, the selection is successful.
Pros: Keeps the bet alive until the final whistle. Cons: Highly dependent on defensive errors and finishing clinicality.
Correct Score
This is a high-variance market where you must predict the exact final score of the match. It offers higher prices because the probability of hitting the precise outcome is lower than broader markets.
Pros: High reward for precision. Cons: A single late goal can ruin the selection even if the general match flow was predicted correctly.
🎯 Both Teams to Score: Rationale
Leicester City enter this fixture under immense pressure, knowing that their survival hopes are fading. This desperation often leads to a more aggressive attacking approach, supported by their average of 12.67 shots per game and 53% possession. However, this offensive intent has frequently left their defence exposed, as evidenced by their low count of just six clean sheets across 43 league matches. With 65 goals conceded already, they struggle to contain opponents, particularly in aerial situations.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Leicester average 12.67 shots per match but have only kept six clean sheets this season.
- Hull City have scored 65 goals in 43 games, with McBurnie and Gelhardt both on 14 goals.
- Both sides are weak at defending set pieces, which often provides high-quality scoring chances.
Hull City possess the offensive tools to exploit these weaknesses. Oliver McBurnie and Joe Gelhardt have been clinical, combining for 28 league goals. Hull are comfortable attacking down the wings and using direct balls to bypass the midfield, a strategy that plays into Leicester’s vulnerability against individual errors and wide attacks. Given that both teams are currently winless and likely to take risks to break their respective slumps, an open game with goals at both ends is the natural expectation.
Risk Factor: A highly cautious start due to the pressure on both managers could lead to a low-event first half.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Oliver McBurnie wins 3.8 aerial duels per game, providing a constant target for direct attacks.
Ranked weak in aerial duels and set-piece defence, making them vulnerable to Hull’s crossing volume.
🎯 Correct Score 1-1: Rationale
Analysing the current form and tactical setups, a 1-1 draw stands out as a highly plausible outcome. Leicester City have struggled to turn their possession into wins, having failed to secure a victory in their last six league outings. While they have the creative capacity to score, their inability to protect leads or shut out opponents remains a significant hurdle. They average 1.25 goals scored per game, which aligns closely with the scoring rate required for this scoreline.
Hull City are similarly in a period of stagnation, winless in four matches themselves. This suggests a lack of confidence in finishing off games, which often leads to stalemates. Hull’s direct style and reliance on aerial duels allow them to stay in matches even when they are out-passed, while their defensive record of 61 goals conceded shows they are rarely impervious. A 1-1 draw reflects two teams with enough attacking quality to score but enough defensive fragility and lack of recent winning momentum to cancel each other out.
Risk Factor: A moment of individual brilliance from Daka or McBurnie could easily tilt a tight game into a 2-1 result either way.
❓ Interactive Q&A
⊕ What does “Both Teams to Score” mean in football betting?
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is a bet where you predict that both the home and away side will score at least one goal each. This bet is successful regardless of the final result, as long as the score is not zero for either team.
⊕ Why is 1-1 a common selection in the Correct Score market?
The 1-1 scoreline is statistically one of the most frequent outcomes in professional football. It represents a balanced match where both teams found a way through but could not find a decisive second goal.
⊕ What are Leicester City’s main defensive issues lately?
Leicester have struggled with aerial duels and protecting leads this season. They have kept only six clean sheets in 43 games, making them vulnerable to direct opponents like Hull City.
⊕ Who is the main goal threat for Hull City?
Oliver McBurnie is the primary threat, having scored 14 goals this season. His aerial dominance and hold-up play make him a key focal point for Hull’s attacking transitions.
⊕ How does possession affect the outcome of this match?
Leicester average 53% possession but often fail to convert this control into victories. Hull are comfortable with 46% possession, focusing instead on clinical counter-attacks and set pieces.
⊕ What role do set pieces play in this fixture?
Both Leicester and Hull are noted for being weak at defending set pieces. This increases the likelihood of goals occurring from corners or free-kicks during the game.
⊕ Can Leicester City still avoid relegation?
They are currently eight points from safety with only three games remaining. While mathematically possible, they require an immediate turnaround in form to stand any chance.
⊕ Is Hull City’s play-off spot secure?
Hull are currently 6th, but they are winless in their last four matches. This dip in form means their position in the top six is under significant pressure from chasing teams.
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